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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Not a point I ever refuted, but as you said the difference was injuries it was KEY injuries. Unless you have some kind of definitive proof that better players are more likely to be hurt in boston than guys who suck I'm not sure what point you're trying to make. My point stands, every team deals with injuries. Does it hurt more when you don't have depth? or hurt more when those are key players? of course. Never did I say the opposite of that. There's still an element of luck, and when you couple that with the additions they've made and the young talent coming up to the bigs AND you were to add a few more pieces (E.G. Bregman, Scott) I think the Sox have all the ingredients to be a contender next year.
  2. Thank you for making my point.
  3. Ok, let me officially state I'm not saying you explicitly said that but you did imply it, maybe not with intent but you did when say things like "The only legit reasons to have a shred of optimism about our 2025 offense are Anthony and Campbell." Which by the way......is one of the reasons I'm optimistic.
  4. It was key players, but if it was anything real, and not just bad luck, the Sox would have a much much larger pool of players down than other teams. They lost 2 more players than the world series winners, negligible in my book. So that squashes that theory flat.
  5. Yeah I get that, but you do realize theres a very large concept of luck involved. Sox lost 28 players last year and the Dodgers lost 26. The Red Sox could lose 20 players next year and end up with a worse record. Or they could lose 30 players and win the division. You can't really determine whether your GOOD players or your BAD players are going to get injured.
  6. So Duran sucks, Abreu sucks, Devers sucks, Story is guaranteed to be injured again and suck, Casas sucks and anyone else they trade or sign for this offseason is going to suck? I'd call that pessimism.
  7. Red Sox players missed a total of 1,928 games last year. Dodgers, who won the series, players missed a total of 2,158 games last year. Although both the Red Sox and Dodgers were both at the top in terms of total games missed with very different results. Guys get hurt all over baseball, I don't think that really needs much explaining nor does that mean anything about the Sox falling apart down the stretch. It happens, that doesn't mean the team is devoid of any talent is going to suck in perpetuity. You don't guys like Duran/Abreu/Houck + are good? and would look much better with rookie elite talent infusion + seasoned veterans who can still play? E.G. Anthony + Bregman? I don't really think it needs to be explained that all teams deal with injuries.
  8. Bregman makes sense to me.....it's Bregman at 2nd that doesn't. He's a gold glover at 3B and you have one of the worse defensive third baseman. It makes all the sense in the world to play him there and slide Devers to DH.
  9. He will be a nice addition in Worcester.
  10. They had a much better Catcher, Anthony Rizzo, a MUCH better Gleyber Torres, a better 3B, a much better DJ LeMahieu A lot of those guys who were better in 2022 are just guys getting older (many of whom are still with them). If anything this outlines how much variations can happen, Sox went from 2 games within a world series to last place from 2021-2022 with very little roster change. This Yankees team is even older now, and the Sox are younger WITH added talent. I'm not running to Vegas and betting on them going to the world series, but I suppose you can say my cup ISN'T half empty.
  11. I don't disagree, but this is true for every other team in baseball. It's also just a piece of the puzzle, guys coming back in 2025 aside, you still have the youth movement that should all be poised to take steps forward. My point continues to be, the Sox have the pieces on the board to take a step forward, there's no one who really looks like they're going to dominate the A.L. THe league is very winnable, and I'd be very excited if the Sox signed "bregman and scott"
  12. The Yankees went from 82-94 wins in one season by adding Soto.
  13. It's not just about additions. You have guys getting healthy again AND a lot of young core talent coming up and coming into 2nd and 3rd years. That has to factor in on top of just their free agent signings. The Yankees literally went from an 82 win team to a 94 win team by adding one really good player. Yeah they lost SOto and added Fried so what? they're still very weak and aging in many other areas. Do you think Paul Goldshmidt is going to hurt us?
  14. I get not being the favorites, but is anyone really a lock to dominate the A.L. East?
  15. I'd argue just signing Scott and Bregman would make us A.L. Favorites. I mean maybe not because of our record last year. But there's NO elite teams in the A.L. NYY literally went from a .500 team to a world series contender in one year by just adding Soto. With a relatively clean bill of health, youth improvement and the moves we made we have the talent to make that kind of jump. I'd be more worried about younger players in Baltimore having bounce back seasons or the talented Texas roster bouncing back before the Yankees this year. Who will still be dangerous.
  16. Crochet is most definitely in for a big payday. Much less than what he would make if he went to free agency (assuming a clean bill of health OF COURSE) but still large. I don't know what that number is. Probably around 6/150 like I've said (maybe more) but I'd be willing to bet whatever it is will be heavily criticized around here as being too much money.
  17. I disagree even more than you're disagreeing. Yamamoto was a free agent, he signed a record contract. Crochet isn't going to ask for or even get anything close to $325 million. Being a free agent at 25 and having 30 teams bid for you vs. being 25 and having to wait two years to hit free agency is not a comp. It's very different. Free agency and extensions are very different. I'll have more evidence to prove my point when Crochet signs an extension for 1/2 or less than 1/2 the money that Yamamoto got.
  18. You’re right. There are various factors playing in here. His age is certainly an Inflator. For that reason Yamamoto isn’t the worse comp, but he was still a free agent, and that matters too. a bird in hand is worth two in the bush. Guys take less money than their “perceived market value” to sign early. getting a guaranteed payday instead of waiting 2-4 years where you could get seriously injured holds tremendous value, which inherently means more on a case by case basis to the player. That’s a cost deflator. And for that reason Yamamoto isn’t the greatest comp. there really isn’t any great comp though.
  19. I think the Sox end up with A.J. Minter and Alex Bregman
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