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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    But he gets that same money regardless of where his clients sign. Why would he direct them to Boston? That type of deal would lead to his client suing him for not acting in their best interests…
  2. notin
    The obligatory BTV mention has Castillo with a surplus value of $2.8mill, same as Wikelman Gonzalez. I don’t see Seattle making that deal, as I’d guess they’re trying to capitalize on inflated SP contracts. Castillo might be a mid-rotation guy, but the value of his current contract is only $3mill AAV over the new one for the the extremely fungible Yusei Kikuchi…
  3. notin
    An outfield of Robert-Duran-Anthony looks very strong on both sides. Rafaela is probably best as an overpaid supersub. Abreu is still trade fodder. Long term deals for relievers are typically about 4 years, which is certainly worth it for a RP worth 7.6 bWAR in the past two years entering his age 30 season. Let’s not pervade the myth that all relievers are volatile; it’s simply not true. Arenado works to bolster the defense, but yes, either Yoshida (plus cash?) goes for him or another deal would need to be made elsewhere.
  4. notin
    Signing Bregman, Manaea and probably (hopefully) Scott and trading for Crochet. If they can’t get Bregman, then the Sox will try to get Luis Robert Jr. included in the Crochet deal. I also think Arenado is still in play, albeit not so close for your top plan. Im not wild about Bregman…
  5. notin
    It’s gone very overboard. He will likely make more this year than the Tampa Rays. But Soto is inarguably among the best offensive players in the game today, and got there at a ridiculously young age. That he played 6 seasons before turning 26 is not a mere write-off as to how he’s already putting up numbers with the games all time greats; it’s a crazy impressive accomplishment to even be in that position. He’s most definitely on a path to Cooperstown. I would have loved to get him in Boston, but I do understand not outbidding the Mets here. Hopefully the Sox retain this newfound commitment to spending with the money no longer earmarked for Soto…
  6. notin
    He did have some good years without Judge. I suspect at a minimum he’ll have the 156 OPS+ he had in all those years he and Judge weren’t teammates. Of course he racked those up from ages 19-24, so some improvement shouldn’t be surprising…
  7. notin
    On to - and call this a prediction - Bregman, Crochet and Manaea…
  8. notin
    Not exceptional power? The list of players with 200 home runs before their age 26 season: 1. Alex Rodriguez 2. Jimmie Fox 3 Eddie Matthew’s 4. Mel Ott 5. Mickey Mantle 6. Frank Robinson 7. Mike Trout 8. Albert Pujols 9. Juan Soto Thats it. In all of MLB history. Just those 9. I’d consider that to be exceptional power…
  9. notin
    I just don’t see any team taking on four players : (Casas, Abreu, Wikelman, and Kelly) that require 40 man roster spots. And hopefully Boston doesn’t deplete too much of their pitching depth that still has options. The Sox can free up spots through the DFA process, starting with Gaspar…
  10. notin
    Plus Sandlin wouldn’t require a 40 man roster spot…
  11. notin
    Sure, if that prospect was Kristian Campbell. On BTV, a deal of Casas and Yoelin Casper’s is fair, but I’m not entirely sure Pitt is interested in that deal. On that site, Casas’ value is roughly equal to that of Johan Oviedo. I don’t think Boston should be interested in that deal…
  12. notin
    The big four last year were Snell, Montgomery, Chapman and Bellinger. Speier (and everyone else) linked Boston to Montgomery. He probably linked us to Snell, which is believable and probably happened. But Chapman and Bellinger? I don’t recall him or anyone else establishing that connection, and I very much wanted the Sox in on Chapman…
  13. notin
    Teoscar is not a Boras client. Bellinger is not a free agent. The Cubs do want to move him, but all Boras can do is enforce existing relevant clauses in Cody’s contract. I don’t think this is Scott’s year after Soto. He’s not trying to get this over to focus on his others. Soto is his Mona Lisa…
  14. notin
    When did he link the Sox to Matt Chapman or Cody Bellinger? And everyone linked the Sox to Jordan Montgomery. Multiple times. I trust Speier infinitely more than the Internet Rumor Mills like Savage Sports or Hector Gomez (or whatever) whose sole goal is to increase hits by “reporting” what people want to hear…
  15. notin
    Casas has some trade value, but I am not so sure he represents the key chip in a trade for a frontline starting pitcher. He won’t get you Crochet, for example. Probably someone more along the lines of Casey Mize. (Probably not available. See SF below.) With their new, expensive SS, pre-arb Casas would be a big plus in SF. But a team spending on moving forward into the postseason isn’t giving up SP. And Bregman has had a really good career, but he also turns 31 right around opening day. He’s entering the Waning Years, and he’s not likely to take a deal of 3 years or less. How much should the Sox pay him as he slowly devolves into Overpriced Obsolescence?
  16. notin
    As much as I liked the idea, I find it hard to believe Adames was ever a serious option. If the Sox actually sign a 3b, Bregman always felt more likely…
  17. notin
    Boras has been an agent a long time and knows how to juggle multiple clients. It’s not like he works alone. Im not sure who his clients are this year beyond Soto, Burnes and Bregman…
  18. notin
    And what’s in that for Boras? Not to mention, where his clients (of which your primary target Fried is not one) is not Boras’ decision…
  19. notin
    It’s all about the money and only the money. I’ve even joked about the costs and expenses of living in NY. But we are talking about over half a BILLION dollars here. Soto could realistically just give his car away instead of parking it, and then buy a new one. Every day. He’s not going to pick Boston because he figures to save on groceries…
  20. notin
    They’re not adding two starting pitchers, barring two scenarios: 1. A trade involving one of the current SPs, most likely Crawford 2. You’re counting Giolito as one of the two. Beyond that, there’s no reason to believe Houck, Bello, Crawford and Giolito won’t all be in the rotation come April, assuming all are healthy…
  21. notin
    I think he’s saying it’s like the Temple of Doom of rings. Sure it’s part of a legitimate franchise and all. But no one liked it except Short Round’s parents…
  22. notin
    Are you saying winning the World Series with Ryan Weber s as toy number three starter doesn’t belong in fantasyland?
  23. notin
    Savage Sports is a nobody in a circle where even the biggest names (like Bar Stool Sports) have all but non-existent access to inside information. Ignore them and their completely unsupported “data”…
  24. notin
    Yes, but how many of those young stars can you hold on to for more than 3 years? I want Soto, too, but the bidding has reached the point where I’m ok with someone else signing him. Even the Yankees. They’ve shown already he doesn’t guarantee a World Series, and I have full faith that the one person who can keep a team with Soto aand Judge in check is Aaron Boone…
  25. notin
    I think more like the North Eastros. Spend, but have a supplement pipeline…
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