Hugh2
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Everything posted by Hugh2
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I honestly don’t get the allure of stallings, he’s not that good. A Wong/McGuire platoon might be much better than him.
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I’m fine with a McGuire/Wong platoon next year. If anything I’d sign Vasquez or Contreras and save my trade chips for some pitching. Which we need more than a catcher right now.
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Do we really want Hosmer there? I know the bars been set pretty low the last few years. Hosmer had a 3 war season years ago at age 27. Since then he’s been either below 1 or negative war. Going into his age 33 season should we expect more or less? He’s defense isn’t good either. Again, I know the bar was set low but he’s a lousy 1B. I know he’s free, but there’s a reason he’s free.
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It’s looking like Wong is going to be the better prospect out of that deal. In hindsight.
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You make that assumption with 100% of MLBers. But with a system flushed with talent, why are you so eager to trade a potential middle of the order bat? There’s other guys, who don’t have a place next year you could trade away? It just seems so unnecessary.
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I mean, there’s a lot of inbetween here but often trades are a “a bird in hand is worth two in the bush” scenario. When you suck, you’re not trading for MLB talent. You’re trading for two potential MLBers
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Agreed, but we have other top prospects to trade who we don’t need to fill immediate holes. Then you have cost controlled guys at 1B and a SP. that gives you even more flexibility to fill those other needs.
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I think you can add Anthony to the “looks really good so far” I know we didnt get the best draft grades but early returns suggest we had a phenomenal draft. Remember these guys grading a draft are the ones judging based on their own biased, flawed rankings. They really have no ideal.
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I’d explore Mayer heading that deadline first. Now you have a cheap pitcher and a 1B next year.
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But yes, generally speaking I like Aaron Judge.
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I believe BA and/or FA graphs had them at 9. Pipeline has them at 11
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Aaron Judge is irrelevant, the point is it’s easier to swallow those big contracts when you can constantly turn out top tier talent onto your team, you’ll never get there by trading it all away. I’m all for trading guys, but never trade a guy where you have a hole. We have a hole at 1B and our top prospect is a 1B man.
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I’m not trading Casas I’m starting him at 1B next year. The more cheap home grown guys you have like Casas, the easier it becomes to go out and throw money at a guy like Aaron Judge
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I think both Dalbec and Duran have stock going down, but I don’t think wink, or cutter ever had as of expectations. Maybe Cutter develops into a great bullpen arm. Bello there’s still hope for. Guys at the top of the system have more promise than they have over the last several years roo
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I think if you go over, you go up against the next threshold. I don’t think the Sox want to go over that number. So hypothetically they may have that $110 million of Bogey opts out. Devers already accounts for 11 million of that so even if you lock those two up you’re still looking at somewhere north of 60 million they have to spend (if they want too). I think they need to trade for some cost controlled pitching. I expect big things this winter. I’m sure I’m going to be let down, but they’re probably going to spend big enough to surprise someone around here
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It gets expensive staying over, but do you lose draft picks staying over just the first threshold? Given where they pick and What they get, the Dodgers are phenomenal at drafting. Gotta pump money into scouting too. It’s a crap shoot, but that still matters
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The way I envisioned a small market GM in a big Boston market was the blend the strategy. Use the financial muscle to get some top tier talent on your team but to imply the organizational building philosophy used in Tampa to round out the roster. If that’s the goal, this is the off-season to do that. Blooms pass ends with the 2023 season.
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And then they traded him for Joe Kelly, who was lights out in the 2018 world series. lol
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Lackey was worth every penny for that 2013 season and that game 6 performance.
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IDK, but I'm sure you can figure out, Just take League WAR and League PAs.
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Arroyo has .7 even if his playing time double and you assumed the same level of production that puts him on a path to finish the season around 2 WAR, maybe a little under. 2 WAR is an average to a better player. Not all-star, but not bad. Definitely a step above role player.
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If 2 WAR is just a role player what does that Make Arroyo and Whitlock????
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If there are 5 starters per team (for argumentative purproses, injuries happen and all that) for 30 teams, then ideally out of 150 guys the top 30 are your #1's your 31-60 are your #2's and 61-90 are your #3's so on and so forth. This might be a semantics battle, but I say an ACE is your top pitcher, so hypothetically your top 30 pitchers in baseball are an ACE. Now, maybe there's a difference between the top 5 and top 25-30 that's fine. But I believe that's a fair argument because what's average is completely reliant upon what everyone else is doing. If runs per game go up and the average ERA is 6.00 then all of a sudden a guy with a 4.00 ERA is an ACE. It's all relative to what everyone else is doing. Of course, AS fangraphs has said, league ERA changes from year to year, and I'm just looking at ERA leaders from this year. Maybe next year there are 30 guys in that group. IDK.
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Also, how does one establish what a #1 starting pitcher is? To me, I'd say you'd have to be a top 30 pitcher in baseball. one for each team (I know it doesn't work out that way) but by the metric of an ERA below 3.00 that means there are only 15 #1 pitchers in baseball.
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Without looking it up, how much does that change? maybe that makes an awful season a bad season, or a bad season borderline average to below average. Porcello had two seasons were he was servicable and I wouldn't call bad but I wouldn't call great either, and one as an ACE. In the end he won a cy young here and helped the Sox win a world series in 2018, not going to complain about him but I think I remember expecting more out of him. He was pegged as a guy to buy low on who might develop into an ACE, and then he did....for one season.