Let me correct this.
You’re looking at team numbers and applying them to a single player This is not true. One hit per week from Vlad Guerrero is worth more than one hit per week from Sergio Espinal, because Vlad’s hits are for more total bases based on each player’s SLG. Team data involves a distribution of hits not every player is capable of achieving.
There are many formulas for Runs Created. The most basic one they are all derived from is Total Bases*(hits +walks)/PA. So a blanket statement that one hit per week = 2 more wins (an increase of 20 RC) is entirely dependent on the total bases involved with those extra hits...
I am NOT the one who tried to equate hits to WAR. See post 706.
I only talked about how many fewer hits there are between two separate batting averages over 500 ABs…
Wins? Or runs?
30 hits 2 wins. But it does correlate to X runs. I thought every delta of 10 runs constitutes another win (up or down).
I’m not sure of the hits to runs metric, but I don’t think 30 hits = 20 runs…
At some point, the Sox might have to wonder if returning Sale to the rotation even makes sense. Maybe not the case in 2022. But if he doesn’t opt out after this season (and he won’t), he is signed for at least two more seasons for $55 mill…