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After the way that the 2025 season ended, the Boston Red Sox entered the offseason with the thought of improving not just their current starting rotation, but also the quality of their major-league depth. By the end of August, the team needed to call upon top pitching prospects such as Payton Tolle and Connelly Early to provide important innings for the team down the stretch. Craig Breslow understood he needed to bring in more major-league pitching to help ease the burden for the young pitchers, and hence, the Red Sox's starting pitching depth is much deeper than it was just a few months ago.

While the team may make more moves before the offseason is over, if they were to open the 2026 season with the current crop of pitchers on the roster, it's hard to argue they haven't significantly upgraded. With that in mind, let's look at the current state of their starting pitching and go over those who could open the year in the rotation and those who will be waiting in Triple-A as depth.

Locks for the Red Sox's rotation:

Garrett Crochet32 starts, 18-5 record, 2.59 ERA, 205 1/3 innings, 255 strikeouts

There isn’t much to say about Crochet that Sox fans don’t already know about. He was even better than many expected when he was first acquired, as he put together a great first season as Boston’s ace. Making his second All-Star team, finishing second for the Cy Young Award and placing eighth in MVP voting, Crochet proved that he was exactly what Boston needed in a frontline starter. He’ll be penciled in at the top of the rotation for 2026 as the team and fans both wait in excitement to see how his second season in Boston unfolds.

Sonny Gray: 32 starts, 14-8 record, 4.28 ERA, 180 2/3 innings, 201 strikeouts

Gray, who was acquired in a trade that sent Richard Fitts and Brandon Clarke back to St. Louis, is a veteran pitcher who will be entering his 14th season in the league. Pitching for a year and a half in New York, he has experience in the AL East, and in 2023 was an All-Star while with Minnesota. Despite his numbers not looking great with the Cardinals, Gray was a very valuable pitcher as he racked up strikeouts and gave them competitive innings. When looking at his expected ERA and expected FIP, it’s clear that he was the recipient of a bit of bad luck (his BABIP was .329). Gray, however, worked around it with a strikeout rate of 26.7% and limited free passes (5% walk rate). He may no longer be a No. 2 starter, but he'll be a rock in the middle of the rotation in 2026.

Brayan Bello: 29 appearances, 28 Starts, 11-9 record, 3.35 ERA, 166 2/3 innings, 124 strikeouts

Last year was a season of two stories for Bello, as he looked like a dominant number two for a good portion of the campaign, and at other times looked like a fringe number four or five starter. Bello’s season truly took off in June and he kept the momentum up through the end of August, where through 16 appearances he would go 8-5 while allowing just 30 earned runs across 101 2/3 innings pitched. With the addition of Gray, Bello should be able to slot into the rotation as the number three starter and build off of a career season. The hope is that Bello won’t show up to spring training behind schedule like he has since 2023 and instead will break camp with the team. Bello’s change in pitch usage in 2025 helped with his improvement, and an offseason of working on the five-pitch repertoire (made up of his sinker, sweeper, changeup, fastball and a cutter he began using in 2025) should be helpful for the 26-year-old.

Likely in the rotation:

Johan Oviedo: 9 starts, 2-1 record, 3.57 ERA, 40 1/3 innings, 42 strikeouts

Oviedo was acquired right before the Winter Meetings in a trade that saw Jhostynxon Garcia shipped to Pittsburgh, and the right-hander should be a lock for the rotation barring any additional moves. Not turning 28 until March, Oviedo has been pitching in the majors since the 2020 season with St. Louis. Missing the entire 2024 season due to injury, Oviedo made his return to the mound and made nine starts for the Pirates where he flashed some tantalizing potential. Standing at 6-foot-6, Oviedo checks off many boxes that the Red Sox love in pitchers between his size, his elite extension and a fastball that could make him a key piece of the rotation. Our own @Jack Lindsay recently wrote about Oviedo’s fastball and the importance it could play on his 2026 season. The key will be keeping the hulking right-hander healthy through a full season.

