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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Well I'm not going to pretend that the people I personally know of retirment age moving to CT are an accurate representation of the demographs. But overall, CT has seen a population increase and the largest in decades the last several years. That's well documented too, and most of those people are coming from NY, and we have higher taxes.
  2. Maybe, I can take your word for it. But what do you, or I, or any of us really know about prospects in other peoples systems? Who was ranked higher at the time? At the time of the trade Downs was regarded across the industry as a better prosepct, and Gaterol had health concerns. Also, an above average regular up the middle in the infield would be about 1000000X more helpful to the 2024 team than another relief pitcher at this point. Of course, we're not even having this conversation if the Sox prioritzed extending homegrown star talent.
  3. A category 5 shitstorm.
  4. Hindsight is 20/20 Jeter Downs would have looked pretty good at SS last year or 2nd this year if he panned out.
  5. Then why are more of them going to Connecticut/New Jersey than Florida?
  6. Whether or not you're drafting pitchers high, it would still pay huge dividends to be able to scout, and develop them better. I don't believe they don't have a lot of pitching talent solely because they don't draft them high.
  7. Yup, people move out of connecticut, but in recent years there's been a huge uptick in NYers moving here. I saw my property value double, I bought my house for $350,000 in 2018, and today it's worth over $700k. All the New Yorkers moved here, and they decided to stay because they can all work remotely now. The price of things tells all.
  8. It looks very unlikely both those guys start in Boston. So it will probably have to be Abreu.
  9. I'm not arguing against any of that, I just think the Sox inability to develop elite pitchers is multi-faceted. They don't draft them high, they don't draft them often, and they don't do a good job at developing guys either.
  10. Is it even that much? I always thought the GM might get involved in the first pick and after that it's pretty much your scouting department.
  11. Downs was the 44th best ranked prospect in all of baseball at the time of the trade, and before he lost his prospect status Verdugo was ranked even higher. No one can predict with precise accuracy a human beings future. YOu can be the best evaluators, best scouts, best predictionists in the market and still be wrong a lot. To this day, the biggest blunder was the decision to trade Mookie because of their unwillingness to extend him when he was younger and that may have been a possibility.
  12. I'm sure a good relief pitcher is what would have put this team over the top last year.
  13. Oh, that's well established. The good news is, that is a fixable problem.
  14. Strider was also drafted in the 4th round. Proof that Boston can still draft high school short stops from California with their first pick and still get more pitching talent in the system in any given draft.
  15. I won't argue against that, I do wonder if they would have let him walk or would have traded him if they were able to resign Bogaerts.
  16. If this is all Breslow can do because of constraints, I'm optimistic that he can, but that is going to make me pretty bearish on this team the next couple years. They will need good health, and good luck to really compete. Which has happened, and can happen, but as I said earlier, 2022 seasons happen more often than 2021 when you go diving in the bin.
  17. I'm going to stand outside Fenway this year and hand out paper bags for people to wear over their heads.
  18. If the Sox trade for a front line starter, what good is that if they're unwilling to sign that guy to an extension? In an age where guys don't sign extensions unless you give them what they think they can get in FA that just doesn't seem to make much sense. It makes sense if you're a 90 win team and view that guy as the extra pieces to put you in world series championship mode for the next 3 years. Unless you think a guy would give you a team friendly deal, but why would any pitcher on earth do that in Boston right now? The allocation of resources at this point to try to build a better team today and have a brighter future, is to either draft and develop better pitchers OR go out and spend some freaking money on some pitchers AND draft and develop better pitchers.
  19. The thing about SNell is he was two Cy Youngs, not one but two. He was the best pitcher of baseball then fell off, then came back. That makes him very risky, but it also means that if there's something in him that is fixable, he could be the biggest steal in free agency. If someone can get more of the 2023 version out of them they will be rewarded handsomely. That team is probably not the Sox, if that permutation of Snells future even exists.
  20. For the sake of brevity let me just say yes, I completely agree with that.
  21. You wouldn't think so, there's no smoke, and he doesn't fit the type of pitcher they like. Which isn't hard these days.
  22. That's fair, I don't want them to spend just to spend. I want them to spend on the right guys. Maybe they see something in a guy that they think they can improve in him or get more out of him in an 8 year window. Of course to do that you have to trust your internal pitching apparatus. I wonder what Breslow and company think about Montgomery/SNell. If they don't like those guys then I wonder if they think they could get a guy like Giolito right?
  23. I don't think it was an accident, they just made horrible decisions at building a better roster. They just came off a season in which they were 2 games away from a WS. They thought they were going to compete in 2022. They were wrong. They also could have easily shed payroll at the deadline to get under if they really wanted too.
  24. And the year before they were 6th, a position they'd be pretty close to again in 2023 if they signed a premier guy like Judge e.g. (not that they should have). I think it's more telling to look at how much a team spends over a several year window. It's obvious the Sox are allergic to long term deals, particularly pitchers. Which is an interesting strategy to have when you don't want to draft and develop them.
  25. No, they wait until the 4th round to take guys throwing 90 MPH.
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