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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    With Rafaela signed long term and Anthony ahead of him, his opportunities were getting limited. And of course, Duran. (Remember the speculation about trading Duran for an ace? Well, so far we’re keeping him, too.) But Montgomery certainly might have been fun to watch in another universe…
  2. notin
    “Just money” could hinder extending existing players like Houck, Duran, Anthony, etc. The prospects might turn out to be average players or worse. (Maybe only 40 players off any too 100 prospect list go on to become MLB starters or starting pitchers)…
  3. notin
    In the end, they got a good sp. If Alcantara becomes available, maybe they were premature. But keeping the top 3 was huge. And on the Alcantara thread, you said he cost Campbell plus. Now he’s Teel and Montgomery plus? Meidroth is a top ten, but he’s replaceable. He’s a utility infielder on a good team at best. Maybe a starter on a bad team.
  4. notin
    Yes. And he should only be signed if he agrees to the condition that he grows his hair back out…
  5. notin
    This trade was costly, but I like it. Crochet is extremely talented…
  6. notin
    And held on to Anthony, Campbell and Mayer…
  7. notin
    Crochet for Teel, Montgomery, Meidroth and Wikelman? https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/12/red-sox-on-the-verge-of-garrett-crochet-trade.html
  8. notin
    Grissom had a .921 OPS in AAA over 450 PA at age 22 in 2023. Not sure I classify that as waning…
  9. notin
    But what’s the longest deal to an MLB free agent SP the Dodgers have ever given out? They aren’t signing Max Fried types to pitch throughout their 30s…
  10. notin
    Yes. $17 mill guaranteed in ‘25 and ‘26 with another year at $17mill or a $2.5mill buyout. Team option…
  11. notin
    Actually LA is one of, if not the best practitioners of dumpster diving out there, filling their roster with All Star utility infielders cut from the benches of other teams, like Max Muncy, Justin Turner, Enrique Gonzalez, Chris Taylor, Miguel Rojas, Jamey Carroll, etc. and even adding length to their bullpen with rejects like Ryan Brasier, Ryan Yarborough, Daniel Hudson. They even add oft-injured pitchers to their rotation, through both trades (Tyler Glasnow) and free agency (James Paxton). In short, they do EVERYTHING that Sox fans hate to see Boston do. Know what they rarely do? Give huge 7/8 year deals to SPs, with two notable exceptions being Ohtani (who is obviously more than a pitcher) and Yamamoto (who was only 25 at the time). Even Kershaw has been working through multiple short deals. They did go big on Bauer, but for a very short contract. Most starting pitchers by the time they reach free agency simply do not have 7-8 years left in them, making them short term solutions that require a long term commitment. I’d rather gamble on a shorter term pitcher and give up the occasional top prospect, and part of that is because even top prospects rarely become top players. And I also like having the flexibility to extend the ones that do. Also, no one suggested reading “all the prospects” for a pitcher with two years left. This was about trading ONE prospect for a pitcher with 3 years left, including an affordable option…
  12. notin
    So you’d avoid acquiring THREE YEARS (not two) a Cy Young winning pitcher on the off chance that a minor league prospect is going to be the best player on the team? Campbell’s stats in the upper minors are roughly equal to Grissom’s and at the same ages. Why do you think their career paths will be so different?
  13. notin
    Agreed. Mayer? I deal. Campbell? I think about it. Anthony? Nope. Best of luck, Getz, for passing on the MLB.com #7 prospect…
  14. notin
    I think Alcantara is much less of a gamble than Burnes or Fried…
  15. notin
    I rely maybe too much on BTV. But they are objective, and quite often accurate…
  16. notin
    Ok, but I’d rather have Buehler than Cooper Criswell out there nearly every fifth day. Of course signing Buehler does give the Sox a chance at both scenarios..
  17. notin
    Congratulations! You found a room below the sub-basement…
  18. notin
    He could serve as a 26th man INF/OF bench player whose speed is utilized as a pinch runner for a much slower ghost runner. His low ceiling works for him in this case, since he’s earmarked for bench duty. Teams like Tampa, Oakland/Sacramento/Las Vegas, and Pittsburgh could find a use for him. But Fulmer makes sense for nearly everyone..
  19. notin
    So you’re down on them for not getting Kaleb Ort 2.0?
  20. notin
    Fulmer is the least risky, seeing as to how he has a decent MLB resume. I also think teams might be intrigued by the defense/speed/versatility of Max Ferguson…
  21. notin
    I believe the Sox are ineligible to draft due to having a full 40 man roster. Potential losses: Michael Fulmer, Max Ferguson, Corey Rosier, Yodanny Monegro Long shot: Blaze Jordan Most likely outcome: Just Fulmer…
  22. notin
    Like that one? Some of my finest BS…
  23. notin
    This argument goes beyond Straw Man, right past Stick Man and directly to Brick Man on the Three Little Pigs scale. Alcantara is an elite talent, but his backloaded contract is entering the two priciest years, a point where Miami quite often sells. Arguments that they might want him to pitch to increase his value are easily offset by arguments they don’t want to risk him pitching and being ineffective or getting hurt again. Now I’m not sure he is actually available, but if he is, the post TJS surgery risk, while not non-existent, is certainly not high based on plenty of league wide data. And said risk is probably less than the success rate of even top prospects living up to their hype. With his third very affordable option year, Alcantara should absolutely be worth dealing even Campbell for. I would be hesitant if they insisted on Anthony, but not necessarily immediately out…
  24. notin
    He’s been a consistent 3 bWAR player over his career…
  25. notin
    I will say that for so-called Untouchables. Everyone agrees with the caveat about moving a player “in the right deal.” But that’s not the same as moving an Untouchable for players that are actually available…
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