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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    But why? to be fair, we've never seen what Bloom will do with a full checkbook, never. This is realistically year 1. ADD: I'm not expecting him to turn Boston into L.A. I'm just saying I won't be shocked if he signs a big-time contract this offseason.
  2. Hugh2
    This is why I actually love opt outs. The narrative is how player-friendly opt-outs are but I disagree. If a guy is opting out it's likely because he gave you 2-3 years of great production in his prime and there's more tail end than front end on his contract that you just got yourself out of.
  3. Hugh2
    There's never no chance, especially when over the last two decades the Sox have been a top 3 spending team. Everything is cyclical with the Sox, I remember one year they said they would never sign long term players again and they let Lester walk and didn't even bother to make a run at Max Scherzer, and then the very next year they go out and throw hundreds of millions of dollars at David Price. There is a long-term need up the middle for the Sox, especially if Bogaerts walks and you will never have a better free-agent class up the middle than we have this year. I will not be surprised if they end up signing one of those guys.
  4. Hugh2
    To be fair, if history is any precedent, Bloom is just as likely to trade Devers for prospects before his last year of team control. Especially if Bogaerts ends up being the guy you sign an extension for, you might figure he slides over to 3B and if Casas is locking down 1B then Devers is the odd man out. I'm all for a Devers extension, but I can easily imagine a scenario where he is not resigned here. Easily.
  5. Hugh2
    I don't disagree, but I'm not sold that he won't either. Bloom never had an owner with a checkbook before and his first full year here he was operating under the mandate (a presumption with strong evidence) of getting under the luxury tax limit. Those handcuffs appear to be gone at this time so we're seeing Bloom operate under circumstances we have never seen before. The Sox have been tied to both Correa and Story, they were tied to Baez too and he signed elsewhere so this could just be standard checking in and seeing. I would be shocked, but not completely surprised if the Sox sign a big-time SS this winter, if Bogaerts walk they have no obvious replacement right now and there's not much in the market next year it's all there this year.
  6. Hugh2
    I think there's also a very real and good chance that JBJ is much better than he was in 2021. His career averages are much better than he was last year, and he got a late start and was battling plantar fasciitis for most of the year. I think the deal was about the prospects, but I do think the Sox also think JBJ is going to perform much better in 2022 as well.
  7. Hugh2
    You could, but you do not have to. He still has plenty of team control left, probably still needs a little more time to develop, and may end up being a starter by the end of 2022. Injuries and underperformance can happen, and maybe if you believe in his bat one day you trade Verdugo instead of him. Perhaps if his defense take a step forward but the bat doesn't progress quite how you wish he replaces JBJ as a 4th outfielder. Just because you're not penciling in Duran to start in 2022 doesn't mean you trade him, but you could? sure.
  8. Hugh2
    Great analysis. The biggest difference between the two may be that Correa may stick at SS going forward and if he loses a step can likely give you an above-average 3B/2B. Devers in a few years down the line may be a 1B/DH type. Devers pure hitting skills and power may last longer into his 30's while Correa either may develop more power as he ages or decline. Time will tell. If the Sox are willing to start spending heavy for a few years and Story > Correa = more players (Suzuki and an extension or two) I'd prefer Story.
  9. Hugh2
    Here is my 2022 outfield. LF Verdugo CF Kike RF Suzuki 4th outfielder is defensive wizard JBJ who bounces back to have a .715 OPS.
  10. Hugh2
    Again, we're comparing a market system to a specific industry, so it's literally like comparing apples and oranges.
  11. Hugh2
    There's plenty of supply of baseball players, you just don't get paid unless yo'ure at the top. That's how it works in famine and feast industries. There's no shortage of people who consider themselves writers but most of them teach high school 40 hours a week. That's how it goes in the entertainment industry as well, no one buys season tickets and wears a doctor's jersey to go watch surgery.
  12. Hugh2
    Professional sports is also very unique in that it's all famine or feast. You have to be in the top .01% of your profession to make money. Unlike something like....nursing, you could be in the 50% percentile as a nurse and make a living, if you're in the 50% of pro baseball I'm not even sure you make it to low A.
  13. Hugh2
    This is also true, but to Harmony's point I think he would remind us that there are a lot more players signing out of the draft for 10K than there are negotiating million-dollar deals.
  14. Hugh2
    One could argue once a player hits arbitration that it exactly fits the bill. Of course, that is not the case based on your playing time.
  15. Hugh2
    But Whitlock is young and controllable for years to come, he could become a staple in your rotation. He adds significantly more potential than both Wacha and Hill. Unless he’s struggling in ST, Whitlock is filling one of those slots. Assuming of course they plan on starting him.
  16. Hugh2
    Going into spring training I don't really think there's ever a set 5. You have a few guys you know will start and most teams have competition for the back end of the rotation. Hill/Whitlock/Wacha are all going to be competing for that 5th spot, and the way things work out you need more than 5 starters anyways. I think the Sox want Whitlock to be the guy but they're building depth. Injuries happen, guys regress, so you can never have enough pitching.
  17. Hugh2
    That's an easy bet to make, the odds that any singular prospect gets traded has got to be less than 50%. However, with Notins original point, the thing is he doesn't have to be traded for it to be true. Binelas can add depth to the system and another could be traded instead.
  18. Hugh2
    Exactly. The purpose of a the farm system is to support the major league club; support comes in the form of replenishing the ranks and trading from your depth. Bloom has really built up the farm system in Boston and put them in a position to have the ability to make trades that can immediately impact the big league club. Now will he do it? and will that come this offseason or perhaps they're more aggressive at next years deadline depending on where they are. IDK.
  19. Hugh2
    This is what I'm thinking, the trade looks more like buying prospects as is but it makes sense for a team that wants to compete in 2022 if they make another move in the outfield. For a team that has been making moves that makes it abundantly clear they have no plans on avoiding the luxury tax, I find it insanely hard to believe they don't plan on competing in 2022. The lock out may make us wait a long time for some clarity here but I'm anticipating more moves.
  20. Hugh2
    I think they give one of them a chance to start, I just don't think they are willing the assume the risk of both of them being in the rotation. My guess is Whitlock becomes a starter because of the upside he shows there.
  21. Hugh2
    Logic, and reason. That’s how I know.
  22. Hugh2
    I think you got it twisted, you keep talking like the Sox traded for JBJ, JBJ was the throw in. It was all about the prospects. They're going to sign an outfielder.
  23. Hugh2
    Exactly, they're paying a hefty price for a 4th oufielder, but they got something in return for it and if they replace Renfroe with a better player the 26 man is better anyways. Aren't we always complaining about the Sox not spending money? I mean I get it, people don't like the Sox spending money unless they're signing MVPs and Cy Youngs.
  24. Hugh2
    It does if you're signing someone like Suzuki.
  25. Hugh2
    It's about 2022 too if you sign someone better than Renfroe to play in the outfield.
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