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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. How much have the Rays (and other AL East teams) benefited from playing their interleague games against the floudering NL East? The AL East have four teams above .500 with a 28-13 record this year against the NL East, including Tampa Bay's 7-1 record. In contrast, the AL West has only two teams above .500 with an 11-22 interleague record against the powerful NL West. AL East teams are a combined 13 games above .500 while AL West teams are a combined four games under .500. How much of the difference can be attributed to the relative strength of interleague opponents? Each division should be competitive this year.
  2. On March 31 FanGraphs had the Red Sox postseason chances at 38.9 percent: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds?date=2021-03-31&dateDelta=
  3. FiveThirtyEight surprisingly give the Red Sox only a 32 percent chance of advancing to the postseason, ranking behind the chances of the Yankees, Rays and Blue Jays: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2021-mlb-predictions/?ex_cid=rrpromo FanGraphs currently ranks the Red Sox, with a 53 percent chance of advancing to the postseason, ahead of the Rays and Blue Jays: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
  4. No apology is necessary. I wasn't much different as a college freshman in 1973. We all hope to grow into our better selves. Go out and do great things.
  5. I recall a repeated theme but a quick search turned up this example: https://www.talksox.com/forum/search.php?searchid=579692 Slasher appreciated the posts: https://www.talksox.com/forum/threads/18413-9-18-Baltimore
  6. Despite the presence of Mike Trout, Albert Pujols, Justin Upton, Andrelton Simmons, Shoehei Ohtani and Anthony Rendon, the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim have suffered five straight losing seasons (a dubious feat the Seattle Mariners have not achieved in the past 30 years). His writeup suggests that Thunder has graduated from UConn. It's seems like only yesterday that Thunder was an incoming freshman with a forum post that could be interpreted as a tad misogynistic. Perhaps this old fart was particularly sensitive because his younger daughter was an incoming freshman at a public university in the opposite corner of the country. Coming full circle, my daughter concludes her college athletic career Sunday outside Philadelphia with a competition that includes ... UConn. Congratulations to the 2021 graduates.
  7. Kike Hernandez placed on the IL:
  8. Each side has a bias.
  9. Aside from Alex Verdugo, Andrew Benintendi's outfield competition would have come from Franchy Cordero, Hunter Renfroe and Kike Hernandez, who now have OPS+ of 17, 58 and 88.
  10. In 35 plate appearances over his last nine games Andrew Benintendi has posted a .419/.486/.742/1.228 line with nine runs, three home runs, six RBi and one steal. https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.fcgi?id=beninan01&t=b&year=2021
  11. This fan was angry at the Seattle front office the day in 1997 when the Mariners traded Jason Varitek and Derek Lowe to the Red Sox. But not because of the Heathcliff Slocumb trade. On the same day the Mariners traded outfielder Jose Cruz Jr. to the Blue Jays for relievers Paul Spoljaric and Mike Timlin. Unlike the floundering Varitek and Lowe, Cruz had entered the 1997 season as Baseball America's 12th-ranked prospect. In that season's AL Rookie of the Year voting Cruz finished second ... to Nomar Garciaparra.
  12. Derek Lowe and Jason Varitek were hardly "up & coming" when the Seattle Mariners traded the pair to the Red Sox in July 1997. Baseball America ranked Lowe No. 70 in 1993 and No. 63 in 1994 but had long since dropped Lowe from its Top 100 prospect rankings. Baseball America ranked Varitek No. 51 in 1996 but dropped Varitek from its 1997 rankings because of the catcher's undistinguished performance. Instead of "up & coming," the stock of Lowe and Varitek was dropping. It's a cliche, but hindsight is 20/20. The trade worked out fabulously for the Red Sox and dismally for the Mariners. Seattle fans take some comfort in that at the deadline the previous year the Mariners traded Darren Bragg for Jamie Moyer, who posted more WAR than Lowe or Varitek for his new team (and for his career).
  13. Today Logan Allen gave up a homer, homer, walk and homer to the first four Minnesota batters. Dating back to his last start, Allen has surrendered homers to six of the last 12 batters he's faced.
  14. Columnist John Tomase has changed his tune: https://www.nbcsports.com/boston/red-sox/time-appreciate-2021-red-sox-and-start-no-one-saw-coming?fbclid=IwAR1nNyqq0jokdNVkgsmb1Q9Bp6BfLahPN5SRpIHUBAG_-z9_S9EtZ0pOlLs
  15. This Seattle blogging is not to everyone's taste but ... https://www.lookoutlanding.com/2021/4/25/22402470/mariners-pitchers-invent-new-strike-zone-fail-against-boston-invent-cyborg-dragons-instead-lose
  16. The underdog Seattle Mariners came into Fenway Park with a negative 3 run differential, left with a positive 4 run differential but could manage nothing better than a split. Looking forward to the three-game series in Seattle come September.
  17. Ljay Newsome is making his case to replace Nick Margevicius in Seattle's six-man rotation.
  18. Seattle is taxing its bullpen as the Mariners approach an important four-game series at Houston starting Monday. The M's may need to swap relievers from their alternate site. The Mariners have played only three of their first 22 games against AL West opponents.
  19. Seattle seems to have stranded a ton of runners at third base in the is series. The Mariners left a combined 19 runners on base in Games 2 and 3 of this series,
  20. FWIW the Red Sox this year have posted a .254/.293/.419/.713 line against lefthanded starters in eight games and a .292/.360/.481/.842 line against righthanded starters in 14 games. https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/split.cgi?t=b&team=BOS&year=2021
  21. Lefthander Nick Margevicius lost the Spring Training battle for the final slot in Seattle's six-man rotation but joined the rotation on April 13 after James Paxton went down with a season-ending injury. A Seattle blogger's preseason report on the 24-year-old Margevicius, who has an ERA of 5.49 in 21 career starts: https://www.lookoutlanding.com/2021/1/20/22240024/40-in-40-nick-margevicius
  22. To state the obvious, the Red Sox are more likely than the Mariners to maintain this level of play. But there's always hope with this year's anticipated arrivals of Jarred Kelenic and Logan Gilbert (and later Julio Rodriguez, Emerson Hancock, George Kirby, Noelvi Marte and Cal Raleigh).
  23. Despite a daunting April schedule the 13-8 Seattle Mariners have lost only one of their first seven series: winning four, losing one, splitting one and assured of no worse than a split of the Red Sox series.
  24. The awful East Coast weather is brutal on West Coast teams that need to make up rainouts in the eastern half of the country. The Red Sox and Mariners could probably play a makeup game at Fenway on Monday, June 7, when Seattle is enroute to a series in Detroit (amid a 10-game road trip) and the Red Sox have a day off between hosting the Yankees and traveling to Houston.
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