Hugh2
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Everything posted by Hugh2
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Come on, everybody knows they traded Ruth for cold hard cash. don’t worry, Kyle Harrison isn’t Babe Ruth
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A Realistic Look at the 2026 Red Sox: Part I
Hugh2 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Suggestions: we can put the poll up, but just have it closed before game 1 -
Quinn Priester vs. Kyle Harrison at the time of their trade. Age: QP: 24 KH: 24 IP: QP: 92 KH: 158 FWar QP: -.5 KH: .8 last Prospect ranking QP: 88 KH: 26 Kyle Harrison was a much better prospect than Quinn Priester was at the time of their trades.
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Kyle Harrison is almost the same exact age Quinn Priester was when we traded him last year. When Priester was traded he was 24, coming off of 2 part time seasons where he put up a -1.0 WAR but was a highly regarded prospect who ranked between 58-88 the few years prior. The Brewers took him and got him right. Harrison, same age Preister was last year, .5 WAR the last few seasons, ranked between 26-38 the last few years. At this point in his career, Harrison is arguably a much better prospect than Preister was. If people are angry we traded Priester....they should be very angry we traded Harrison. But that's my horrible take, reality is this is what the Brewers do, they're great at developing guys like Preister.....there's a good chance they get Kyle right and he becomes a very good pitcher.
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Who....in baseball has an "elite" staff?
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Not really, the point was it was two entirely different trades. Here's another crude analogy. People need to think about what defines a "sunk cost" around here. Should the Sox NEVER trade Harrison until he becomes more valuable than Devers? That's exactly how traders who lose all their money in the stock market react when their assets go down. Mentally they don't lose the money until the actually trade an asset away.....so they hold onto it for even longer as it continues to depreciate.
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You realize I was being extremely sarcastic? I like my $100 for $10 example better.
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Alternate comp. Nomar led to O Cabrera, led to Jacoby Ellsbury, led to Michael Kopech, led to Chris Sale, led to Vaughn Grissom, who led to Isaiah Jackson. We have to closely follow Jackson this year to see if the Nomar trade was a good one.
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Red Sox 2025 Season Review/Offseason Preview Thread
Hugh2 replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
At the end of the day these are people trying to predict the future. People are very poor predictors of the future. at 87.5 I'd take the over on the Red Sox. Call me a homer.....I'm going to full homer this year. -
We trade Nomar Garciaparra for Orlando Cabrera, who we lost to FA, but with the compensation pick we drafted Jed Lowrie, we trade Lowrie for Joel Hanrahan. So we essentially trade Nomar for Joel Hanrahan.....what a disgrace.
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A Realistic Look at the 2026 Red Sox: Part I
Hugh2 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Well HUGHCOTA has them at 95-67 -
It literally makes zero sense. Lets say I trade a $100 baseball card for a $1 dollar baseball card. That was a dumb trade, I made a dumb trade. Lets say I take that baseball card that is only worth $1 dollar and I find a guy who gives me a $10 card for it. I made a good trade, comparing that $10 to the $100 card is stupid, very stupid. You can say that initial trade was a bad trade all on it's own but it's just absurdly stupid. I shouldn't say stupid, a lot of people do it and the ones saying it aren't stupid, I'm not saying you're stupid just the comparison is. But I suppose us human beings have an evolutionary instinct for pattern recognition and a tendency to connect things that aren't or shouldn't always be connected. It's kept us alive for hundreds of thousands of years. But it's also why people see Jesus in the clouds, Elvis in a sweat stain, or think Durbin should be compared to Devers.
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A Realistic Look at the 2026 Red Sox: Part I
Hugh2 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
They would be projected to be 1st or 2nd in every division in baseball other than the A.L. East where they are 3rd. To hell with the projections, this team is going to win 95 games. -
Comparing Devers to Durbin is literally the worst take ever....these types of takes really really really need to die.
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This is what I want to know. Was the price really unreasonable? like were they asking for Roman Anthony? because then I don't blame them for hanging up the phone. But if the cost was reasonable but Breslow is just holding on then my opinion could change.
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Neto Fwar the last 3 years: 3.1 3.5 1.1 (1/2 year) THat's really good......that's not great
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Between IKF, Rodgers, Monasterio, and Seigler it's like the Sox were trying to corner the utility/back up infielder market. Obviously not the sexy move we've all been waiting for but not something to discount as well. Most teams are going to see other guys get playing time throughout the year due to injuries. To some extent all teams are going to have SOME injuries. I do think there is value in getting some guys that can put up .5-1.5 WAR from that group. Other teams, and this team in the past have seen bad negative war players take up those roles.
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I think there starting asking price would be Mayer, but BTV accepts Abreu/Tolle/Valera
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Durbins swing was made for Fenway, I expect Fenway to help his numbers out a lot. A sophmore slump is always possible with young guys but we could also see his numbers take a big step forward too.
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Allegedly the asking price was too high......I'd be interested in knowing what "too high" was.
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Yup
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My only concern with Durbin is his arm isn't very strong and he's coming off of right elbow surgery, for such a small guy you wonder if 2B is a better fit long term. Then again, the surgery was very minor and his arm speed isn't slower than Mayers or Storys. So Maybe 3B is where he belongs. I hate to say it, I really do, I'm sure this will rub some people the wrong way and will say I'm saying it just because he's short, but in many ways he does resemble a young Jose Altuve. Altuve was a little guy, with very little bat speed and lower average exit velocities. But it just didn't seem to matter because he had good plate discipline, does not strike out, and squares up the baseball. Durbin could afford to walk a little bit more, but that's pretty much his exact profile.
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I still think that's a weird way of looking at things. What if the "Con man" doesn't outperform Alonso but it's close, he plays above average defense, hits for average with 20 bombs. Meanwhile Alonso hits 40 HR's and that's it, but the Red Sox spent half the AAV on Contreras and also went out and got a #2 and improved their bench? I'm not trying to say that the Alonso is better than Contreras, but if the team is better as a whole and they win 95 games are we really going to sit here and criticize the team because Pete Alonso hit 40 HR's in Baltimore?
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Probably Mayer, I think he plays third, or at least a lot of third. Durbin to 2B
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And I love how we also are getting the 67th pick in the MLB draft this year as well, on top of Durbin. It's not just the pick, but it's the $1.3 million that comes with it. They can go with another pick there, or spread that money in another round.
