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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    You know what fans are like. We fixate on weaknesses. Casas's defense has been very disappointing and his durability does seem a bit in question. On the flip side he has great power and an excellent approach at the plate.
  2. Bellhorn04
    Doesn't seem to be any doubt they've been dangling him, but completing a deal is a whole other story. Especially with the Sox these days, it seems...
  3. Bellhorn04
    3 straight years of mediocrity/suckitude makes it very hard to argue this point!
  4. Bellhorn04
    I'm not convinced it's a foregone conclusion. But I certainly hear your concerns. I'm one of the ones who's been arguing we don't have enough offense. And on the face of it trading a young power hitter like Casas does seem kind of nutty. It all depends on the return and whether they are serious about reconfiguring the infield (moving Raffy to 1B).
  5. Bellhorn04
    Yeah, I don't think there are any great comps and that's why it's tricky. But we know the Sox are very high on him to give up what they did. Losing him after 2 years would not be a good outcome. They have to get a deal done. I think we might see a deal that's a little different from the "standard" ones here.
  6. Bellhorn04
    Cheapskate!
  7. Bellhorn04
    5 years including 2025 and 2026 - $145 million - no opt outs - incentives tossed in. If anyone complains that $130 is too much for those 3 extra years they're thinking too much like JH!
  8. Bellhorn04
    OK, the $125 number is probably too high. I'm just thinking Crochet might really like the idea of a 4 year deal that sets him for life but also gets him to free agency at age 29. And $125 while an overpay is obviously less risky than $200. Maybe a 5 year deal would work. There is no perfect deal. There's going to be high cost and high risk no matter what. We're always talking about 7-8 year deals for pitchers being too long. I'd prefer a shorter deal with no opt-outs than a 7 year deal with opt-outs. But to get Crochet's side to agree to a shorter deal the money has to be compelling.
  9. Bellhorn04
    How about this: 4 years including 2025 and 2026, $125 million (or so), no opt out. He can become a free agent at 29.
  10. Bellhorn04
    But I was talking about the threat of injury from Crochet's end of it, if he doesn't sign an extension. That risk is huge too, but it's his risk. The risks on either side are why there has to be a trade-off reflected in the terms.
  11. Bellhorn04
    What about the threat of injury? If Crochet doesn't sign an extension and then gets hurts in 2025, his career earnings in baseball might be capped at around $10 million. Meanwhile, $150 million is more than he could ever spend.
  12. Bellhorn04
    Perfect opportunity for him!
  13. Bellhorn04
    It's not necessarily "betting against yourself" when the risk of career-ending injury at any time is not insignificant for a pitcher...
  14. Bellhorn04
    I think they'll probably get this done. I do think the Sox have some extra motivation from the fact they gave up a lot of talent. And they really need a guy like this. I think they'll make a solid offer.
  15. Bellhorn04
    Crochet is in kind of an unusual position here because he had his breakout season with just 2 arb years left. He only gets 3.8 million for this year. He's only looking at about $15 million in arb money. If he gets injured he might not even get that. A big chunk of "life-changing" guaranteed money has to look pretty attractive to a man in that position. Especially a pitcher who hasn't even pitched a full MLB season yet. But maybe he's a ballsy guy who's willing to "bet on himself".
  16. Bellhorn04
    It's been talked about so much they might as well give it a whirl, just to get it over with LOL
  17. Bellhorn04
    They expect Duran to regress back to about 3 WAR, and they're not projecting much for Anthony and Campbell. And oh yeah, O'Neill is gone and not replaced. So I get it.
  18. Bellhorn04
    You negotiate and try to meet about halfway. Something like $175/6 with an opt out after 3 years. If he insists on an opt out after 1 year you walk away.
  19. Bellhorn04
    I already answered, moon. And mvp already agreed with me. You missed this somehow.
  20. Bellhorn04
    Sorry but I honestly have no idea what this means. Brady's and Mahomes's teams have PHENOMENAL records, regular season and postseason. I think it has a lot to do with them.
  21. Bellhorn04
    And what was your prediction for Pivetta again? I'm waiting like a buzzard on a fence to see how that one turns out. 😄
  22. Bellhorn04
    Crochet is not in a super-strong negotiating position. If the Sox don't extend him he's looking at 2 arb years and the ever-present risks of injury and underperformance.
  23. Bellhorn04
    The whole thing is a rabbit hole. Not that that's ever stopped us...
  24. Bellhorn04
    Lesser-known guys Coming Up Clutch always helps. Like the guy in my avatar. 🙃
  25. Bellhorn04
    OK, make it $150 mill then. I'm just talking about the 1 year opt out part.
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