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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    I like that actually, sure we don't have a 40 HR guy but we have an entire lineup that could put up 20+ not saying they would all do that in one year. But lets' say the went out and signed Bregman/Okamoto Mayer/Okamoto/Bregman/Story/Duran/Rafeala/Anthony/Abreu. Those are all guys who have enough pop in their bats to attack mistakes, Story and Bregman are two guys who can put up 25+ in a full season and we still have yet to see what a full season of Roman Anthony does. If we add one of Bregman/Bichette/Alonso plus Okamoto to this lineup, that's a pretty good lineup.
  2. Hugh2
    I would love an Okamoto signing if there was a larger signing too e.g. Alonso, Bregman, Bichete
  3. Hugh2
    Crap....I like him even more now. I thought I read he plays both 3B and 1B well too. So he kind of leaves to door open for a Bregman reunion or an Alonso addition as well.
  4. Hugh2
    You're probably right on the committment. I'm not sure about the K's though, theres a much much longer list of guys who never made it to the bigs because they couldn't get their K rate down than there are K's who made it to the MLB and then brought their K rate down.
  5. Hugh2
    I'd say the going rate for 2 WAR is more like $15 million, that might go up to $18 million this year. Still, that might be a baseline for Bogaerts, who is in a serious decline, so is he going to put up 2 WAR at least every year? he's under contract for EIGHT MORE YEARS! he could easily be a negative WAR player for the majority of that. I wanted to Bogaerts to stay.....but that ship has long sailed away.
  6. Hugh2
    ADD: High risk Kyle Schwarber is effectively Bobby Dalbec. All the power in the world won't help you if you can't hit enough to tap into it.
  7. Hugh2
    The more I think about it, the more I think I really like Okamoto. I don't think he's going to cost a lot either. If he can be had on two years I'd bite.
  8. Hugh2
    I'm not even sure I want him if they eat half the money. Bogaerts will be 34 next year coming off a 2.o WAR compaign. How much war does he have left in his career 8-10? maybe. He's already declining, and guys hit the wall between 30-35. He's already hit the wall so he will probably be a negative WAR player in about 1-3 years. Per my last comment that I"m guessing you just liked as I got a notification as I'm writing this, there's room for this to be two teams worse contracts. . ADD: that was a different thread. But you did like it! lol
  9. Hugh2
    Bogaerts is staying, and as much as I loved him, he's going to go down in history as one of the worse contracts in history. If we took him back and SD ate half his money it would be the worse contract in our history. It's literally so far in the red there's room for him to be two teams worse contracts ever.
  10. Hugh2
    Is SD willing to DFA 3 guys to make room on their 40 man? So its not just how valuable Campbell/Abreu/Bello/Romero are, it's how much more valuable they are than those guys as well. This is often the problem with 4-1 deals in which every player has to be added to a 40 man.
  11. Hugh2
    Murakami's K rate the last several years. 2025 27% 2024 29.5% 2023 28% Lets keep in mind that players who come over from Japan often see an increase in their strike out rate. MLB has higher quality pitchers. Someone is going to overpay him because he's young and has power, Murakami should scare the s*** out of any Boston fan.
  12. Hugh2
    lol Murakami is a strike out king, in a league that preaches contact. He would be Bobby Dalbec 2.0 here. Probably worse.
  13. Hugh2
    That's funny, I couldn't quite put a name on that lineup but sounds about right.
  14. Hugh2
    I don't really care enough to dig deep and look this up at the moment, but I'm fairly certain that his recovery just took a little longer than expected, he wasnt' injured again.
  15. Hugh2
    Crazy offseason move ideal of the week. Two Trades. Trade 1. Tristan Casas and Kutter Crawford to St. Louis for Brendan Donavan to play 3B. Trade 2. Jarren Duran and Payton Tolle to KC for Cole Ragans. Sox sign Japanese FA Kazuma Okamoto to play 1B Offense. 3B Brendan Donovan LF Roman Anthony SS Trevor Story RF Wilyer Abreu 1B Kazuma Okamoto 2B Marcelo Mayer DH Masataka Yoshida CF Ceddane Rafaela C Carlos Narvez. Bench: Wong/Garcia/Romy/Eaten Rotation: Garrett Crochet Cole Ragans Sonny Gray Brayan Bello Patrick Sandoval Why there is a greater than 0% chance of this happening???? It involves the Red Sox staying under the luxury tax.
  16. Hugh2
    Fitts had severely fallen on the depth chart, and while Clarke is e there is a ton of reliever risk in him. Sox have a lot of guys above him, he was trade bait at the deadline last year too. as someone who didn’t initially like this trade m, I’ve come around on it after doing my homework
  17. Hugh2
    Gray was 17th in all of baseball pitchers in War last year. over the last 2 he’s 10th. hes certainly not the “co ace” we all hoped for, or perhaps a #2 you’d be happy with on a World Series contending team. But he’s definitively better than just a #3 and he’s being underrated by many in here. it is what it is I suppose
  18. Hugh2
    He’s coming off TJ and one year younger than Gray. We have no ideal what he will look like when he comes back, which might be mid 2026. Unlike Gray, he heavily relies on his fastball so if the velocity comes back then he might be fine but if not…he’s cooked.
  19. Hugh2
    I think you can put Sonny ahead of Schittler and Bello and probably even Rodom at this point. Rodon last 2 years Fwar = 4.8, Gray = 7.4 you also mentioned very young g talent with very little MLB experience on other teams like Schittler and Yesavage and don’t list guys like Tolle and Early, who have big ceilings of being #2 and could be consistent contributors by seasons end. FWIW if we go by 2026 projections Crochet: 5.6 Sonny Gray: 3.9 Dylan Cease: 3.8 Max Fried 3.6
  20. Hugh2
    You assume that “how good” a player is alone dictates value? Or maybe not but whether intentional or not you certainly imply it. Valdez vs. Cease is intriguing because they have almost identical value. 21 FWar to 20.5 FWar but. Cease is one full year younger, that is probably why he ends up paid slightly more. if Cease can get 7/210 6/175 is a pretty good asking price for camp Valdez
  21. Hugh2
    I mean Crochet had an elite elite season. There’s an insanely small group of pitchers on earth that are close to Crochet.
  22. Hugh2
    Dude struck out 200 batters the last two years in a row, how many guys can say that? he still has elite swing and miss and some of the best breaking stuff in the entire game. it’s one thing to expect the moon (no pun intended) and hate it because it’s not Skubal, but it’s another entirely different thing to try and poo poo the trade and convince everyone else Gray sucks. Gray is our second best pitcher.
  23. Hugh2
    I’m not sold on the narrative that Gray couldn’t pitch in NY, but I don’t think we should ignore it either. i forgot where I read this, but someone was pointing out how Sonny should pitch well in Fenway, he gets hit to CF/RCF but rarely gets pulled down the line. This should play out well with the pesky poll and monster and spacious centerfield This seems to be back up by Sonny Grays impressive 6.84 ERA and 1.82 WHIP at Fenway park.
  24. Hugh2
    Yeah no that’s fine, I’d you’re trading one of your outfielders and adding a big bat on the infield he’s fine at DH. Not prototypical but he’s not a bad hitter and by no means a black hole in the lineup. Doesn’t strike out, makes contact, I get it.
  25. Hugh2
    Right yar
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