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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. Probably the system. I’m also very hesitant to get worked up about pitchers with 17 IP above A ball. A lot can still go wrong on the way to Boston…
  2. Don’t blame the reader for misunderstanding the word “never” to mean “within the past 10 years.” Im not even saying the Sox need to deal Tolle here. But I am saying I doubt Minnesota makes the deal without him. But I think this board is prime for some Deadline Disappointment after banning any trade that includes Tolle or Garcia or anyone with potential, and yet still expects a #2 starter to comeback in a deal for Sandlin, Vaughn Grissom and Cooper Criswell. It turns out most teams prefer the single dollar over 4 quarters…
  3. Is that really true? Most of the rental relievers traded last year went for fairly nondescript fungible minor leaguers I never heard of. Carlos Estevez, for example. The RPs that netted more (e.g. Mark Leiter Jr) had multiple years of control…
  4. Ryan is one of the best pitchers in MLB right now and under control for 2.5 years. If you’re comfortable with a trade package for him, it’s probably because it isn’t enough…
  5. While injuries are a concern, it’s a bit unfair to cite them solely for Ryan. Isn’t Tolle equally capable of getting hurt? Im not sure I would deal Tolle for Ryan, either. But I would be very surprised if Minnesota made the deal without him. And certainly not with Mullins in his place. Not like Ryan is a rental…
  6. The Red Sox have NEVER had a pitching prospect like Tolle? Never? Maybe in recent years, but does never go back far enough to include Lester? Buchholz? Clemens? Tolle might be great, but didnt we also think that about Kopech? Or Hansen? Ryan is among the best in MLB right now. I can understand not wanting to deal Tolle for him. I can understand that being a dealbreaker, too. But let’s not go overboard…
  7. Evaluating minor leaguers is difficult for anyone. BA is one of the most popular sources for many fans, but if you look at any past Top 100 list, you will find 10-15 guys who peaked at utility infielder. Really any job that involves predicting the future involves being wrong a certain percentage of the time. As for Mullins, not sure how undervalued he is. He is a 24yo LHP who turns 25 n two months and has pitched 33 IP above A ball in which he has 5.3 BB/9. He might go on for a great career, but I am not so sure he is a hot trade commodity in 2025. Certainly not as a secondary piece in a trade for multiple years of a SP already valued at 3.9 bWAR in early July…
  8. But how valuable is Garcias to Boston? With their current roster, they might not have a starting OF position available until 2030. Sure there will definitely be injuries in that time, but do you keep Garcia around for depth? Or avoid trading him in a potentially meaningful trade just so he can replace Refsnyder on the weak side of a platoon? He’s not available for just anyone but I think he has to be available…
  9. I assume these are ranked by how easy they will be fill? No .500 team has “backup catcher” as their biggest need….
  10. I was just giving BTV values. Tolle has a surplus value of $20 mill. Mullins has a surplus value of $2.3 mill. Minnesota might be willing to accept Mullins along with Sandlin and Duran, but that deal doesn’t work on the BTV model. Maybe it does work on how Minnesota evaluates players. No idea. But I also have my doubts…
  11. But would you give them Duran, Tolle and Sandlin for Joe Ryan? It’s not an unreasonable trade proposal…
  12. BTV gives Ryan a surplus value of $69.6 mill and Duran a surplus value of $39.5 mill. In order to make up that difference, the Red Sox would need to include something a long the lines of Peyton Tolle and David Sandlin. Not that I know what Minnesota would be interested in…
  13. If the Sox get a 1b and a RP, I will be satisfied. SP is tough to acquire in July…
  14. I think we both understand San Diego’s chances in 2025 - which they clearly have not surrendered - depend heavily on Cease. Rental or not, they won’t trade him unless they fall out of it. And if they do, they might suddenly be less interested in Duran…
  15. How many of them were even considered legitimate prospects back then?
  16. San Diego wants Duran, but not to the point of giving up Cease…
  17. Story has 3 years left ($96mii). Ozuna has 3 months left on his deal..
  18. Mostly because you have no clue how that tool works. (Hint : it creates a new thread for you when you use it.)
  19. I’m actually not so sure Milwaukee as any intentions of trading Peralta unless they get blown away. Peralta is also reportedly interested in extending…
  20. The Password is not likely to get a better pitcher than Pivetta. And any package for an ace caliber pitcher that includes him can easily be reworked without him. He’s not the main piece in any such deal…
  21. They might. Depends if Milwaukee is prioritizing the farm over the finances. Also if there is any interest in Hoskins. Also DD has a clear need in CF, and he did draft Duran and moved him to the OF. His current solution is a platoon of two fringey CFs in Marsh and Rojas. RF is manned by Defensive Disaster Area Nick Castellanos, but he is unmovable and his best position is DH, which is occupied in Philly. They do have defensive whiz Max Kepler, but they primarily play him in LF for reasons no one understands…
  22. MSN coverage on MLB is 95% clickbait. A Bregman’s opt out isnt as guaranteed as many think. He would make nearly $83million over the next two years if he stays, which is a lot of guaranteed coin to walk away from. While Bregman would likely prefer a longer deal, he did struggle to gain many offers this past offseason at age 31. He’s not likely to see longer (or even as long) offers at age 32. Even if he does opt out and become a free agent, Boston is still an option…
  23. I’d think they’d prefer to move the substantially more expensive and less controllable Hoskins. 4’5” Andrew Vaughn also has the superior StatCast page. i have a theory the primary reason theyre still starting Hoskins is they would prefer to move him…
  24. They have already acquired his replacement
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