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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    Varitek did test free agency but ultimately signed with Boston. I believe that was after 2004…
  2. notin
    Exactly. A “hometown discount” is really a contract where the players takes less money to avoid other risks before free agency…
  3. notin
    1. Every player always says they want to stay where they are prior to reaching free agency. 2. Per Heyman, there was no counter offer. You either believe the report or not, but picking and choosing what parts you believe is tantamount to making up your own story 3. If Bogaerts wanted to stay and especially if that was his priority, they’d make counter offer. There is no other way to make it happen. It looks like Bogaerts wants Boston as long as Boston meets his price. Which means playing in Boston is not the priority for Xander. And really, that’s how every player is. They don’t hire agents to get them on the teams they want to play for…
  4. notin
    Exactly. And in a handful of games, the jury on Story is still out…
  5. notin
    But Semien’s career isn’t built on playing home games in Coors, too. I admit, I’m not big on Story. The only thing I like right now is that he does prove the Sox are not Tampa Bay North…
  6. notin
    I do think the Semien deal would be better if Semien was allowed to play shortstop…
  7. notin
    Unlike you, I won’t speak for Xander. At best I can guess (and point it out as such). But if you think Bogaerts wants Boston, why was there no counteroffer from his side? Whether or not he was insulted is immaterial. (Especially since Bogaerts was not likely there when Boston made the offer.) If Bogaerts wanted to stay, he would have already had a number in mind. Why not present it?
  8. notin
    If Bogaerts is willing to settle for 6 or 7 years, I’d argue for keeping him. But given the deals his counterparts like Lindor and Seager received, I imagine he’s aiming higher. I don’t think he will get a 10 year deal like Lindor or Seager, but a 7 year deal like Semien does seem reasonable to me. But then what I think is reasonable and what Bogaerts/Boras thinks is reasonable might not be all that compatible …
  9. notin
    The first two years of that contract did make it closer than it should have been…
  10. notin
    I have my doubts Boston is his priority. A new well-paying contract? Absolutely he wants one. He hired Scott Boras as his representative. Players don’t hireBoras so they can take hometown discounts (although it has happened, including once by Bogaerts). But now it looks like he wants a new deal on his terms and at the value he (and Scott) have determined. And if he won’t get it from Boston, he knows he can learn to love a new city with new fans and a new atmosphere…
  11. notin
    At least the second, after Nate Eovaldi…
  12. notin
    It’s possible the prospects were thrown in to entice the Sox to take the entirety of Bradley’s contract. If this deal was all about the prospects, why did Bloom settle for two guys ranked so unimpressively in Milwaukee’s farm? Undervalued or not, these are not prospects you take on a $12mill AAV multi year contract to acquire…
  13. notin
    They may not. And it might be the right decision. I think if/when Bogaerts does leave, there will be a point in his next contract when Sox fans actually think “ok glad he’s not here anymore.” But that point absolutely won’t be in 2023. Probably not until like 2027 or 2028, when Bogaerts starts slipping and Marcelo Mayer is rising to the top…
  14. notin
    While it isn’t likely, I suppose it’s possible Devers (or any star) could go all Cody Bellinger, who right now is making a solid argument for NOT locking up young stars…
  15. notin
    If he’s as insulted as many are saying, why would he?
  16. notin
    And if he ever does it, I expect it to be an infrequent occurrence…
  17. notin
    Honestly, right now I’d take $3,000…
  18. notin
    The more I think about this deal, the better I realize it was. I mean, we dealt a player who was non-tendered by a small market team that didn’t want to pay him $3mil. In return we received a player than another small market team did want to pay $36 mill over 3 years. And they included prospects. As fans, sometimes we get a better idea when we remember the last season isn’t the only season…
  19. notin
    I think it’s the last 5 years - the ones where the difference jumps from $7mill to $30mill - that might be the bigger issue than the first six years…
  20. notin
    There were a couple points that do make me disagree with this. 1. The team defense last year was, to be kind, subpar. Bradley absolutely helps there. 2. Bradley had an insanely low BABIP relative to his batted ball profile. His line drive rate was one of the best of his career, for example. There was evidence of a lot of bad luck on his part…
  21. notin
    Oh no one thinks it was a good offer; to me that doesn’t matter as long as it’s not the final offer. If it was a final offer, then it is abundantly clear they do not envision Bogaerts as a significant part of the future of this team. Maybe they feel the same way about Devers. Maybe not. But I do think these players are being evaluated independent of each other…
  22. notin
    I doubt the Sox (or any team) take a Scott Boras press release all that seriously. And certainly not as a reason to break off talks…
  23. notin
    Lester was three front offices ago. Things may not be the same. I don’t find it hard to believe the Sox first offer was lower than Bogarts and Boras expected. But I do find it hard to believe it was lower than the offer to Story…
  24. notin
    I have my doubts about the accuracy of the report, given that X is represented by Captain Mystery Team. Since there is no way the Sox would publicize making a small offer, we already know which camp leaked it. So now it comes down to whether or not you find that camp trustworthy…
  25. notin
    And if the second offers comes through and looks a whole lot better, he’ll perk up. In the meantime, maybe his agent can explain how negotiations work and that he (the agent) will take care of this…
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