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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    Money, years and WAR. Comparing Yandy Diaz to Josh Hamilton is probably more egregious than comparing David Hamilton to Yandy. Don’t forget it’s one year it’s one year of Diaz at $12million vs 4 years of pre-arb David Hamilton. We are talking about Tampa; money matters. Our last first baseman had a Gold Glove and a Silver Slugger, but you described him as “released from a last place team.” Now Silver Sluggers matter? Hamilton has a rough year tjis year and fans treated him like he didn’t belong in MLB. But he was pretty good last year - worth more WAR than Yandy Diaz despite playing some 60 fewer games. See, and I thought it would be Harrison for Diaz. But you’ve convinced me; it should be David Hamilton. Despite that being a slight overpay…
  2. notin
    Really isnt that true about every pitcher? Giolito had some injuries in Boston, but he was actually one of the most durable starting pitchers in MLB before signing with Boston…
  3. notin
    Tucker really shouldn’t be on Boston’s radar anyway. The infield is where the vacancies are…
  4. notin
    In the last 3 years, Tucker is worth 13.6 fWAR. In the same timeframe, Duran is worth 13.3 fWAR. (Post is about Abreu, but he doesn’t even have 3 years.) Tucker could easily get $250mill, maybe more. Not sure I like the idea of trading Duran to replace him with an equivalent player just so I can trade Duran for some other need. Just spend on that other need…
  5. notin
    The only point that matters is the last one. If Philly doesn’t make the right offer, Schwarber isn’t going to stay. He didn’t hire an agent to get him a job that prioritizes playing on a consistent contender…
  6. notin
    First of all, 4 NL teams better than any AL team? Who? And Seattle as the best AL team? I will say, Toronto’s SP is more beat up than Boston’s right now. Healthy, they can hang with LA. But I don’t think they are going to be healthy even if they make it that far. The Yankees are a lot like the Dodgers. Both teams have solid lineups (edge: NY), good rotations (edge: LA) and exploitable bullpens…
  7. notin
    Early was outstanding. He gave up 4 runs in an inning where the hardest hit ball was a routine grounder to short (unless the SS happens to be up the middle for a DP).
  8. notin
    And the Yankees only scored 9, fairly low for the highest scoring team in MLB. They also only left the yard twice, 0 times by Judge.
  9. notin
    Casas turns 26 in January. Losing two consecutive seasons to injury is rough, but he’s not exactly as aging vet. Hes younger than Narvaez…
  10. notin
    Especially when the house gambled on Mike Conforto last off-season and really only has one outfielder (until the move Mookie back)…
  11. notin
    Tucker will be a Dodger. Book it…
  12. notin
    You’re not trading Duran for a stud pitcher either. Any team acquiring Duran is probably trying to win and teams trying to win don’t trade stud pitchers. Abreu might be easier to trade for a stud pitcher if said pitcher is expensive and/or has short year(s) left…
  13. notin
    I could see ranking them that way, but my point would be the gap isn’t all that big…
  14. notin
    I’m suspicious about any Alonso/Bichette/Schwarber signings. But I love the idea at a minimum of getting Yandy Diaz, whom I was mentioning all over the place at the deadline. Historically, Tampa is not a team that begs for top prospects in any trade but rather burns you by taking players often viewed as mediocre and expendable. BTV suggests fair trades might be for Kyle Harrison or David Hamilton. I’d assume they don’t want Hamilton, but I never thought they’d want Jeffrey Springs. And he would cheaply fill their upcoming 2b gap. But Harrison for Diaz? Probabl their preference. Certainly not the one I prefer, so probably the one they do…
  15. notin
    And even that is easily questioned. I think the Dodgers should be atop that list and maybe the Phillies next. Beyond that? The Cubs have glaring questions. The Brewers should be candidates for an “overacheiver” label if Boston gets one. I mean, they had an “All Star” pitcher that finished with 1.2 fWAR/O.6 bWAR. That’s pretty much identical to what Boston got from Connelly Early in 19 IP…
  16. notin
    Never saud that. But it does throw questions into the superiority of the NL…
  17. notin
    The Reds pitching was good. They were third in team fWAR, but not nearly as impressive with numerous other metrics. And they finished 83-79, which is not a record that screams “postseason” regardless of their pitching. But also - judging the league by the top teams is questionable enough. But Milwaukee finished with the best record in the NL. This is not a dominant star-laden roster. Their backbone for the last few seasons was their SP, which was down to one guy. If they were still in the AL, they’d be considered part of the mediocrity. And apparently Priester would be called an overachiever if he was still in Boston. Jet like in the AL, none of these teams are clearly dominant over the AL and most have glaring flaws. I suppose the Dodgers are probably the scariest team, but they’re far from bearable. But thank you for explaining…
  18. notin
    An interesting thought. I have my doubts they could have, but only because those types of pitchers often want 7-8 years. But certainly some mid-range starter only worthy of a 3-4 year deal. Sandoval, Buehler and Hendriks over, say, Seth Lugo? Yeah we probably lost out there, even if Sandoval pans out…
  19. notin
    Right. Much easier to insult than explain…
  20. notin
    I suggested Murphy, but that was more about better use of Hick’s salary. I predicted Rushing because he’s been a rumored target before and is clearly blocked in LA, abd could certainly represent an upgrade over Narvaez. But do the Sox NEED a catcher? No. They NEED someone to replace Bregman. They NEED 1b/DH upgrades. They can win either Narvaez. One might argue they need to upgrade over Wong. I’m ok with Wong, who was far from a relevant weakness. There is a potential upgrade at BUC, but it’s not a huge need. In some ways, Wong has made a case for himself..
  21. notin
    You honestly didn't say anything at all…
  22. notin
    Why is the AL so weak? Was it due to their losing record in inter league games (14 games under .500)? This is a myth spread by folks who don’t watch NL games. If the NL is so superior, please explain why THE REDS made the playoffs…
  23. notin
    Very much a dream world. The Sox won 89 games and made the postseason and I’m seeing that they need to add a 1b, 2b, 3b, C, OF, DH, some relievers and a #2 starter. And maybe a #5. The 2024 Red Sox won 81 games and made fewer changes. And it worked. If Bregman opts out - and that “it was an honor to put on this jersey” quote makes me think he is leaving that way, they need either a 3b or 2b along with a 1b/DH. They will have a lot of SPs on the 40 man this off-season, making adding one tricky unless they either push some to the pen or make some trades. I did find it interesting that Bello was worth 1.9 fWAR after 166 innings and Early was worth 1.1 fWAR after only 19. 1b/DH, a 2b/3b if Bregman opts out, and maybe a starting pitcher. And of course the typical MiLB deals. Will there be much else?
  24. notin
    BA is but one offensive metric, and not much of one. OPS+ for them is Duran 114, Abreu 116 and Rafaela 95. Only Rafaela is below average, and he was never brought up to hit. With Anthony returning, I expect one of Abreu or Duran to be dealt…
  25. notin
    A more legitimate concern. But that’s why we have Romy…
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