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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    And honestly, if Pitt accepted Rafaela, Campbell and Tolle for Skenes, Breslow should be fired multiple times if he doesn’t pull that trigger. Acquiring Skenes without giving up either Anthony or Mayer is some Nobel-worthy roster building. Of course on some level, it also feels like George Costanza’s famous “ I figured out how we can get Bonds and Griffey! And we wouldn’t have to give up that much!”
  2. notin
    BTV gives Skenes a surplus value of $133mill. The Sox players have the following surplus values: Mayer: $54mill Campbell: $46mill Password: $12 mill Total is roughly $112mill, some $21mill short. For the record, Payton Tolle has a surplus value of $20mill. Perfect fit. And we both know Pitt NEEDS to get at least one pitcher back in any Skenes trade…
  3. notin
    The real problem is what Pitt would accept. Skenes is a PR gem who has lived up to the hype. He’s only pitched 43 games so far, but he has also won ROY, come in 3rd in Cy Young balloting, and been two 2 all Star games. And he’s only 23! That makes him 7 months older than Tolle! I have my doubts Tolle can accrue equal hardware in the next 7 months. If I’m the Pitt CBO, I’d want to say absolutely no Skenes trade without Anthony. Anything less, and at minimum I’m going to be vilified in the Gazette. But honestly, a package of Rafaela, Campbell and Tolle would actually work better since Rafaela and Campbell are both locked up to deals that work within my budget. That latter deal is does actually work on BTV. But I think the real Pitt CBO would be VERY, VERY hesitant. But would you pull the trigger?
  4. notin
    Why is Gallen even coming up? Has anyone seen the year he is having? If for some reason the goal is to add a former NL West pitcher with an ERA over 5, let’s just keep Buehler…
  5. notin
    At might be a premature conclusion based on one draft. Breslow’s predecessor drafted bats heavily over arms to bulk the number of blue chip prospects in the system. Breslow is balancing things out considering the weakness of the pitching in the Sox system these past few seasons…
  6. notin
    On BTVs model, that Sox offer is short by $10mill in surplus value aka still not enough. If giving up Tolle is an obstacle to acquiring a two-time All Star with only two years experience, you might be overvaluing him. Tolle is the easiest inclusion of the three IMO…
  7. notin
    The Twins aren’t just trying to unload Ryan; if they move him, it will be for some pieces they bite as key to the future. As Ryan has 2 1/2 years left on his deal,! This is far from urgent. It’s possible that if Boston asks about Ryan, the Twins say “Roman Anthony or no deal”. This kind of demand is actually fairly common…
  8. notin
    It will take a lot more than Mayer. Would you trade Mayer, Campbell and Tolle?
  9. notin
    It seems to me like if the pro-metric folks promote their viewpoint, thats condescension. If the pro-baseball card stat side promotes their viewpoint, that’s just defending their opinion. I’m not complaining. Just an observation…
  10. notin
    The only difference is errors appear in a box score; defensive runs saved do not…
  11. notin
    Devers was asked to replace Casas and he doesn’t get excused just because Toro and Gonzalez were able to pick up the slack. Sure he might have been promised third, and he had it for two seasons. And in that time, he lost it. He has more than enough opportunity to not be the worst defensive 3b in MLB. But he counting do that. Does a promise override his weak play? And was it really even a promise? Who knows what was actually said. If Devers did want a promise, they were working on his contract right then and there; why not add it on? Now THAT would be a promise…
  12. notin
    Devers made it clear he was not going to be a team player. He didn’t take the position switch to DH very well despite his, I’ll be kind, lackluster play at third. (If he isn’t the worst defensive 3b in MLB, he’s really, really close.) And then when an injury forced the Sox to rearrange aging, he flat out refused. Yes he refused to help his own team adjust to losing a starter to injury. Exactly why are you overlooking that? It’s not like the Sox fabricated that story, either. It’s from his own interpreter’s mouth. So either he’s a selfish player or bad at hiring interpreters…
  13. notin
    But anyone who keeps him out of the top 20 clearly has an axe to grind…
  14. notin
    This says gets me - what exactly is a #2 starter? Is Merrill Kelly one? Or Mitch Keller? Or do the Sox need Mackenzie Gore or Freddy Peralta? Or are they #1 starters? Backup catcher is a small problem, agreed. But it’s also the easiest one to fill. If they can get a reasonable one for Nick Sogard or Connor Wong, why not? Bullpen help is every team every year. But yes, the Sox need some. Not necessarily Emmanuel Clase. But bring in an arm or two. 1b is a big need. Toro/Gonzalez are absolutely not going to keep up this torrid pace. Fortunately for Boston, it’s also a position rarely in demand at the deadline. Rhys Hoskins made sense, especially after Milwaukee acquired 4’2” Andrew Vaughn. But he went and got himself hurt. Other available names include Josh Naylor (real name Joshua-Douglas James Naylor), Josh Bell (real name: Joshua-Douglas Evan Bell), and Ryan O’Hearn. My bellybutton is not puckering and unpuckering with delight. I suppose Naylor aka JDJN and his cartoon villain resemblance is the top dog…
  15. notin
    Taking age into account? Those guys all played into their late 30s (and beyond for Yaz) and those declining years brought their OPS down. As it will for Devers one day…
  16. notin
    Outside of the issues Devers himself had no issues airing, I didn’t think he was such a bad guy. But he definitely was not one to do whatever it takes to help the team…
  17. notin
    Depth is important and can be temporary, but I have no problem with the idea of trading deoth to fill gaps. But make good, fair, smart trades. Just because you have an elite first base prospect behind your young slugging first baseman doesn’t mean you should trade said prospect for Larry Andersen…
  18. notin
    Especially if he thinks errors are meant to validate defense. They’re not. Their purpose is to explain baserunners who got on base (or took an extra base) on a batted ball due to poor defensive play. That’s why no error is awarded if a flyball is dropped but a runner is forced out a second. Or on a flubbed double play grounder that only gets one runner. Using errors to evaluate defense is like using wild pitches to determine pitcher control…
  19. notin
    At least that paint bucket wouldn’t overthrow the cutoff man!
  20. notin
    Well, if it can’t be done in MLB: The Show, I can see the crisis. You should have opened with that. :) But if there is any validity, is there a pitcher you can (off the top of your head) recall that was blatantly snubbed?
  21. notin
    Those extensions will still look good even with some regression. Some…
  22. notin
    A point I’ve been countering (with examples) for some time now…
  23. notin
    TPYM blocked me for talking down to a Yankee troll, but most of his posts boil down to “you people just don’t understand this game like I do.”
  24. notin
    And anyone who thinks errors are clear cut and obvious has never watched MLB. And probably argued with their son after T-ball games. ”Daddy I got 3 hits today! I got 3 hits!” ”Actually son. Those were errors. You hit the ball right at the other team. They just couldn’t catch COVID if they licked every door knob in 2020.” ”But I hit the ball!” :: tears::: ”Yeah. Off a tee. What kind of league is this? Can they at least get a tee that acts like a curveball?”
  25. notin
    Duran to Philadelphia. Philly 21yo SS prospect Aiden Miller to Pitt. Mitch Keller to Boston. Doesn’t work on BTV unless Philly also send AA LHP Moises Chace to Boston as well. Chace, however, is out for the rest of the year (and probably half of next year) after TJ. So someone else?
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