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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. harmony
    Matt Barnes is a good reliever who landed two-year, $18.75 million contract for 2022 and 2023. This year Barnes has already posted 1.7 fWAR, valued at $13.8 million, but FWIW ZiPS projects Barnes with 2022 and 2023 fWAR of 0.6 and 0.6: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/matt-barnes/12863/stats?position=P#zips-3-year-projections This year 0.6 fWAR is worth about $5 million.
  2. harmony
    Dodger righthander Blake Treinen has a career ERA+ of 138 and a FIP of 3.31. https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/t/treinbl01.shtml Treinen in January signed a two-year, $17.5 million contract with a team option for a third year.
  3. harmony
    Did anyone suggest that one stat was better than the other? OPS against was just an odd stat to single out. Posters now have contributed a broader variety of stats. Good for us.
  4. harmony
    Among qualified relievers this year, Matt Barnes ranks 21st in BAA (Batting Average Against): https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=y&type=1&season=2021&month=0&season1=2021&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2021-01-01&enddate=2021-12-31&sort=10,a ... and 31st in ERA-: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=y&type=1&season=2021&month=0&season1=2021&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2021-01-01&enddate=2021-12-31&sort=14,a
  5. harmony
    Jarren Duran hopes to better the MLB debut of fellow outfield prospect Jarred Kelenic, whom the Seattle Mariners reportedly will recall today. Kelenic, who is nearly three years younger than Duran, posted an .096/.185/.193/.378 line and an OPS+ of 8 in 23 games with the Mariners before being sent back down to Tacoma. This year Kelenic has posted a .320/.392/.624/1.016 line in 30 games at Triple A.
  6. harmony
    Sounds like market value.
  7. harmony
    BTV is far, far too volatile in its valuations.
  8. harmony
    Another Matt Barnes comp from today's chat at MLB Trade Rumors: https://www.jotcast.com/chat/chat-with-mlbtrs-steve-adams-7-14-21-11030.html
  9. harmony
    Good point. One small sample and one even smaller sample.
  10. harmony
    Daniel McElveny is the second high school shortstop the Red Sox drafted this year out of Chula Vista, California. Bonita Vista High school is located less than three miles from Eastlake High School, which produced Marcelo Mayer, the fourth pick overall.
  11. harmony
    Mere speculation, but ... Matt Barnes' agent may have approached Red Sox management with Liam Hendriks as a comp. Last offseason Hendriks signed a three-year, $54 million contract. The front office may have countered with Alex Colome, Mark Melancon and Greg Holland, who last offseason, like Barnes this year, were coming off solid campaigns. Colome and Melancon signed one-year, $3 million contracts while Holland signed a one-year, $2.75 million contract. Negotiations may have resulted in a contract in the range of those signed last offseason by Blake Treinen and Trevor May. Or not. Treinen and May signed a two-year, $14 million contracts.
  12. harmony
    33-year-old Blake Treinen has posted 7.5 fWAR in 461.1 career innings, 31-year-old Trevor May 5.1 fWAR in 348.2 career innings and 31-year-old Matt Barnes 5.2 fWAR in 374.1 career innings. Draw whatever conclusion ... or no conclusion at all.
  13. harmony
    Yes. Matt Barnes, whom ZiPS projects with 2022 and 2023 fWAR of 0.6 annually, did slightly better than a similar aged and experienced Blake Treinen, whom ZiPS projects with 2022 and 2023 fWAR of 0.8 annually: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/matt-barnes/12863/stats?position=P#zips-3-year-projections https://www.fangraphs.com/players/blake-treinen/12572/stats?position=P#zips-3-year-projections Hometown biases can skew valuations. Or not.
  14. harmony
    ^^^^^^^^^^^
  15. harmony
    Marcelo Mayer is the highest draft pick out of Eastlake High School, Chula Vista, California, since Adrian Gonzalez went No. 1 in 2000. https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/sports/high-school-preps/story/2021-07-10/marcelo-mayer-mlb-draft-eastlake-high-chula-vista-pirates-tigers Last year the Minnesota Twins took Eastlake shortstop Keoni Cavaco with the No. 13 pick of the first round. https://www.baseball-reference.com/draft/?key_school=ad6ab2e9&exact=1&query_type=key_school
  16. harmony
    I joined this thread with a numbers-laden post in response to your first post that simply read: "Kimmi, this is a highway robbery steal." https://www.talksox.com/forum/threads/20141-Barnes-extended?p=1401762&highlight=robbery#post1401762 Should Matt Barnes fire his agent?
  17. harmony
    Some posters offer bald opinions while others post supporting numbers.
  18. harmony
    Liam Hendriks had posted 5.2 fWAR in 99 games over his two previous seasons while Matt Barnes has posted 5.2 fWAR in 362 games over his entire MLB career. Some overvalue Barnes' small-sample 37-inning turnaround from his forgettable 2020 season.
  19. harmony
    The Red Sox paid full market price. Nothing wrong with that.
  20. harmony
    Last offseason Liam Hendriks (3 years, $54 million) was the only reliever to sign a multiple-year contract with a higher AAV than Matt Barnes' two-year, $18.5 million contract: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021-mlb-free-agent-tracker/sort_column-position__sort_direction-1 Brad Hand and Trevor Rosenthal signed one-year contracts with higher AAVs. The 31-year-old Barnes' closest comp might be righthander Blake Treinen, who was 32 years old in January when the Dodgers re-signed Treinen to a two-year, $17.5 million contract that covered Treinen's first years of free agency.
  21. harmony
    Before the season FanGraphs gave the Los Angeles Angels a 39.5 percent chance of advancing to the postseason and the Red Sox a 38.9 percent chance: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds?date=2021-03-31&dateDelta= Their seasons have gone in opposite directions but the Red Sox had one of their better West Coast trips with a 3-3 record. Five of six games were decided by one run as the Red Sox were outscored 23-22. Nothing like the 12-1 shellacking the New York Yankees laid on the Mariners in Seattle last night.
  22. harmony
    The Red Sox scored 18 runs, and gave up 18 runs, in the first five games of the West Coast trip. With the exception of last night's 5-3 loss, all games have been decided by one run.
  23. harmony
    Seattle pitching prospect Emerson Hancock was the scheduled starter for the Everett AquaSox in all three minor league games I've attended this year. Hancock was a last-minute scratch in one contest but was solid in the other two games: https://www.milb.com/gameday/aquasox-vs-hops/2021/05/06/642739#game_state=final,lock_state=final,game_tab=box,game=642739 https://www.milb.com/gameday/aquasox-vs-canadians/2021/06/19/642688#game_state=final,lock_state=final,game_tab=box,game=642688
  24. harmony
  25. harmony
    Heading into Monday's games the Los Angeles Angels and New York Yankees are fourth-place teams with identical 42-41 records.
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