2nd half blueprint

[jacksonianmarch]

Yanks have lost 5 of 6 and are still 12 games up on the Rays, who I still view as pretenders. Ultimately, I think the top two teams in the ALE behind NYY will be Toronto and Boston. Toronto because they're in a win now mode and Boston because they're finally getting healthy. So with the Yanks limping into the final 2 games vs the sox, their health has started to be tested.

 

Surprisingly, in the lineup, they've been healthy. Their "10 starters" from ST are all healthy right now and have actually added in Matt Carpenter, who has been quite possible the best player in baseball since he signed on with NYY (at least offensively). With Gallo phasing out, Carpenter phasing in and Hicks starting to hit well (he really only have one abhorrent month in May), the Yanks offense is pretty well set. I know the Yanks seem to be in on every OF out there, but I don't think that's a need now if Carpenter can play LF or RF reasonably. With the high price of Beni (and the lack of vax status) it seems the Yanks have backed off on him. David Peralta came up as a fine option, but I would only add him if we can subtract Gallo. That being said, Gallo will bring GG level defense and good speed, so he could phase in as an all or nothing option off the bench and a D replacement/pinch runner for Carpenter late in games. As maligned as the Yanks offense has been in terms of the big OF positions, I think they stand pat here, maybe they add a speedster to PR.

 

In the rotation, I know the Yanks are linked with Castillo, but I don't see it. Yes, it would mitigate the loss of Taillon and Monty at year's end, but they've already got a ready made replacement for them in both Sears and Schmidt. With Sevy down, we are about to get a long look at one of them. But when it comes to winning a title, you could do worse than a top two of Cole-Cortes and a 3-4 of Taillon and Monty, especially if Taillon goes on one of his runs. That also doesn't throw out Sevy, who was arguably our best starter before his trap started barking. Now Castillo would give them a 1-2-3 that is absolutely nails and if Sevy can return to form, a 1-4 that is all ace level. It would be a nice problem to have, but the Yanks cannot be shipping out their prospects when another weakness has set in

 

The bullpen is where the Yanks need work. Holmes has been lights out. Yes, he had a blip, but he recovered quite nicely last night. Wandy has been amazing. Michael King has been lights out. Luetge, until the Cincy game, has been really good too as a long man. Chappy is rounding into form, which is helpful. Yes, he gave up a Bobby D bomb, but he was hitting 102 and locating. He will be fine. The problems come after that. But the Yanks HAD a pen that literally had lights out options up and down the ranks. Castro has tailed off lately and it appears injury related. Loaisiga spent two months on the IL and seems to still be lacking his putaway pitch that he had last year. We had Green, who was as reliable as they come, and now he's out for the year. Marinaccio was lights out and needed a breather for a dead arm, but he appears to be coming back soon. My concern for this Yankee pen is that everyone is in a role they aren't familiar with. Holmes hasnt been a closer before. Chappy hasnt been a MR in a long time. King was a washed up starter, not a setup man. Wandy was a fringe mop up guy who is now a big part of the bridge. If the Yanks make a move, it has to be here. I would get a guy who is rolling AND can close. This can give Holmes a breather and allow Chapman not to be thrust back into a position he isn't ready for.

 

If the Yanks are to make any move this year, it's for Bednar in Pitt. The Pirates have made deals with NYY in the past that have worked to their advantage (they're very happy with the Taillon trade at this point) and others that didn't (Holmes deal). Yanks have a good farm and as with any reliever, the return isnt as much as a big time starter. But the Yanks need to re-establish their dominant pen back there while also dropping the work load for their most trusted guys

[notin]

Bednar has 3+ years of control and the Pirates are in no rush to move him.

 

He won’t be cheap due to the control and low salary, and previous deals with the Pirates are moot. The Pirates do employ scouts whose recommendations they will take. If you think their scouts aren’t any good at evaluating other teams’ minor leaguers in trades, bear in mind that’s how they got Bednar in the first place.

 

I doubt the Yankees even acquire a closer. They’ll probably look at some miscast reliever they think is salvageable and will miraculously turn him into another Sparky Lyle. This year’s best guess - Brandon Finnegan.

 

Oh and while you hate BTV, they do suggest an equal trade for Bednar is Peraza and Dominguez. I doubt the Yankees do that. If you think that is too high, keep in mind the 3+ years of control left on Ian Happ’s former Little League teammate…

[moonslav59]

Isn't there already a Yankee thread for this type of post?