Kutter Crawford (2024 season:) 33 starts, 9-16 record, 4.36 ERA, 183 2/3 innings, 175 strikeouts

Crawford was expected to be a key piece of the backend of the rotation in 2025, but a series of injuries kept him from pitching a single game. What started as a right knee injury that had occurred during the 2024 season later turned into a wrist injury while he was working towards a rehab assignment in June. It was revealed that he tore the sub sheath in his wrist and needed surgery that ended his season. He should be fully healthy by spring training and will be a welcome addition to the rotation. Along with health, the biggest question mark for Crawford will be how he handles a large workload, as in 2024 he appeared to hit a wall once his innings began to increase, especially in August and September. His second half numbers in 2024 saw his ERA jump from 3.00 in his first 20 starts to 6.59 across his final 13 along with 20 home runs allowed in just 69 2/3 innings.

Patrick Sandoval (2024 season): 16 starts, 2-8 record, 5.08 ERA, 79 2/3 innings, 81 strikeouts

Much like Crawford, Sandoval missed the entire 2025 season as he recovered from a torn UCL that required an internal brace surgery that took place mid-2024. The Red Sox signed him with the hope he could be ready for the end of the 2025 season and then pitch for the full 2026 season, but his rehab stalled and he did not pitch at all this year. Nevertheless, Sandoval pitched better in 2024 than his numbers showed, as his expected ERA (4.25) was nearly a run lower than his actual mark. Where Sandoval succeeded was his ability to limit hard contact, with his average exit velocity sitting at 87.9 mph and batters managing to barrel up his pitches just 5.1% of the time. The left-hander relies on a six-pitch repertoire that changes drastically depending on the hitter; it will be interesting to see how Andrew Bailey and company handles such a diverse pitch mix.

Likely to open in Triple-A

Hunter Dobbins: 13 appearances, 11 starts, 4-1 record, 4.13 ERA, 61 innings, 45 strikeouts

Dobbins, who made his major-league debut in 2025, was a big presence in the rotation once he got called up to fill in for the injured Richard Fitts. Dobbins would be optioned from Boston to the minor leagues and recalled as needed, but remained with the team from May 3 through June 20 where he would make 10 appearances for the team and allow 24 earned runs across 48 1/3 innings. Unfortunately, his season ended early after tearing his ACL in his right knee after an awkward landing while covering first base. Dobbins has already resumed throwing down at Fort Myers and is hoping to be ready for the start of the 2026 season. Though with the additions of Gray and Oviedo, it’s likely the team will have him begin the season in Triple-A instead of rushing him back.

Payton Tolle: 7 appearances, 3 starts, 0-1 record, 16 1/3 innings, 19 strikeouts

Tolle had quite the season, as he burst onto the scene in High-A Greenville. It didn’t stop there, as he quickly moved through Double-A Portland and Triple-A Worcester before making his major-league debut against Paul Skenes and the Pittsburgh Pirates near the end of August. Armed with a powerful fastball, the piglet dazzled in his debut but didn’t see the same success for the remainder of the season. On an innings limit, Tolle made two shortened starts before getting moved to the bullpen where he had mixed results. Tolle’s fastball is more than ready for the majors, but if he wants to pitch to his potential, he will need to develop competitive secondary offerings. It was likely Tolle would always open the 2026 season in Triple-A to work on those other offerings, but the additions of Gray and Oviedo allow the Red Sox to give Tolle more time to develop.

Connelly Early: 4 starts, 1-2 record, 2.33 ERA, 19 1/3 innings, 29 strikeouts

It’s likely Early opens the 2026 season in Boston after his showing down the stretch where he helped lift a depleted Boston rotation. Though, there is also a chance the 23-year-old spends the beginning of the season in Triple-A due to the amount of depth the team has accumulated. While his fastball averaged just 93.7 mph last season, Early was able to get the most out of it thanks to his assortment of secondary offerings, as he relied on his curveball, changeup, sinker, slider and sweeper to make batters uncomfortable and ruin their timing. Against left-handed batters, his curveball and changeup were nearly non-existent, as he relied heavily on his sinker and sweeper while pairing them with his fastball and slider. It was the opposite for right-handed batters, as his sweeper was not used once while his cutter, changeup and fastball were the main pitches he attacked with. That plan of attack could pay dividends with some more fine tuning.

