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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    Which begs the question, when you're looking to sign or trade for a guy who has been in the league for 4-7 years with no injuries are you getting a freak of nature, or are you getting a guy whose luck is about to run out.
  2. Hugh2
    We lose the #54 overall pick. But the Pivetta signing should net us something around 77 we also forfeit 500k of IFA for 2026
  3. Hugh2
    Sox stats now has the payroll at $252 million
  4. Hugh2
    Doubt it
  5. Hugh2
    Odds are this will be less of an overpay than if they went to 6 years with him. the fact that it’s 3 years is important. The money comes off the books after that magical three years and you’re not paying for him in his mid to late 30’s if he just replicates what he’s done the last few years they’re overpaying by about $5 million a year. Let’s just hope they do the smart thing and plug him at 3B. Ill now take my victory lap for predicting the Sox budget would go over $220
  6. Hugh2
    He was also only 25 last year and was a ground ball pitcher was hurt the most by Bostons poor infield defense. He has good offspeed stuff, velocity and age on his side. Plenty of room for improvment. Think of it this way, the other guys who started games last year (Houck, Pivetta, Criswell, Crawford) were either in the minors, had awful seasons much worse than Bello around their age 25-27 seasons and then they got better. Bello is still at that age where you can almost expect him to get better this season. As a young 25 year old he was better down the stretch. In the 2nd half of the season he had a 3.47 ERA with a 1.2 WHIP. He was as good if not better than everyone else in the rotation. I'm not saying he will be much more than he is now, but at his age....I can't relate to the "cringe" thing.
  7. Hugh2
    I think it's likely any day now we have either Arenado or Bregman on the roster. The question after that comes down to pitching, will we add another reliever? If we don't, hopefully it's because of a clean bill of health in camp.
  8. Hugh2
    Relievers are so volatile year to year, with the exception of the very cream of the crop guys go in/out year to year from being good to bad. I don't think anyone can write off the Sox bullpen, there's a lot of swing and miss there. If Slaten, Chapman, Hendriks and Whitlock are healthy it can be dangerous. And unlike other years the Sox have some young guys who might really be able to contribute.
  9. Hugh2
    IF you signed Bregman: Line up: LF Duran 3B Bregman DH Devers SS Story 1B Casas 2B Campbell RF Abreu CF Rafaela C Wong Rotation: Crochet/Buehler/Houck/Giolito/Bello Obviously There are other players and a bullpen. But that team has 90 win talent.
  10. Hugh2
    if your #3 WAR player isn't a starter then not replacing him isn't the issue.
  11. Hugh2
    Why sign 30 year old free agents to 6-7 year deals when we can trade players away to pay a 34 year old for 3 years. Good thing we don’t over pay for those 30-33 years. makes total sense
  12. Hugh2
    Because CF and then SS are much more importantly defensively and when pretty much all of your value is tied up in your defense, you're going to find yourself playing the more important positions. Rafaelas best position is CF.
  13. Hugh2
    What do you do though if Grissom starts the year on a tear down in AAA, like 1.000 OPS+? There are many scouts who think Campbell is better suited for the outfield. If Grissom turns it around, perhaps his best place is LF. Which does beg the question of who's the 4th outfielder and who is the odd man out between Duran/Rafaela/Anthony/Abreu?
  14. Hugh2
    But that won't stop the bombarding questions about the 2024 draft class, I can already hear the response on the soxprospect podcast now. At this point we pretty much now what the national scouting reports say. But once they start playing games, and guys get eyes on them things can change. People will dissapoint, and some will pop.
  15. Hugh2
    Clarke is a new name. Insert wide eye emoji here.
  16. Hugh2
    Ok that's fine, but there's a difference between what they should be doing and what they ARE doing. That was never my intention to debate, rather just stating the fact.....the team is operating under a budget.
