Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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You're just not getting it. A blown hold is treated as a blown save. Brasier got a blown save even though he came in in the 7th and was not going to get a save. It's f***ed-up stats.
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I can't explain it any further. Stick with your numbers. Barnes and Brasier suck.
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It is indeed the same team and the same bench as last year. I think the 'year after' syndrome is real. It's not an excuse for bad play. But history shows it's really hard to repeat in MLB. There's some fatigue, there's psychological letdown, there's the opposite teams getting a little more psyched to beat you, there's the law of averages dictating that things aren't going to go your way like they did the year before. Also, DD's hands were pretty well tied financially as far as making upgrades.
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That's where you're wrong. Brasier got charged with a blown save there.
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They don't include the holds in the numbers you're looking at, that's the whole problem. In 2018 Barnes had 0 saves, 25 holds, 3 blown saves. So really he was 25 for 28 in hold/save opportunities. Which makes more sense.
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Those are bad and confusing stats you're citing. It's not your fault, it's the way the stats read. But they should include holds. The 'save opportunities' were not necessarily real save opportunities. For example, in that ugly 5-3 loss to the Yankees this year Brasier came in in the 7th and gave up the grand slam to Gardner. He was charged with a blown save. But you know very well that he wasn't brought in to pitch the 7th, 8th and 9th. He was not going to get the save there no matter what. The best he was going to do was get a hold.
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I'm 100% sure. You can be charged with a blown save if you come in in the 6th inning with a lead. If you give up the lead it's a blown save. If you protect it, it's a hold. Look up the game logs on Baseball-Reference and you'll see the holds.
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So where do these reasons rank? -He has had extended slumps before and come out of them. -You can't come out of a slump on the bench.
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This is a case of bad stats, Denny. Relief pitchers are charged with 'blown saves' even if they were in a 'hold' situation. To figure out the correct numbers you have to add in the 'holds' earned as well.
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It's when the statistical acronyms start having both upper-case and lower-case letters that a lot of people get scared off.
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A decent pitch count, yes, but with the top of the Astros order about to see him for the fourth time.
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With BA, let's look at a real life example for fun. Mitch Moreland's BA is .227. Does that mean he's having a lousy season at the plate? Well, he leads the team in SLG, HR and RBI, so there's that.
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It's an inexact science like many other inexact sciences.
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WAR is not that complicated if you accept that its intent is to measure how many RUNS a player produces or prevents above what a replacement player would. WAR is derived from RAR - runs above replacement. Obviously there are a lot of moving parts involved in trying to calculate runs produced and prevented. I'm not interested in all the minutiae of how the calculations are done. I'm satisfied that the metrics folks are doing the best possible job they can. I also accept that there are going to be flaws and anomalies.
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Nunez at DH is pretty ridiculous, agreed. I can only guess it's the injury concern with not wanting JD to play left in Fenway. It's not a large area to cover but it's a little on the tricky & dangerous side.
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Left may be the easiest of the three in Fenway, but it's probably asking a bit too much from JD to play right field in other parks and left field in Fenway.
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Don't tease us. What are these better ways to sit JBJ?
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Boonie makes another of his odd bullpen decisions today. Top of the 11th, tie game, he chooses Cessa, even though Ottavino is 100% available.
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The worst thing about batting average is that it spawned that stupid expression about even the best hitters failing 7 out of 10 times. Williams and Ruth both got on base 48% of the time.
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If you want a stat that tries to incorporate all offensive production including baserunning, it's offensive WAR.
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Like batting average, SLG is a very simple and transparent stat. As another wise poster (sk7326) said, the problems with most stats are at the inference level.
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OK, it's time to ask... Who in the hell is Gio Urshela and how in the hell is he so freaking good all of a sudden? There is NOTHING in his history to suggest he can hit like this.
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The rotation is fine now, aside from the injuries of course. The emerging (and some would say predictable) issue is Cora's trust in the pen.
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Very true. But I correctly discerned that Jacks meant to post that in the other thread.
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Barnes has been terrific. Walden has been the big pleasant surprise DD was hoping for. Workman has been as good or better than anyone could have hoped. But Brasier is clearly struggling. And after that, good luck.
