harmony

Ryan Jeffers has two years of team control with a projected 2025 salary of $4.7 million.

Some blogs are cringe-worthy: https://sodomojo.com/mariners-might-have-perfect-buy-low-trade-candidate-if-red-sox-are-willing-to-deal-01jag9y1wms8 ☹️☹️☹️

Of course if Arizona wants to move Jordan Montgomery, the Red Sox would need to top all offers from other teams. How much cash would the Red Sox be willing to add to a trade of Masataka Yoshida?

Baseball Trade Values grants limited access: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades?page=1 On the topic of Baseball Trade Values: We all bring our own biases when we question BTV valuations. Baseball Trade Values recently assigned Seattle catcher Cal Raleigh a surplus value of $19.8 million. Raleigh plays a premium position. Over the past three seasons Raleigh topped all catchers with 13.9 fWAR, valued at $111.4 million. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&month=0&ind=0&startdate=&enddate=&season1=2022&season=2024&pos=c $111.4 million https://www.fangraphs.com/players/cal-raleigh/21534/stats?position=C#value Raleigh, who turns 28 years old next month, has three seasons of team control with a projected 2025 salary of $5.6 million. The past three years Raleigh's home run production has increased from 27 to 30 to 34 playing his home games in a pitchers park. The relevance of RBI has been questioned because of the stat's dependence on factors outside the hitter's control. Still, Raleigh drove in 100 runs this year on a club that for much of the season struggled to score runs. Perhaps the BTV valuation overlooked Raleigh's defensive skills that have been credited for the success of the Seattle pitching staff. Raleigh, who led MLB in innings caught, may receive a value boost from his recent Gold Glove nomination. The Mariners would be more likely to trade a starting pitcher than trade Raleigh.

Would Red Sox have any interest in Minnesota closer Jhoan Durán? The Minnesota Twins Should Explore Trading Jhoan Durán This Offseason - Twins - Twins Daily TWINSDAILY.COM As the offseason approaches, the Minnesota Twins face critical decisions about their roster and payroll. One intriguing question looms: should they consider trading one of their most dynamic...

Humor and sarcasm are often lost on the internet.😁

Well-informed baseball fans.😁 The technical lead for TalkSox is also the technical lead for TwinsDaily, BrewerFanatic and NorthSideBaseball: https://x.com/brock_beauchamp?lang=en

Other trade candidates from the Minnesota rotation: Will the Minnesota Twins Trade Joe Ryan or Bailey Ober This Offseason? - Twins - Twins Daily TWINSDAILY.COM It's more likely than you might think.

What could the Red Sox offer for 28-year-old Minnesota righthander Pablo Lopez, who has three years and $65.25 million remaining on his contract? If Twins Owners Want to Clean Up Their Books, Pablo López Could Be a Trade Candidate - Twins - Twins Daily TWINSDAILY.COM The front office might have to get creative to find financial relief.

What are the most recent BTV values on Trevor Story and Masataka Yoshida?

https://archive.fieldingbible.com/DRSLeaderboard

FWIW all five Seattle starters are mentioned repeatedly in trade discussions on this forum but Jarren Duran is never mentioned in this offseason's trade discussions on a disreputable Seattle forum: https://www.marinertalk.com/viewforum.php?f=3 🙂

The last MLB club to use only five starting pitchers over a season was the 2003 Seattle Mariners, who won 93 games in the second of 20 straight years without a postseason berth. https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/SEA/2003.shtml

What need do the Mariners have for a nearly 32-year-old infielder owed $77.5 million after posting 0.9 fWAR over the past two seasons?

This year the Diamondbacks paid Joc Pederson, a lefthand-hitting DH only, $12.5 million to put up 3.0 fWAR, about twice what Masataka Yoshida has posted in his first two MLB seasons. Arizona is unlikely to pay more for less production.

Would three years of Trevor Story at $75 million land the Opening Day starter for a loaded Seattle rotation? That trade has about the same chance of happening as a trade of one year of the righthanded bat of Mitch Haniger at $15.5 million for Triston Casas. Nil.

Jarren Duran's impressive age 27 season in 2024 is reminiscent of Jacoby Ellsbury's age 27 season in 2011 and Darin Erstad's age 26 season in 2000. Neither Ellsbury nor Erstad was able to replicate his outstanding season. Duran's single breakout season won't be enough to land Logan Gilbert or George Kirby, who have established themselves for at least three seasons. Seattle may need hitters, but perhaps not as much as the Red Sox need hitters. This year the Mariners and Sox each posted a team wRC+ of 104 although after August 15 Seattle registered a league-leading wRC+ of 118 while the Sox slumped to 83. The Seattle resurgence was fueled by the additions of Randy Arozarena and Victor Robles, a pair who will likely flank Julio Rodriguez in the outfield next year. Duran would not fill the Mariners' greater needs in the infield. The Red Sox might be wise to trade high on Duran but fans should temper their expectations on the return.

Why would the Giants trade a bonafide ace* in Logan Webb for a package headlined by an unproven prospect or a designated hitter who has underperformed his contract? * in 66 starts over the past two seasons Webb ranks second in fWAR among all pitchers: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&ind=0&postseason=&startdate=&enddate=&month=0&season1=2023&season=2024

Is Baseball Trade Values too sensitive to small recent samples for relievers?

Some attribute the success of the Seattle pitching staff to the receiving skills of catcher Cal Raleigh.

To be precise: The narrative that the Red Sox need pitching and the Mariner need hitting is overblown. The context was lost in your cherry-picked response.

One mystery is how the Red Sox wRC+ went from 111 on August 14 to 83 the remainder of the season to finish at 104: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2024&month=0&season1=2024&ind=0&team=0%2Cts&rost=&age=&filter=&players=0&sortcol=17&sortdir=default&pagenum=1 Does that trend hold any significance going forward or is the late-season sample too small to be meaningful?

All else being even, an established starter is worth more than a designated hitter. The Giants need the high upside of Robbie Ray more than they need the annual sub-1.0 WAR of Masataka Yoshida.

This season 31-year-old Michael Conforto posted 1.3 fWAR in 130 games while 31-year-old Masataka Yoshida has posted 1.4 fWAR in 248 games over his two-year MLB career. The San Francisco Giants are unlikely to trade Robbie Ray and their former closer for a downgrade from Conforto.

Last offseason the trades of Robbie Ray, Jarred Kelenic and Marco Gonzales, and the trades for Jorge Polanco, Luke Raley and Mitch Haniger, were all surprising.