Hugh2
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Everything posted by Hugh2
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Ughhh What? LOL you'r seriously going to reference one stat line, AVERAGE? you could have at least rounded up to .240 instead of down to .230. Schwarber is also a .813 life time OPS hitter behind only JDM .881 and Devers .834, and that puts him ahead of Bogaerts, Verdugo, and well.....everyone else. Unless of course you want to say AVG > SLG/OBP. Which would just be bonkers.
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No, but maybe? Arroyo is playing good this year, but he has a lower career OPS than Dalbec. I like Arroyo and hope he's blooming into a better player but he could be riding a high, and he's never been a full-time player so who knows. Bobby could turn back into a pumpkin as he has before but so could arroyo. If that happens, you stick Kike back at 2nd and Schwarber into LF.
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I don't think his upside is as high as much as Bloom just likes his profile of a power bat. Dalbec is never going to be a high average, high obp guy. He's going to hit .225-.240, strike out a ton and maybe hit 30 HR's. That's fine if he can improve his D and walk more. But that's not a huge ceiling for a 1B profile.
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If, or Perhaps when Dalbec turns back into a pumpkin. He's sporting a 1.143 OPS the last month, and given how so much of our offense has been struggling right now I think you HAVE to ride the hot hand right now. Let Bobby show you he's going to slump again.
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No, because with Arroyo out Kike was at 2nd, who else was going to play 2nd? Schwarber was in LF because Duran was struggling bad and they were riding the hot hand at 1B with Dalbec. I'll reiterate a point I've made multiple times because I think we generally agree here. I think we could and perhaps should see Schwarber at 1B at some point.......it's just that up until this point it hasn't really made sense to put him there.
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I didn't say it wasn't, it just hasn't been lately. When Schwarber was acquired Arroyo wasn't in Boston, Duran was struggling and Dalbec was fine, as a matter of fact Dalbec is sporting a .282/.351/.576 stat line in the 2nd half. Up until about 4 days ago when Arroyo came back to Boston it was Dalbec at 1B put Schwarber in LF because KIKE was not in the OF with Arroyo out. Yes, Dalbec could turn back into a pumpkin which is why I was very careful to specifically say we could still see Schwarber at 1B some point this season. But so could Arroyo. In 480 career PA Arroyo has a .691 OPS, and in 444 PA's Dalbec has a.783 The OF is fine now because Schwarber is there and Kike is back, but removing Dalbec from the lineup removes your best hitter for the past couple weeks and one of your best hitters in the 2nd half.
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Well, it kind of is or was. I'd be willing to bet that if Dalbec continued to hit below .600 OPS in August like he did in July and Duran was mashing in LF that Schwarber would be at 1B right now and Duran would be in LF. But Arroyo plays 2nd and Duran got sent down to AAA.
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if JDM took the one year it's probably a blessing. It might not look like that because he's in a bad slump, but he's still a very good hitter and being able to sign him for just one year is ideal. The Sox are staying under the luxury limit to go over next year, so the cash is going to be there and on a one-year deal JDM is NOT going to hamstring them from throwing money at a starting pitcher.
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I do think Schwarber was acquired with plugging him at 1B in mind, but as an outfielder first and considering Dalbec has been better than Duran it made a lot more sense to just keep him in the OF. That could change, but it's not going to happen right now. I think that's why you see him in the OF, not because they're afraid to put him at 1B or his hamstring or anything like that.
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But to answer your question, you’d get a farm system.
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This is a good argument for trading Mookie Betts. I think you’re half wrong here. Paying guys isn’t a problem, paying guys brings in talent and wins championships. The problem is you can’t pay everyone $30 million dollars to man every position. Even the Dodgers don’t have a $400 million dollar payroll. You need young cheap players and that starts with a strong robust farm system. FA fills in the gaps, it’s about balance. Also, it’s about how the guys you pay perform. It’s about knowing who you pay and who you let go. Bogaerts is going to (deservedly) get a raise. He’s a keeper in my book. He’s not going to get whatever he wants, he’s going to get what he’s worth.
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Not sure why anyone is talking about Schwarber playing first anymore. Dalbec has been fine lately, Kyle fills the biggest black hole in the outfield. Things could change, and at some point probably will at some point.
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That we will lose because I suspect the Sox are going to pick up some FA's. Pick #41 looks a little bit better now.
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I think adding a salary floor is a real possibility. But the union accepting a lower tax limit of 180 (even if the first line of penalties aren't that harsh) is about as absurd as the extension the Red Sox offered Jon Lester.
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Also It showing on the field isn’t an indictment of them being “low spenders” how much if their payroll is tied up in guys like David Price? This is what happens when you spend like a drunken sailor, you pay for it in later years.
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Yes but this isn’t a new development. The penalties for exceeding the luxury tax are progressive, the further and longer above the threshold you spend the harsher the penalties become. Teams like the Sox have shown time and time again they’re willing to go above the luxury tax threshold only to get below it and reset. The only team who has not done this has been LA, and even that’s changing as they’re getting below it. Even in “down years” the Sox still have top payroll, and we can fully expect them to reverse course and use a reset year to set themselves up to spend big again.
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MLB revenues vary by team, but the luxury tax limit is the same for all.
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So their lowest spending year has them still outspending 24 of 30 teams and you think that’s evidence they aren’t one if the biggest spenders? The Sox spend money, over the long term horizon almost more than any other team, no one can call them frugal. Point.
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Red Sox payroll rank 2021 6th 2020 4th 2019 1st 2018 1st 2017 6th 2016 3rd 2015 5th 2014 4th 2013 4th 2012 3rd 2011 3rd Calling the Sox penny pinchers is just delusional
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I still think Whitlock could start next year. They really like his arsenal and view him as a potential starter.
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They took a big gamble in it paid off. In a year in which they only had 5 rounds the Sox had no second round pick. They identified a guy at #17 that no one had going in the first couple rounds. People had him going in the 4th-5th round. They knew they could draft him to save the money and throw it at whoever fell to them. You look stupid when those guys bust, but genius when it works out.
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Hey, one place can be the difference between October baseball and golfing in Florida. I think the Sox success is due to their blend of spending and constraint. They’re a top payroll team, but they’re unwilling to consistently go above that threshold like LA. They’ve avoided big contracts and embraced them, they’ve hoarded prospects and emptied them out for people like Chris Sale. People can say what they want, cry all day, and whine because we didn’t outbid the world for a player or because we don’t want to top the Dodgers in spending but what MLB team has had more success than Boston in the 21st century? You can’t argue with two decades of results.
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How much did the groin pull delay his recovery? Because it didn’t really seem to delay him at all, maybe a day. Schwarber is now #1 on the Sox in OPS. Anyone who says they didn’t do anything significant isn’t even worthy of a response at this point.
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As much as I love JD you let him walk. Unless he wants to cut you a deal you don't invest in 34-year-old hitters asking for top dollar. Not when you might have to deal with a Bogaerts opt-out too, and Devers/ERod will need extensions. JD is the odd man out. If the money was there........I'd put it into another starter.
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I'd take it even one step further, is Schwarber really not playing 1B because he's not ready and the Sox thought he would be by now? Or are they just not playing him there yet? He's only been in the lineup for days, and Dalbec had been hitting, and we know how Cora likes to rotate guys and go L/R/L/R etc.