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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    Whats the real difference in value between JBJ and Renfroe? I think it's obvious that Renfroe is more valuable than JBJ that's a no-brainer. But if you project reasonable progression and regression into the equation Renfroe is marginally more valuable than JBJ. Now you add the prospects into the equation, now if the Sox go out and buy a better RF than Renfroe and JBJ becomes an upgrade for your 4th outfielder how much better does the roster get? I'm not going to judge this trade until opening day, because I believe it's a precursor to other moves.
  2. Hugh2
    Who are you going to spend it on? I'm sure you can pick up a pitcher but even after all the signings, there's STILL more talent left in this years free agent class on the position side than next year. I think you look to fill those holes now.
  3. Hugh2
    You could easily trade JBJ and eat a lot of his salary for prospects, but you're just not getting anything great in return. I just don't understand why you make that trade. JBJ is likely due for a huge rebound, it's almost impossible to be worse than last year. It's still a reasonable opinion that JBJ's rebound is not good enough to be a starting outfielder given his offensive profile but it could easily be enough to be a great defensive 4th outfielder......and that's something the Red Sox really needed this offseason. So I don't know why you trade JBJ, especially if you're going to eat his salary anyways.
  4. Hugh2
    The only real leverage the players have is to threaten the season, I think no one wants a repeat of 1994 but it's not going to be real enough to get the owners to the bargaining table until that becomes a reality. I think we hear nothing for 8-10 more weeks and then talks heat up and a deal gets done. Be prepared for a LONG winter.
  5. Hugh2
    That last little step makes a huge difference. I wouldn’t bet against him being a serviceable player in Japan.
  6. Hugh2
    It's worth noting that while the average salary is down, top-tier salaries are inflating as high as ever. It just seems that no one else is getting paid.
  7. Hugh2
    I think we should have been asking that question anyways. Before last year his career-high was 68, he had an all-around career year and I'm not sure we should expect him to repeat those numbers.
  8. Hugh2
    He could be a phenom and be up by the end of the year in 2023, he could also take 6 years to become an everyday shortstop at the MLB level. The latter would be absolutely fine and perfectly justify the pick. You don't make decisions at the MLB level based off of an 18 year old out of highscool. SO much can change over the next several years.
  9. Hugh2
    Also, If you're a Sox hitter a lot of your away games are played in NY and Toronto which are also hitters parks and stats indicate have been more HR friendly than Coors in recent years.
  10. Hugh2
    On the contrary, I think we can do exactly that. https://www.espn.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor/_/year/2020
  11. Hugh2
    They were in the ALCS at the end of 2021. If we want to discuss their budget for 2021 we should acknowledge that the team is largely set and most of the money is spent in the 2020/2021 offseason and before the 2021 season begins. At that point in time, the Sox had the 4th worse record in baseball and were garbage. It would be fair to counter with the trade deadline, but made better deals with better results than a heavy cash investment would have rendered and If you think you can do that and stay under with a star 2021/22 class on the horizon I think you do it.
  12. Hugh2
    Maybe, I think he will sign though. Pure conjecture here on my part but I wonder if he has a pretty good ideal of where he wants to go and what they're going to give him and everyone is just waiting for the dust to settle. I'd be more prone to believing he goes back to NPB if the lockout extends into the start of the season.
  13. Hugh2
    Well at least we know he will be good at Fenway. Keep in mind he wasn't horrible away, he just wasn't that great. Without looking it up I think his OPS was .750 but his defense is great and much better than the other offensive-minded players at SS. Don't we want elite defense at SS???? Keep in mind Baez has a lifetime OPS about .30 points higher than Storys away splits. Baez is also a guy who led the league in strike outs. Now I know strikeouts are overestimated, but still we had a lot of that in our lineup and I don't think it needs anymore. His OBP is barely above .300 I suppose you could say the same thing about Story though, high strike outs but he does walk a little bit more and he seemed to cut down on the swing and miss in 2021. They're actually kind of similar, you'd think if you like one you would like to other. Baez might have offered positional flexibility SS/2B. But with Bloom and Cora calling the shots I could see them doing the same thing with Bogaerts/Story.
  14. Hugh2
    To exemplify this point. Early in the year without Sale they were coming off a campaign of having the 4th worse record in baseball. WIthout your star pitcher, why wouldn't you wait one more year to spend on FA when the next years class is 10X as talented? Now, I love how you mentioned Schwarber, because at that point Sale was coming back and the Sox were in the playoffs.
  15. Hugh2
    Because the team was horrible
  16. Hugh2
    It's been reported that the Three teams in on him heavy are NYY, TOR, and BOS. BOS has the best fit and need for him, and his swing was made for Fenway park. Doesn't mean anything right now but I say there's plenty of reason to speculate the Sox are in on him.
  17. Hugh2
    Sox paid tax in 2015 and 2016. In 2017 they stayed under. Sox went back over in 2018 and 2019. Sox got back under for 2020 and 2021. Sox have a history of getting under, resetting and going for it. They finished 2 games out from the WS last year with all the main pieces coming back and a much stronger system. If history is any precedent it's a good bet the Sox are going over this year. I could be wrong here, I just briefly viewed the figures on COTS, the team as currently constructed is about 4 million under. If we believe they want to stay under in 2022 then we are effectively saying they're done. It's such a crappy place to be because we could debate this for the entire lockout while we are in wait and see, but I would semi surprised if they do not make additional moves before the 2022 season starts.
  18. Hugh2
    But they stayed under the limit last year, they're going over it this year.
  19. Hugh2
    I mean, the first of that 4 year stretch he was just 23 years old, and the second sub .800 was 2020. I'm not factoring 2020 into anything really. Correa is a stud, I would love to have him on this team in his prime (if possible, that's a whole debate), even if it's just for a few years.
  20. Hugh2
    Easy solution, you give him an opt out. Ok, you lose him in his prime but you get him in his prime and don't have to shell out 35+ million per year when he's in sever decline.
  21. Hugh2
    I would say takin on millions of dollars of payroll for some AA prospects is pretty good indication you don't care about the luxury tax this year. Hey I could be wrong, but I actually think their moves indicate they are comfortable going over. Let also not forget (lock out be damned) the offseason is technically not over, the market is loaded with talent and the trade market exists too.
  22. Hugh2
    The Red Sox have been the 3rd HIGHEST spending team the past couple DECADES. What makes you think that's going to change? The Sox go through these cycles where they reduce spending for a year or two to get things in check but they always put themselves right back at the top. Why do we think things are going to be any different now??????? WHy?
  23. Hugh2
    Why blow your load when you have zero farm system and the 4th worse record in all of baseball? The FA class was pretty weak and the Sox didn't have the assets to trade. Just like a team can peak so too can an organization. I'm just saying to don't discount the possibility. The Sox have a long history of changing direction every couple years. Everytime they say they won't do a thing that other people do it's only a year or two before they do. Just like my Lester to Price example.
  24. Hugh2
    As fans, we always have a biased opinion. Nothing wrong with that, but someone like Bloom may very well feel he's better off with Story at SS for the next several years. We just don't know.
  25. Hugh2
    Seiya Suzuki.
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