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Everything posted by notin
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In combo with some of the other factors. Of course, he’s only put 48 balls in play this year. So a couple 5mph dribblers can drag that number down. StatCast refuses to even rank him due to the number of data points involved…
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And in more than 65 PA. Also he was roughly the same age in 2006 as Grissom is now…
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What about it? It covers parts of 3 seasons and about 150+ PA. His Stat Cast indicates he would have 1-2 HRs at Fenway in that stretch, but i think we expected him to be more than a 6 HR guy over a full season. One issue with Grissom to date is he isn’t much of an exit velocity guy. And if you’re not going to hit the ball with authority, you do need to walk more than he does and probably strike out less. But again - still SSS. Numbers spread across multiple seasons are not meaningless, but not necessarily representative since we don’t know if all other things (health, quality of opponent, etc.) are equal…
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We’re judging the guy after 65 PA and already calling him a failure (See Jeter Downs comp above). The 2007 ROY/2008 MVP Dustin Pedroia looked like crap for those first 98 PA in 2006 as well…
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He just had a bad stretch for those last 5 games, which every hitter has. His BABIP splits were fairly normal at the end of that year, so it’s also arguable he started off very lucky and it just evened out over time. Basically, he was due for a slump. Given that he actually struck out much less in that slump than in the rest of the season, it does seem unlikely that pitchers suddenly figured him out. Just that stuff he hit that found grass the week before didn’t find any that week…
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So I guess we will never know why Grissom should be considered lucky. Quelle surprise…
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He’s been on the 40 man roster for almost 4 years. He would need to be added to the 26 man roster, as he is out of options. The only alternative is DFA him. He’s very likely to clear waivers, since he hasn’t pitched much in the past few seasons, hasn’t pitched all that well on the rare occasion he does pitch, and has no options left. The only other possibility - which the Sox could do but makes zero sense - is the 60 day IL. Unless he actually is hurt, this would be a bad, since all it does is delay the same decision above. I suspect they DFA him and then assign him to the minors if/when he clears waivers. I don’t think Mata can refuse assignment, but I could be wrong. Anyone got some clarity on that?
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I assume the pressing started a few weeks ago. His better walk rates in the minors were in the years he had the most PAs, but often it’s easier to walk against a lot of MiLB pitchers, plenty of whom are in the minors for reasons related to wildness…
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There’s usually a cause/effect relationship between a good line drive rate and a high BA. But it can be skewed by luck, especially in small sample sizes. He has hit a few soft liners - his hard hit rate is far from elite - but even thise have an expected hit rate he’s just under. Soft liners land, too. The guy is 2 for 24 on ground balls as well. That’s straight up unlucky. Weakly hit grounders can find holes. Really weak ones can be beat out for hit. Nothing like that is working for Grissom. (And a lot of that has been working for Dalbec, to whom he was compared in the original post.) Of course, it’s only 65 PA. Most players with small sample sizes find themselves either lucky or unlucky…
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Yeah his 5% walk rate is definitely not good. It was 10% in the minors, but it’s going backwards…
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What’s your point? That I’m the only one who’s right? The way Grissom has hit the ball, meaning his GB/LD/FB splits, his BA really should be .250-275 range. It’s nowhere near that. So why do you say he’s lucky?
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And what does that have to do with him being lucky? Or will this just be another one of those “it’s just my opinion” things people like to hide behind?
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A BABIP of .167 with a line drive rate of 25% is absolutely unlucky. What’s your logic for calling him lucky, I ask, not expecting any sort of actual response?
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I remember Gamble and his card. The man finished his career with 666 RBIs, and then nearly doubled down with 656 runs scored. He’s too evil to quote…
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5/24 Brewers @ SOX 7:10PM ET
notin replied to SPLENDIDSPLINTER's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Fred is the worst umpire. You can’t get through to that guy… -
5/24 Brewers @ SOX 7:10PM ET
notin replied to SPLENDIDSPLINTER's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
The rules do explicitly state even on infield flies the runner can be called for interference, as the fielder has the right of way on a batted ball. Controversial ending, but Junior Valentine (for once) might have made the right call. Andrew Vaughn needs to stay awake on the bases…. -
I think the Sox might re-sign him if he clears waivers. But he is a tough player to claim given his injury history, recent performances, and lack of options…
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But there still had to be people on base for any player to drive in. Know why Rafaela leads the Sox in RBI this year? He’s come up with more people on base than anyone else on the Sox. The reason you can’t really count on RBI is there is nothing about Ortiz or ARod or any premier hitter that guarantees he will come up with people on base. Just like Devers this year…
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Mata seems very likely a DFA candidate…
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Just like a teenage girl is to Austin Maddox. Sorry. Too soon?
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Also helps that Spalding threw underhand…
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An over the top or 3/4 pitcher is releasing the ball significantly higher than the strike zone and throwing at a downward angle. A sidearm pitcher can throw it more level and the lack of an angle can give the illusion of a rising pitch…
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But the Mike Tyson Mysteries was far superior to the Muhammad Ali cartoon…
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We will never know, but what we do know is players are bigger now, more athletic now, train longer now, are more exposed to baseball now, and throw harder now. If Koufax was a young major leaguer today, he’d have been exposed to all the advancements and trainings and youth leagues, and he’d very likely be an even better pitcher for it…
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Or the myth of Bob Feller throwing 114 mph and Nolan Ryan throwing 116 mph…
