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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. With a 9-14 record (and a -14 run differential) against AL West teams the Red Sox need to overcome their deficiencies to beat good clubs.
  2. To be fair, the Athletics outhit the Red Sox 15 to 9 and stranded 17 runners to only 8 for the Red Sox.
  3. Outside the Astros and the Red Sox, is the AL West stronger than the AL East? The "weak competition" of the AL West has a 57-48 (.543) record in head-to-head competition against the AL East.
  4. My air conditioning went out Monday when the real high temperature in Portland reached 116 degrees.
  5. With a negative 42 run differential the Seattle Mariners have a Pythagorean record of 37-45 (Pythagorean hurts the Yankees as well with a 40-40 record). The Mariners are 12-6 against the AL East. AL East teams have improved to 47-56 in head-to-head competition against the AL West (after recently being 10+ games below .500). The AL East drew the easier interleague matchup this year with a 36-19 record against the NL East while the AL West is 22-33 against the loaded NL West
  6. Halfway through the season the Seattle Mariners have a better record than the New York Yankees ... playing in a tougher division.
  7. But the Red Sox avoid the Seattle Mariners, who have won 12 of their last 16 games (including a 6-1 record against AL East teams).
  8. A Washington Post analysis of the "lucky" first-place Red Sox: https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2021/06/24/boston-red-sox-lucky-first-place/
  9. The last three appearances by Tampa Bay reliever Peter Fairbanks were walk-off losses for the Rays: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.fcgi?id=fairbpe01&t=p&year=2021
  10. The similarities are merely interesting. The comp of Will Middlebrooks and Mark Reynolds was lambasted by Red Sox fans who projected Middlebrooks as a perennial All Star. FWIW, the Steamer rest-of-season projections for Jake Fraley and Jarren Duran: JF 33 G, 137 PA, .227/.313/.376, 95 wRC+, 0.2 fWAR JD 27 G, 101 PA, .259/.311/.377, 86 wRC+, 0.2 fWAR https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jake-fraley/19260/stats?position=OF https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jarren-duran/sa3006786/stats?position=OF
  11. Jake Fraley, the speedy lefthand-hitting outfielder for the Seattle Mariners, remains a decent comp for Jarren Duran, who is 16 months younger than Fraley. Fraley has posted 0.9 fWAR in 25 games this year. Do the math. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jake-fraley/19260/stats?position=OF Fraley and Duran were drafted out of prominent college programs and have posted these minor league numbers: JF 257 G, 1076 PA, .288/.365/.485/.850, 72 SB, 28 CS JD 229 G, 1025 PA, .317/.377/.471/.848, 76 SB, 25 CS
  12. Jake Fraley, the speedy lefthand-hitting outfielder for the Seattle Mariners, remains a decent comp for Jarren Duran, who is 16 months younger than Fraley. Fraley has posted 0.9 fWAR in 25 games this year. Do the math. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jake-fraley/19260/stats?position=OF Fraley and Duran were drafted out of prominent college programs and have posted these minor league numbers: JF 257 G, 1076 PA, .288/.365/.485/.850, 72 SB, 28 CS JD 229 G, 1025 PA, .317/.377/.471/.848, 76 SB, 25 CS
  13. To expand: The Red Sox are 10-2 in interleague play, 8-6 against the AL Central and 8-13 against the AL West: https://www.espn.com/mlb/standings/_/view/vs-division
  14. Just sharing the facts. Draw whatever conclusion you wish ... or no conclusion at all.
  15. The Seattle Mariners are 9-5 (.643) against AL East teams (but have not played the Yankees or Blue Jays). AL West teams are a combined 47-39 (.547) against AL East teams.
  16. And OBP counts a sacrifice fly (and a sacrifice) as a failed plate appearance. A player with one hit and two sacrifice flies in three plate appearances has a batting average of 1.000 but an on-base percentage of .333.
  17. Like again Friday night after the 36-36 Seattle Mariners shut down the defending American League champs 5-1.
  18. At least the Seattle Mariners helped the Red Sox on Thursday night with a walk-off win against the Rays.
  19. Time for the Rays to feast ... or not.
  20. Make that 35-17 against everyone else. The Red Sox are 7-13 against the AL West and 30-12 against everyone else.
  21. The Seattle Mariners, whose Opening Day payroll went from $146 million in 2019 to $54 million in 2020 to $73 million this year, should have as much money as any team to spend in the offseason. Whether the Mariners choose to spend is another issue.
  22. Yep, just as the NL West makes the AL West look bad. That's the point. Entering Wednesday's games, AL West had an 11-22 record against the NL West and a 130-115 record against all other teams. FWIW with the Red Sox loss tonight the AL East falls to 33-38 in direction competition with the AL West this year.
  23. In games against everyone else but the AL East, the floundering NL East is 110-107...(entering Wednesday's games)
  24. The Red Sox are currently 6-10 against the AL West..
  25. The AL West is currently 37-33 against the AL East and 11-22 against the NL West. If only the AL West could replace the NL West with the AL East.
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