Hugh2
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Everything posted by Hugh2
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Yeah you’re right, I saw that he has an opt out. I’m not sure Bellinger is back, he certainly had a bounce back year but to his MVP campaign level at all. But even if he’s just good, he could probably get more than $50/2 next year.
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Or like… $26.67 million for three years.
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Even then I don't think it's accepted. If he's worth exactly $12 million for one year why not go out and get $30-$34 million for 3 years? Just as you said, I agree, I think he would seek a longer deal in that situation; this is probably why mutual options are almost never picked up by both sides. But it gets him $2 million dollars with the opt out.
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I'm not sure the money has anything to do with it. If he's not worth 12 million, The Sox aren't exercising their end, if he's worth more than that then the player isn't exercising his option. I'm sure someone can dig up some mutual options that have been picked up on both sides before but they're almost never picked up by design.
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I'm not running to the betting markets and throwing money on it, I just don't like he has a bad arm (talent wise). He just didn't cut it as a starter and has a hard time locating the ball, when you can shorten your arsenal and focus on only throwing a two pitches opposed to 3/4 sometimes guys take to that well. It's not a terribly unlikely story. Look, we're going to find out one way or another this year. He's out of options and he's finally going to be moving to the bullpen.
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Certainly he can fail in the bullpen too, but young arm moves to the bullpen and cuts down on his arsenal and improves his command isn't the most unlikely story. It's the reason why many guys get moved to the bullpen to begin with.
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Does he not have a MLB arm? or does he not have the control or ability to stay healthy to stay on a MLB roster. He seems like the kind of guy who can be moved to the pen and just take off. But the Sox should have done that last year.
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All the Red Sox have to do is hit, pitch, run, and play defense better. Besides that they’re an excellent team
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Are we really making up nick names already? This team hasn’t even played one game yet and we have already moved into aligning ourselves as supporters or haters of Breslow? What did we expect him to do in his first offseason? Sign Yamamoto or Ohtani? Or is it the other free agents that the other 29 teams haven’t signed either? It’s painstakingly obvious ownership has given him a budget to operate under. And all trades he’s made with the Sale trade aside as brought in what this organization significantly lacks. In the absence of ownership telling him to go big after free agents the only other thing he can do is draft, and he hasn’t even had one yet. Look, it’s a free country, but calling him “Bres-slow” at this point just seems a little ridiculous.
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Well let’s see. 5 years of team control for a starting MLB outfielder is probably astronomically higher than a relief pitcher who’s had one good year with 3 years of team control.
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What do you see in him that makes you think he’s like a college arm that will flame out? I’m certain no Sox fan have ever heard of this guy before today. Obviously he has a high bust rate, but he seems to have a high ceiling. If you were trading for a guy more MLB ready, you were never getting anyone near that potential for Schreiber. By all accounts this is a good trade.
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This is exactly why BTV is garbage at times. Sandlin offers a ton more upside than Scheiber ever will. Sure, maybe he doesn’t even reach the majors. But the Sox traded a relief pitcher, who isn’t their greatest, and depending on who is in the bullpen wouldn’t even be a late inning guy for a prospect who has a chance to a be starting pitcher. Royals aren’t even going to that good this year. Interesting to see what CB does with this guy. Sure, he hasn’t made any really big time splashes yet, but he’s a pitching guru who’s been getting back mostly all pitching in his trades so far. These are obviously guys he and his circle have identified as guys who they can develop.
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The amazing thing about Casas was how people were still putting him down into July, because so many at the end of the day only look at that overall stat line.
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We should have sold high on him, this is EXACTLY why we should trade Anthony and Teel right now.
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Even though PEDs can drastically reduced recovery times, players can still get injured, re-injured or another acute injury. Some guys just suck at staying healthy.
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I suspect he works out.
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80% chance? That’s not much of a prediction. It’s closer to 100% for every team.
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Pepen has been wrong before, then again he’s also been on the money other times. I predict 125/6
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The only other person I want to see playing CF on this roster in Rafaela, I hope he’s with the big club if they’re trading Duran. If they trade Duran it’s presumably in a package for a front line starter. Go out and sign a guy and now things look astronomically different
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If you factor in two years inflation, giving him the Olson contract is about $140-$145 million ten years. I’d offer him 150/10 with maybe team options at the end.
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I dunno, I don’t really buy the difference between CBO and POBO, I think it’s more semantics really. I would agree though, I think Dombrowski had more autonomy than these guys but I also don’t think it’s an apples to apples comparison. Dave had a much larger resume and track record than these guys. I think that commands a certain level of autonomy no matter what your title is. He also walked into a team that largely had the core together for their next run, he did make a lot of key additions. Would Breslow be given that level of autonomy if they felt they were closer to a championship? I dunno, I think we could find out next year if they look a lot closer at the end of 2024.
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I'm going to take the lazy mans way out and say 50/50, but if I was being honest I'd call it 80/20 I don't think it's probable, but if you think there's no chance I'd like to convince you that you may be surprised. Everything comes down to dollars, if the dollars are right it makes cents. (ahhh see what I did there). I'd say there's a 20% chance the asking price goes down far enough that the Sox would look at someone like Montgomery and say, well heck we should bring him in. Maybe he will take something with an opt out after a couple years too when his wifes residency is up here. Can he be offered a QO? he wasn't because he was traded last year, so I think he could be offered one next year if he had a one year opt out and opted out. Which honestly doesn't make sense because next years market has even more competition for him. Who knows, I know nothing.
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I think Brez is still in on Jordan/Blake, although from what we can gather it sounds like it would be Jordan over Blake. Fans won't like to hear this, and have effectively already annointed Bres-slow the next Bloom but in a vaccuum I can't blame him for sitting out an offseason if the price isn't worth it. I try to look at things over the long term horizon and in a basket of seasons and not just any given year. To me, it's the aggregate effect of offseason after offseason after offseason of seemingly doing little to nothing to put together a championship caliber team. I'll pretty much withhold my judgement on him for a year. But I do think it will be interesting if he signs them, because I don't think he will do it out of panic, but rather a caclulation. To be fair, all 30 teams haven't signed these guys so far. So either something is up and we have no chance regardless, or the price is low and Breslow is doing the right thing by waiting it out.
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Human phsyiology is a fairly exact science. There's a distinct difference between an acute injury, and a chronic one. you do not develop a chronic injury in the course of a day or two, you develop it over time E.G. the wear and tear of pitching over the course of years. Acute injuries stop you in your tracks, chronic develop slow over time. If he had elbow surgery that offseason the argument would be stronger, but even then, I would still say that THAT would be a "the straw that broke the camels back" incident. But he didn't, he had it years later. You can't pinpoint one week in an 11 year career and say "this....this is what caused this chronic problem" If I develop lung cancer tomorrow, I'm not going back to a new years eve party 3 years ago where I smoked a f***-ton of pot. And let me tell you....it was a lot.
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I find it interesting that all of a sudden Law is higher on the Sox system than everyone else.