  17. Hugh2
    I agree, but for a team on a budget $18 million dollars is $18 million dollars. Also, let me reiterate, I'd like to see what players teams would be asking for. If a team wants Marcelo Mayer I'm hanging up the phone. I'd also like to weight that vs. much salary relief can we get before having to give up anything at all really.
  18. Hugh2
    I meant, the Sox would sell Yoshidas salary with a prospect.
  19. Hugh2
    I think it would be interesting to see how much salary a team would be willing to take on vs. how high a prospect a team would want to take on ALL his salary. Because depending on the number or player, my mind could change on dumping all his salary, or just paying to get him out off the roster. If the Sox don't make any other moves this offseason, they are better off just plugging him at DH.
  20. Hugh2
    I do think he deserves another chance, I just happen to think that doesn't exclude him from being traded. FWIW I'm not that high on Bleis anymore either. I'm only mentioning Blaze Jordan/Nazan Zanetello because it was reported that "alleged sources" have said those are the names being discussed in a trade with the Red Sox (from Cardinals media). I have no ideal how reliable cardinalslive on X is. I just took those names and plopped it into BTV, it doesn't mean I don't want Nazzan to recover or think it's possible (although I'm admittedly pessimistic), but I feel pretty strong that I don't think a kid like him should hold up a trade at this point. Not sure why the 3 mo older Bleis hasn't falled as much. But he did lose time because of injury and at only 3 months older posted an OPS more than 200 points higher and more than 1/2'd Nazzans K rate. So as bad as Bleis season looked, it didn't look as bad as Nazzans. Bleis is hitting the ball more, just not impacting it. As he fills out that could change, it will never change if all you do is K.
  21. Hugh2
    Yes, as is with my point, some guys pan out and some do not. The fact that Roman Anthony looks good and 8 other guys do not doesn't mean that me saying Zanetello is a bust means I'm also saying Roman Anthony will not make the majors. Completely not my statement.
  22. Hugh2
    And yet he (Miguel Bleis) only struck out 19% of the time, literally less than 1/2 the rate of Nazzan who was just another level of lost at the plate. I'm not sure how many players strike out 44% of the time in the low minors and become big leaguers, I don't think anyone has. Those guys over at SP also have said Bleis is where he is because of his pedigree and raw tools, but if he has another bad season he's going to fall. If he puts up another sub .600 OPS he will be out of the top 20. I get that Nazzan has that 2nd round pick pedigree, but more of those guys have missed the majors than made it for us. Cameron Canon, Nick Decker, Cole Brenan, C.J. Catham. You have to go back ten years to find a 2nd round pick who made the majors for us and that was sub .700 Sam Travis. I like Nazzan, but all he has is a high draft pick pedigree. I hope he can turn it around, but he looks like a bust and I certainly wouldn't let him hold up a trade.
  23. Hugh2
    He's not old for the level, but it's not like 19 is terribly age advance for low a ball. It's not like they skipped him over 2 levels and played him at AA and he was blown away. He was in low A his second year and striking out 44% of the time. Listen, I'd love Zanetello to be a stud one day but it seems insanely unlikely at this point. It's far more likely Arenado is healthy and plays at an all star level again. And I'm skeptical on that one too.
  24. Hugh2
    On a past Sox podcast they said something about no one has ever had a season like he's had an become a big leaguer or something like that idk, maybe it was they never accumulated more than 1 wAR or something. a 44% K rate is pretty awful. Again, reiterating my earlier point that I'm not advocating for this trade just making sense of the rumor's, and I plugged those names in because they were rumored to be floating around. But if I was the Sox, and I liked Arenado, I saw his medicals and I was convinced he was going to bounce back a little, I would certainly not blink at getting a deal done over Zanetello.
  25. Hugh2
    Boras thinks he redeemed himself with the Soto contract. But Soto would of gotten anyone paid. I don't think the players necessarily deserve this but it would be nice to see Boras fall on his face at the end of the offseason yet again.
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