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Carpin

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Everything posted by Carpin

  1. Another option would be deal Andujar for a TOTR (Bumgarner, Thor, deGrom, etc), if he wins the ROY it will be a major piece in any trade, he already demonstrated that his bat is for real and will be above average in the ML, at the same time he's still young and athletic enough to improve his defense in a less stressful environment. Then sign Machado to fill 3B, his above average defense at the position would be great and we all know about his bat. Don't get me wrong, I'd hate to lose Andujar but for a "game changer" TOTR pitcher it'w worth it.
  2. It will be a short night for Tanaka
  3. You're right, the goal was Harper y/o Machado, but that was before the Stanton trade and Andujar/Torres seasons, I'm not saying wo won't be players for those two guys (or some others) but the urgency is not that big anymore
  4. Happ for me is a no brainer, but we'll need more than that
  5. very nice, I like option number two, rest Severino and Tanaka to have them ready for WC game and the 1st game against the Sox
  6. Price is not opting out unless he has a huge postseason, no way he gets a contract similar to the one he has in the open market
  7. I missed Morton. he's a really interesting option
  8. The only pitcher who is a real possibility here is Keuchel, the rest of them are either not that good or not reaching FA, I agree most of them are good arms but not great pitchers
  9. That's basic probability, but if you go even further (probability of reaching the WS based on previous performance) is something like this: NYY vs OAK (3-3) 50% * vs Bos (7-8) 47% * vs Hou (5-2) 71% = 16.69% vs TB (7-8) 47% * vs Bos (7-8) 47% * vs Hou (5-2) 71% = 15.68%Worst Matchup vs OAK (3-3) 50% * vs Bos (7-8) 47% * vs Cle (5-2) 71% = 17.75%Best Matchup vs TB (7-8) 47% * vs Bos (7-8) 47% * vs Cle (5-2) 71% = 16.69% BOS vs NYY (8-7) 53% * vs Hou (3-4) 43% = 22.8% vs NYY (8-7) 53% * vs Cle (2-2) 50% = 26.5% vs OAK (2-4) 33% * vs Hou (3-4) 43% = 14.19%Worst Matchup vs OAK (2-4) 33% * vs Cle (2-2) 50% = 16.5% vs TB (11-8) 58% * vs Hou (3-4) 43% = 24.94% vs TB (11-8) 58% * vs Cle (2-2) 50% = 29%Best Matchup The way I see it, based on previous records, for Boston the best matchup is expect TB and the Cle and the worst case scenario is OAK and Hou. For NYY is pretty even with any combination of opponents, 2% is the major difference with the best matchup Oak vs Bos vs Cle and worst TB vs Bos vs Hou
  10. I agree, but which pitcher in this year market is a "game changer"? I don't see any, unless Kershaw opts out of his deal and I don't think it will happen for the recent health question marks, I doubt he gets 30M+/yr in the open market.
  11. Walker HR last night was crushed, that was out even in fenway
  12. He does it too, but he's so damn strong that you don't see many "cheap shots" over the RF fence
  13. The Sox lead the season series 7 - 6 very close, the difference is the sweep in August
  14. RF wall is a joke in YS, the LF wall is a different thing
  15. Good analysis, but you are showing almost the worst case scenario, some of the young guys will flame out and some other not in the current picture will blossom. There's a good class of pitching (from the minors) coming at the end of 2019 and 2020, I assume at least a couple will become good ML players.
  16. Cheer up Jacko, with all those injuries we are still in the driver seat for the 1st WC, I know is being rough lately and hard to watch, if Judge can come back strong I like our chances, the key is to hold on the WC lead, if not they will have to travel from the east coast to OAK for the game and then back to Boston for the next, call me crazy but I still like our chances against Boston in a head to head matchup
  17. One thing is for sure, he's making his option for next year not a tough decision for Cashman. I bet we can get him back for a portion of that, he might be a good 4th OF option, solid defense and solid at bats from the bench
  18. It looks like the Yanks talking to the Jays regarding Donaldson, next few hours will be interesting
  19. And the Giants will pick up 1.2M out of those 2.5M they need to stay under the luxury tax
  20. I was thinking about it, there's no prospect I remember right now that I really miss, which was traded during this season (with the exception of Tyler Austin). I will revisit the trades and will make a list. I'm sure there are more valuable players traded away. I
  21. I know, eventually this will make a dent on the farm, but better trade them for something than losing them in the rule V draft
  22. I never say they suck, I just say that it's no big hit, those two for this player is a nice trade for both sides in fact De Paula is a guy to keep an eye on, a big arm and still very young
  23. Nunez has a funny way to raise your expectation, once you are sold on his talent he finds ways to let you down. The guy has a lot of talent but somehow he hasn't been able to put it together for an extended period of time, as a yankee fan I know how you feel about him, at the end he always breaks your heart.
  24. They gave prospects No 23 and No 26 for him, no big hit on the farm
  25. Unavailable C. Frazier 7-day DL D. Gregorius 10-day DL A. Judge 10-day DL C. Sabathia 10-day DL G. Sanchez 10-day DL J. Ellsbury 60-day DL B. Heller 60-day DL J. Montgomery 60-day DL And probably Chapman
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