 

Do we need two?

[Meh]

Monty isn't s free agent at the end of this season. He's still got one more year.

 

Bednar isn't going to get traded unless someone blows the pirates out of the water aka volpe or Dominguez and hell no to that.

[notin]

Monty isn't s free agent at the end of this season. He's still got one more year.

 

Bednar isn't going to get traded unless someone blows the pirates out of the water aka volpe or Dominguez and hell no to that.

 

Nope. You’ll go get Kyle Finnegan. And he’ll throw 35 IP the rest of the year with a 1.85 ERA…

Edited July 17, 2022 by notin

[jacksonianmarch]

I didn’t realize we had Monty for another year. Just another reason why Castillo isn’t worth the acquisition cost.

[moonslav59]

I didn’t realize we had Monty for another year. Just another reason why Castillo isn’t worth the acquisition cost.

 

You guys have some major issues, this winter, too. Not as bad as the Sox, but still significant. Some "deadwood" lost as well.

 

Judge

Chapman

Taillon

Green

Carpenter

Castro

Gallo

Britton

Marwin

 

Option on Severino $15M w $2.75M buyout.

[Bellhorn04]

You guys have some major issues, this winter, too. Not as bad as the Sox, but still significant. Some "deadwood" lost as well.

 

Judge

Chapman

Taillon

Green

Carpenter

Castro

Gallo

Britton

Marwin

 

Option on Severino $15M w $2.75M buyout.

 

Out of those I'd say the only really major issue is Judge.

[jacksonianmarch]

Dominguez and Sweeney both pulled mid game. Josh Breaux scratched right before game time

[Bellhorn04]

Dominguez and Sweeney both pulled mid game. Josh Breaux scratched right before game time

 

What's in the works?

[mvp 78]

Dominguez and Sweeney both pulled mid game. Josh Breaux scratched right before game time

 

I'd trade Dominguez if I were the Yankees too. I'm not a believer in him.

[bkzwhitestrican]

I'd trade Dominguez if I were the Yankees too. I'm not a believer in him.

 

He was definitely overhyped at signing but he is a legit top 50 prospect in baseball. He just got moved up to High A at only 19 years old, and has hit .272/.379/.450 with 21 steals between both leagues despite his age and relatively few pro innings under his belt.

[mvp 78]

He was definitely overhyped at signing but he is a legit top 50 prospect in baseball. He just got moved up to High A at only 19 years old, and has hit .272/.379/.450 with 21 steals between both leagues despite his age and relatively few pro innings under his belt.

 

SB's in the low minors are really easy. His 813 OPS in Low A is fine at 19. From a physical standpoint, he's not going to get any more developed as any additional weight would push him to corner OF. Top 50? I'm not going to get overly upset about. I just am not sold on him having a huge ceiling. I'd be quick to sell on him before something happens. I don't think he's a prospect who gets dealt and then has a HOF career elsewhere.

[JDavis76]

Isn't there already a Yankee thread for this type of post?

 

Do we need two?

 

That's rich considering you have 3 unrealistic threads going right now....

[bkzwhitestrican]

SB's in the low minors are really easy. His 813 OPS in Low A is fine at 19. From a physical standpoint, he's not going to get any more developed as any additional weight would push him to corner OF. Top 50? I'm not going to get overly upset about. I just am not sold on him having a huge ceiling. I'd be quick to sell on him before something happens. I don't think he's a prospect who gets dealt and then has a HOF career elsewhere.

 

If trading him would help the Yanks get someone like Soto or Castillo then I'm 100% on board. Same with Volpe. The odds of any prospect developing into someone as good as Soto is about 0.001%

[jacksonianmarch]

I’d love to get Soto, but I also realize that a Soto acquisition ends Judge’s shot at re-upping

[bkzwhitestrican]

I’d love to get Soto, but I also realize that a Soto acquisition ends Judge’s shot at re-upping

 

True, but I'd much prefer to sign Soto to a long term deal over Judge

[moonslav59]

True, but I'd much prefer to sign Soto to a long term deal over Judge

 

Even 16 years vs 8 years?

[bkzwhitestrican]

Even 16 years vs 8 years?

 

With the way inflation is going, $30M 16 years from now will only be worth a few bags of Skittles.

 

But yes I'd 100% take Soto's 16 years over Judge's 8. At age 23, you could expect somewhere in the range of 7-9 years of him playing through his prime. Whereas Judge at 30 years old, this year is probably his peak performance and he may only have another couple of high caliber seasons left.

