Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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And how are ticket sales going?
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But meanwhile you're penciling in Severino and Montgomery for 2020 full health and effectiveness...
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Not sure why you're so convinced. They backpedaled on the re-set statement almost immediately, first saying it wasn't a mandate and then saying the top priority was a competitive team.
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So what though? Over 162 games the difference between 40% and 60% is 32.4 wins. It's a very large difference.
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You're saying the 27.5 million dollars wouldn't impact the Padres financially?
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You've been saying things like this: Losing Bryce Harper clearly didn't end any chances of a Washington World Series title
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The list of teams that would have any interest in trading for Mookie has to be extremely short. It's just a pile to give up for a one year rental. And as notin keeps pointing out, how much of a difference can one player make to a team for one year?
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It's the cost plus only one year of control. Check me if I'm wrong, but he would be by far the most expensive 1 year rental in history. It's been widely reported that the salary cost is a major hindrance to other teams' interest.
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#2 and #3 are pretty closely related.
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OK, I think that's enough use of the term "huckleberry" for 2020.
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There are a lot of variables though. Right now the offers for Betts are impacted by his projected 27.5 million salary. At the deadline the other team only has to pay 9.2 million and they get him for the stretch run and the playoffs. That can enhance what they're willing to give up.
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Should be comparing WAR though. That's what it's good for!
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The MLBTR lead story on the Dodgers is that Stan Kasten took it on himself to defend the team's lack of activity this offseason.
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Um, what happened to the third scenario where we keep him and re-sign him?
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It seems to me that a lot of big extensions are signed with one year to go on the contract.
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It's a good question. I'd be surprised if Betts has told the Red Sox to not even bother making any extension offers. As you have often said, players hire agents for a reason, and I doubt that Betts's agent would tell him to take the stance of not even considering an extension. Regardless of Mookie's public comments on the matter, there is a risk factor in playing with no contract after this year, and his agent would surely not counsel him to completely disregard that risk.
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But we don't know what offers the Red Sox have made to Betts other than the one for $200 million a couple of years back. Maybe their subsequent offers have been a little on the lowball side.
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The current Dodgers ownership hasn't been in place that long. And of course the first thing they did was the crazy Punto trade. The chances of it may not be high, maybe only 10%. But I think it's fair to say that the Dodgers are in as good a position or better than any other team to do it. They have the money, it's a good place to play, they're loaded with prospects etc.
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I think most would agree that if the Sox have a chance to win it all without Betts and Price, they have a better chance to win it all with Betts and Price.
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Trading Betts to the Dodgers, IMO, brings in the risk that they will sign him to an extension. The Dodgers are just the team that could pull that off.
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But that's not how it works.
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Take a look at the sweepstakes for Cole. The Yanks got him because they were willing to go to an insane length of 9 years @ 36. The Dodgers reportedly were willing to go 8 @ 36 but then backed out. The Yanks were the team in the much worse tax position for this year. The Dodgers are well under 208. The Yanks are well over 208 and are in the Year Two tax rates.
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I think what determines how far the Red Sox will go in their offer to Betts is this question: 'How much is too much of an overpay?'
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But it doesn't. It's a relative drop in the bucket.
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And my position is I don't think trading him really gives that big a boost to our chances of re-signing him.