Will be in the Triple-A Rotation but could see time in the MLB bullpen

Tyler Uberstine (Portland Sea Dogs/Worcester Red Sox): 25 appearances, 21 starts, 6-5 record, 3.58 ERA, 120 2/3 innings, 137 strikeouts

Uberstine was a surprise addition to the 40-man roster back in November, but his time in Worcester (that yielded 102 strikeouts in 91 innings) impressed the organization enough to protect him. Armed with a fastball that tops out at 95 mph and has above-average spin rate, he’s able to miss bats. He also has a slider, changeup, and cutter. He used to have a curveball but did not use it much in 2024 after his return from Tommy John surgery. Uberstine should be able to fill the roll Fitts and Dobbins had as a shuttle-arm between Triple-A and Boston. Very competitive, Uberstine will leave everything out on the mound which Red Sox fans should love.

Luis Perales (Portland Sea Dogs/Worcester Red Sox): 3 appearances, 1 start, 7.71 ERA, 2 1/3 innings, 4 strikeouts

Perales, who at one point was Boston’s top pitching prospect, returned to the mound late in the 2025 season after suffering a torn UCL in his right elbow during the 2024 season. Appearing in just three games, Perales showed how rusty he was after missing over a year. While he did not surrender a hit, he did walk three batters in just 2 1/3 innings. Though, his return also saw an increase in velocity, as his fastball now hit triple digits and he struck out four batters. To make up for the missed time, Perales pitched in the Arizona Fall League where he made six starts and was named a Fall-Star thanks in part to his triple-digit fastball and 19 strikeouts in 11 1/3 innings. Whether Perales stays in the rotation or moves to the bullpen is yet to be seen, though he should be expected to open the season in the rotation for Worcester due to his potential alone. Should Perales stay healthy, he should be up in Boston before the end of the 2026 season.

David Sandlin (Portland Sea Dogs/Worcester Red Sox): 32 appearances, 14 starts, 9-6 record, 4.50 ERA, 106 innings, 107 strikeouts

Sandlin’s role within the organization is currently unknown. While he had been developed as a starter for his entire career until his promotion to Triple-A Worcester, the team transitioned him to the bullpen with the idea of getting him up to Boston at some point in 2025. His time in Worcester’s bullpen did not go well, though, and such a promotion never materialized. However, he did show a lot of improvement while in Portland, managing to go deeper into games while relying less on strikeouts. Sandlin was added to the 40-man roster in November and is likely to play a role at some point in 2026 with the major-league club. Armed with a fastball that tops out at 99 mph in-game and a slider that has been shown to have bat-missing ability, Sandlin should be able to perform well either in the rotation or out of the bullpen once the team decides on the best course of action.

Shane Drohan (Greenville Drive/Worcester Red Sox): 15 appearances, 14 starts, 5-2 record, 3.00 ERA, 54 innings, 77 strikeouts

Drohan was a surprise addition to the 40-man roster in November, as the left-hander had previously been taken in the Rule 5 Draft by the Chicago White Sox before being returned to Boston. The 2024 campaign saw him deal with injuries, but 2025 led to a return to form. However, he did not go deep into games and would often tire out around the fourth inning if he made it that far. Due to injuries and stamina concerns, he may be best utilized in either a bulk reliever role or an opener giving the team multiple innings before handing the ball off to the rest of the bullpen. Drohan throws four pitches: a fastball that tops out at 96 mph, a changeup that fades down and away from right-handed batters, a curveball that he has solid feel for, and a cutter that is most effective when he can get it on the inner part of the plate against right-handed batters. He's probably the least likely bet to pitch for the Sox at some point in 2026, but the talent is there if opportunity comes knocking.


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Posted

captain crunch berries "oops, all berries" looks like it has become craig breslow's "oops, all starters"

7 man rotation with nobody to hit behind roman Anthony is certainly, well, it's a roster

Posted

I wouldn't say nobody to hit behind Anthony . Although it would not be ideal , this team could make it back to the playoffs with the current roster , as it stands .  Anthony - LF , Duran - CF , Story - SS , Casas/Gonzales - 1B , Abreau - RF , Yoshita - DH ,Narvaez - C , Mayer - 3B , Rafaela - 2B , Eaton/Wong/Campbell - Bench .

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