If/When those on IL return, who goes down/released?

[mvp 78]

13 minutes ago, moonslav59 said:

Yes! BAbip is not all about luck.

LD% and Soft Hit% is a major factor.

His 16.7 LD% is 2.5% below his career.

His 17.7 soft hit% is his career high and 2% above his career.

His hard hit% is a career high, so that may support the bad luck claim.

He's been near .700 for over 1400 straight PAs. He hasn't done any better in the last month, 2 months, 3 months...

I think people are reaching for reasons to keep playing him. At least bat the guy 9th and fully platoon him.

Per Statcast:

Hardhit 25 46.8%

Hardhit 26 39.5% (lowest since 22)

[moonslav59]

5 hours ago, mvp 78 said:

Per Statcast:

Hardhit 25 46.8%

Hardhit 26 39.5% (lowest since 22)

Big difference from fangraohs

[mvp 78]

2 hours ago, moonslav59 said:

Big difference from fangraohs

Statcast uses just exit velo. Fangraphs uses Baseball Info Solutions which excludes exit velo.

[moonslav59]

28 minutes ago, mvp 78 said:

Statcast uses just exit velo. Fangraphs uses Baseball Info Solutions which excludes exit velo.

Exit Velo should be more telling.

[mvp 78]

14 hours ago, moonslav59 said:

Exit Velo should be more telling.

I wasn’t really able to track down the FanGraphs calc. It was just a vague description. Exit velo makes more sense to me too. Over or under 95mph. Simple.

[moonslav59]

1 hour ago, mvp 78 said:

I wasn’t really able to track down the FanGraphs calc. It was just a vague description. Exit velo makes more sense to me too. Over or under 95mph. Simple.

I'm thinking "Hard Hit" by fangraphs is distance only. Their LD% might be exit velo related.

[notin]

33 minutes ago, moonslav59 said:

I'm thinking "Hard Hit" by fangraphs is distance only. Their LD% might be exit velo related.

No.  Fangraphs definitely accounts for soft line drives.

[moonslav59]

44 minutes ago, notin said:

No.  Fangraphs definitely accounts for soft line drives.

Do they use exit velocity to determine soft line drives vs nearly soft line drives?

[notin]

52 minutes ago, moonslav59 said:

Do they use exit velocity to determine soft line drives vs nearly soft line drives?

Doubtful.  I imagine they use trajectory to determine line drives vs fly balls and exit velocity to determine hard hit bs medium hit…

[moonslav59]

3 minutes ago, notin said:

Doubtful.  I imagine they use trajectory to determine line drives vs fly balls and exit velocity to determine hard hit bs medium hit…

Hard hit cannot be just exit velo, because of the wide difference between them and Statcast.

[notin]

2 hours ago, moonslav59 said:

Hard hit cannot be just exit velo, because of the wide difference between them and Statcast.

It depends on the cutoff between hard hit and medium hit.  Maybe one site does 95mph and another uses 93mph and a third uses 97 mph…

[Bellhorn04]

What about the Absolutely Smoked %?

[notin]

16 minutes ago, Bellhorn04 said:

What about the Absolutely Smoked %?

Illegal…

[moonslav59]

31 minutes ago, notin said:

It depends on the cutoff between hard hit and medium hit.  Maybe one site does 95mph and another uses 93mph and a third uses 97 mph…

Could be.

[moonslav59]

8 minutes ago, notin said:

Illegal…

Not in all states.

[mvp 78]

15 hours ago, notin said:

It depends on the cutoff between hard hit and medium hit.  Maybe one site does 95mph and another uses 93mph and a third uses 97 mph…

FanGraphs doesn’t account for exit velo at all if you go to their glossary.