drewski6

I like the league is trying to do the things that I recently learned from MVP that the league is doing. Like how the juicy penalty money is awarded to teams that have their attendance moving in the right direction. This rewards trying to win games, and I think we need even more of this in baseball. Sometimes it feels like teams arent racing to have the best team, they are racing to dump money

It is also still 6/15 AL teams, right. Which doesnt feel out of line. I think the issue is the lack of parity/competitiveness of so many clubs. 6/15 becomes 6/9 if the bottom 6 teams are hardly trying. Baseball badly needs like a cap floor or something.

Im not sure if illusion is the right word. I think that the increase of the chances of mediocre teams is real. Maybe not all the way up to championship contender (thinking a mediocre team sneaking into the third wild card seed) but it does drastically increase their chances at every step. I think that it rewards settling on an incomplete team, but I do think that such incomplete teams really do have a significantly higher chance of making playoffs and maybe even winning rounds.

I was only trying to make a joke that saying that Duran is going to win up somewhere between his 2024 and his 2026 start (so we chop off lest say the last week).....Thats kind of like saying I think Duran will be somewhere between unplayable and mvp caliber...And I was trying to giggle at that

I think Durans 2025 season was underrated. I think projecting 2025 WAR/game from here through the rest of 2026, and 2027 is fair. I think thats ample trade value too. But I dont think we should be looking to move him right now.

Not a bad song! Maybe a little "paint-by-numbers"/formulaic with the 90s soul vocals in front of the jazzy/funky beat.

I like singing that early 90s pop-soul song by the lady who is not Chaka Kahn but kind of has a similar vibe. "Finally, it has happened to me" but changing it to: "Connelly, it has happened to me."

Certainly doesnt have much room for error,

Is there an implication here that he channeled the spirit like Nightwolf helped Liu Kang do in MK II annihilation.

almost feels irrelevant. Not to crap on u for asking or anything like that......I guess he was starting to turn it around and is probably a good bet to be better than an inhouse solution (not talking about infield alignment, because i dont care about it)....But I guess yeah, Story prob a better bet to be better than like whomever would get bumped when he returns (whether thats a cooled off Gasper or Monty Starro)....not trying to imply that hes better ss defensively than mayer.

Usually go a few hours between crapping on RS fans and yesterday I noticed that this was shrunk to minutes, so just wanted to make sure ur okay.

"Let's start with something more basic like, he is unlikely to be as good as 2024, but unlikely to be as bad as 2026 start was." Did not mean range as in time. Im saying that saying Duran production going forward is likely to be between his MVP consideration 2024 season and his DFA consideration start to 2026.....Thats a lot of middle ground and 95% of MLB are somwhere between 2024 Duran (MVP caliber) and 2026 awful start (below replacement level).

cuz you smoked it all.

Im in a brown mood today it would appear. I think my ratio number of times saying poop/crap/s*** per post is higher today than its ever been since I joined.

Also: everyone understands what you are doing.... "Im going to create a giant range (Duran 2024 season to Duran 2026 chopping off before his 2 game hot streak) and then take that massive middle ground that I myself created to portray myself as more reasonable than the typical RS fan whom I cant go 3 posts without crapping on." I can do that too. I predict I will take between 3 and 60 poops between now and the end of may. I just have to average more than 1/3 poop / day and less than 6/day

y r u especially passive aggressive today? did you not sleep well?

Not everyone who says As says Braves but everyone who says Braves said A ....little phoenetical joke for you.

i was gonna ask y we cant like our own posts but i answered my own q, its cuz we give fenway replicas to most liked post of the year...well not we, ive never pitched in.

(likes own post)

okay shania. That dont impress me much.

I think people love the aav/lux tax thresholds because it creates a finite amount of resources and makes the exercise more fun. Like that social media thing where its like $5 burger, $4 chicken sandwhich, $3 ham and cheese.....$4 mac and cheese , $3 fries, $2 lays chips.....$4 beer, $3 lemonade, $2 bottled water , $1 tap water Build your meal but you only get $8 Its fun. Telling someone build the best team but be reasonable is more fun than build team no resource limits.....So everyone uses the lux tax threshold so we can all see who can build the best team with a consistent limitation. So that threshold becomes that consistent upper limit so we are all playing by the same rules. But it isnt like actually as big of a thing as people make. The difference between being $1 over the lux limit and $1 under is $2. I know that (again) after MVP corrected me on how the sweet sweet penalty money is distributed (for a bit of time only, I mistakenly thought that like it was evenly distributed to all non-tax paying teams, so the penalty for being over the line (mark it 0, donnie - lil lebowski joke for you) ....I thought was the forfeiture of that sweet sweet dodger penalty money.....ANd Im happy to see it doesnt work that way. Because baseball is noncompetitive enough. And as evidence, I present to you: the american league.

But my biases are to defend everything not Breslow and s*** on everything Breslow. But im not the only one with biases, im jsut the most honest about them. It boggles my mind how some people will defend at all costs anyone currently affiliated and then completely s*** on em once they are gone. My phone blew up with people talking like cora was awesome one day, to talking about how it was so necessary to turn the page the next. Ditto Betts. Thats the s*** I roll my eyes at.

I dont particularly love or hate the youngster promotions, but what some overlook is how little the lux tax matters and therefore how throw-outable the aav is We are not paying Roman whatever his aav is this yr. Ditto all of em. But like when you extend a young player, you try to structure the actual expenditure in-line with where it would be. If you sign a guy with 3 pre-arb years, you will pay him like 2.5m yr 1, 3.5 yr2, 4.5 yr 3....but if you take the aav, it misleadingly makes it look like that contract (in the short term) is taking away more opportunity cost than it really is. Going by the tax hit is, frankly, stupid. Sure , there will be another shoe to drop. If the AAV is significantly higher than the actual cash outlay in the early years, that means that the opposite must be true in the back years (thats how averages work). But theres a justification for that or a rationale, even if it goes bad. The rationale being like: Im okay paying Bello 20m in the final 2 yrs because those would be free agent years. Or ARB3 yrs , which are high. So sure, Bello may be in AAA by then or bought out (at the rate hes going)....But thats a projection going bad, not a counter-point to teams try to structure the actual cash outlay in line with the normal format (pre-arb,pre-arb,pre-arb, arb1,arb2....)...... Nobods is going to make 20m in what would otherwise be a pre-arb year, its just this weirdo thing that people want to go by AAV. Also, you are absolutely correct to expect and factor in future inflation. I dont think the red sox are particularly cheap. I dont think the red sox are where they are because of these pre-breslow extensions. I think the blame is 100% breslow. I dont think scaling a team this heavily towards pitching and d is a good idea.

Its harder to spend money than some believe. And thats why Im not into all this max efficiency $$/WAR type stuff. I get the math. But the whole trading for value to create budget room....BUt theres not an infinite supply of high priced / worth it talent.....Its not like if someone like Soto becomes available again, theres only 3 bidders , with those being the 3 teams that have the most efficient rosters...... Despite how many times people want to high five over all the high priced, underperformers on other teams and take a victory lap for financial flexibility.....that doesnt mean that all we do is need to wait for next free agency and we can go shopping. FA is usually a bunch of 32 yr old stopgaps.

What were the PA on the .501 OPS. Its easier to get it up when it is over a sample size of like 14 games. NOt that it really matters because the goal isnt increasing his OPS to higher number, its simply having him turn it around. But I reject presenting it as Breslows choice of Ranger > Bregman. It was Bregman who made that choice when Breslow made a fool out of himself and insulted Bregman for no reason.