Ok here’s my point.
Soending when done right absolutely helps. But when you just jump on the first sample where the top three teams made the ALCS and call it proof with the “pulled at random” crap, you’re just leaping into confirmation bias. You basically said “this year proves it!! Not last year! That was flukey!”
And while the Mets have a high payroll, a lot of it isn’t even on the team anymore. That’s not good spending. The Mets presence in this series is more about an insane hot streak and some quality bargains (Manaea, for example).
Payroll when spent on Hanley, Sandoval and Rusney - not good. Payroll spent extending Pedro or Pedroia - good. Payroll spent extending Sale - not good, as it clearly didn’t help
The big problem with high payrolls is they CAN lead to short term success, but not always. They do always lead to long term struggles…