Edited July 26, 2022 by bkzwhitestrican

[JDavis76]

With the way inflation is going, $30M 16 years from now will only be worth a few bags of Skittles.

 

But yes I'd 100% take Soto's 16 years over Judge's 8. At age 23, you could expect somewhere in the range of 7-9 years of him playing through his prime. Whereas Judge at 30 years old, this year is probably his peak performance and he may only have another couple of high caliber seasons left.

 

And it's not set in stone that it will take a 16yr deal to sign soto

[JDavis76]

Prior to the Subway Series opener against the Mets, the Yankees placed slugger Giancarlo Stanton on the 10-day injured list on Tuesday, retroactive to Sunday, with left Achilles tendinitis. The club recalled outfielder Tim Locastro from Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.

[jacksonianmarch]

We are getting thin. This is the season, and Cashman knows it. He’s got to do something big

[jacksonianmarch]

Read an article today about Soto’s negotiations being a smokescreen. That Cash wants Castillo or Montas plus Robertson. If we are dealing with the cubs, I’d look at Happ too. Cashman wants to match up with Houston, and with Sevy an unknown, they’re got Cole and Cortes then two guys with inconsistency issues. Adding Castillo to the front really helps the team.

 

We need a reliever now that King is out. Robertson would be perfect. We also need an OFer, doesn’t have to be Soto or Beni, could just be Peralta

[bkzwhitestrican]

Yanks reportedly traded for Benintendi. No word yet on who they gave up.

[jacksonianmarch]

Chandler Champlain, Beck Way, TJ Sikkema

 

Shows the depth of the system. These guys were way down on the Yanks list

[jacksonianmarch]

This is huge and it lengthens our lineup. I think we will see Gallo offloaded, likely to Philly, where he can reclaim his value outside of the pressure of the Bronx.

 

Adding Beni keeps the great fielding and baserunning Gallo brought while also bringing elite contact, line drive, and walk skills. He likely slots in as a lead off hitter in NY, allowing Lemahieu to drop down the lineup a bit and garner more RBI. This also allows Carpenter to play DH with Stanton out. Once Stanton returns, the Yanks will have the good fortune to have one extra starter on the bench every game to pinch hit.

[jacksonianmarch]

BA had Beck Way as our #13 prospect prior to the draft. Sikkema would probably have been kept outside of the fact that he’s rule V eligible and there’s zero chance he’d have made our 40 man this offseason. Otherwise, this did nothing to harm our deep farm. We still have the parts for a Castillo deal

[Bellhorn04]

This is huge and it lengthens our lineup. I think we will see Gallo offloaded, likely to Philly, where he can reclaim his value outside of the pressure of the Bronx.

 

Adding Beni keeps the great fielding and baserunning Gallo brought while also bringing elite contact, line drive, and walk skills. He likely slots in as a lead off hitter in NY, allowing Lemahieu to drop down the lineup a bit and garner more RBI. This also allows Carpenter to play DH with Stanton out. Once Stanton returns, the Yanks will have the good fortune to have one extra starter on the bench every game to pinch hit.

 

You might need to review Beni's FanGraphs page.

 

He's far from a great fielder or baserunner. In fact he's a minus in both.

 

The only thing he has done well this year is hit singles.

 

He has 3 HR and his ISO is an atrocious .078.

[mvp 78]

You might need to review Beni's FanGraphs page.

 

He's far from a great fielder or baserunner. In fact he's a minus in both.

 

The only thing he has done well this year is hit singles.

 

He has 3 HR and his ISO is an atrocious .078.

 

Pretty much. Beni has a below average sprint speed for LFers. Out of the top 50 LFers, he's 31st. Out of 50, he's 24th running to 1b and he has the advantage of being lefthanded, just ahead of Verdugo.

 

For defense, he's behind Verdugo for OAA and runs prevented.

 

I don't think you'd get many Sox fans to say that 2022 Verdugo was a great baserunner or fielder. LOL.

[JDavis76]

You might need to review Beni's FanGraphs page.

 

He's far from a great fielder or baserunner. In fact he's a minus in both.

 

The only thing he has done well this year is hit singles.

 

He has 3 HR and his ISO is an atrocious .078.

 

He's a serviceable fielder.

 

He was brought on for his ability to get on base, which is top 10 in baseball right now.