Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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If reported interest was aggression, the Sox would be prime Mike Tyson.
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And how much information do we have on his methodology in doing this? -
The early signing of Wilson was a bad omen for anyone keeping an eye on the REAL PAYROLL BUDGET number, the one that is making Sam Kennedy a little funny in the head because he has to keep pretending it doesn't exist...
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Dodgers got Yates for $13 million. Seems pretty reasonable to me. We couldn't have done that? Robertson is still there. He'll probably sign for about the same as Chapman got, and not with us. Pennies are being squeezed hard, and not all the Sam Kennedy gibberish in the world can hide it.
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As cynical as I've been, the PECOTA number seems wacky. I think when it comes to W-L projections the best place to look is Vegas, which has us at an over-under of 84.5, which seems eminently reasonable. (And before anyone jumps in with an explanation of how Vegas odds-setting works, that the intention is to have equal money bet on both sides, I know that. They move the number if there's heavy betting on one side.)
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We have you here for that. 😉
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To clarify, I meant who they played against that month.
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Sam clears the air as only he can! 😀🙃😀 Sam Kennedy on pursuing Alex Bregman: "I’m not allowed to talk about any specific free agent negotiations or anything, but given that he’s unsigned, I think that speaks for itself." Chris Cotillo 3:11 PM · Feb 3, 2025
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Yes, revolving doors that whacked us in the head a bunch of times.
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Have to look at who they played that month, too.
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We have a few decent short term fill-ins. But I think the more they play the less you'd like 'em.
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Most of these random predictions be skewin' very positive... 😁
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He'd be one of the options.
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So it appears the Sox pitching's wicked good April was attributable to a combo of the surprise factor of the revamped pitch mix, plus the cool weather. Both very temporary advantages.
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The symmetry of that distribution is amazing.
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The Sox have the best of intentions of improving the defense. But when they attempt to make the necessary moves, they find that players and other teams are very uncooperative in helping them. So they revert to Plan B, which is to leave everything as is and revisit after the season's over. 🙃
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Crawford actually seems like the textbook guy to NOT extend...
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Sox interest in EVERYTHING is simply assumed now. 😄
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WAR, what is it good for. The simplest way to look at it is that losing Raffy means 4-5 wins down the tubes.
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Unless Lynn and Rice step into the void. 🙂
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Yeah, when you take Raffy out of our lineup, it looks pretty feeble. Not much in the way of consistent power threats. Casas is about it.
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When Theo went to the Cubs, free agents were a big part of building that 2016 championship team. Theo's comments about free agency were always enlightening. He pretty much characterized it as a necessary evil type thing and I think he said if you hit on more than 50% you're doing very well.
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I believe that sometimes it really is worth "overpaying". Soto's contract is 15 years. The $8,000,000 figure will likely go up over that time. That will impact the calculations.
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Big problem with that joke. The average person actually has two of the latter, and in numerous cases the male's are larger-though not on AVERAGE, of course. 🙃
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
Bellhorn04 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Grissom's profile is eerily reminiscent of Yoshida's. He has a good eye and makes a lot of contact. But he doesn't have a high exit velocity and he doesn't hit many home runs. And his defense isn't that great.
