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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. That tracks. I also would have accepted “a million miles away”…
  2. Yep. Supposedly Cora wants him to throw, but how far down is he in the OF depth charts anyway?
  3. It would make sense if he wanted to get Yoshida into the lineup over Abraham Toro. I can support that. And outside of Abraham Toro himself, who wouldn’t?
  4. The statement about range not mattering if the rate of success falls off doesn’t make sense. More range still means more chances, which means more outs, even if it does mean more errors. In fact, every single point you try to make about metrics being wrong applies much better to fielding percentage. The statement about players like Jeter, Dever being Teflon as a reason to not use metrics is actually a really good argument against fielding percentage, which only concerns itself with errors. Metrics take many other factors into account. What metric did you dissect and what were the findings? Can’t just drop stuff like that and think people should accept it. I expect every metric to have flaws. I also think in most cases, those flaws are less significant than the glaring ones in fielding percentage, including the ones you inadvertently reminded me of in this treatise…
  5. I’m not as convinced of Breslow’s dedication to Yoshida as you clearly are. But there’s nothing wrong with trying to get your best lineup together. If Aaron Judge can move to CF to get Alex Verdugo into the lineup I see nothing wrong with Devers moving to accommodate Yoshida, especially since, unlike Judge’s move, this one is covering for an injury. No one would be asking Devers to move again if Casas didn’t get hurt…
  6. Unless you thought he would play like last year…
  7. First you need to tell me what percentage you think aren’t borderline… ;)
  8. Interesting. Multiple people have cited the Sox lead MLB in errors. Not one has mentioned they lead MLB in putouts…
  9. No one is saying errors are a good thing. But errors are lousy way to judge defense. I think a higher percentage than you realize are borderline calls, disputed or not…
  10. I agree. It’s not necessarily one flaw. But it is possible one flaw severely masks another, and given how we attribute every hit to the pitcher, defense is a very possible culprit…
  11. Being measured against average isnt the same as being measured against the scorer’s interpretation of the ability of an average player to make a play…
  12. It’s not a dumb argument. The point is errors are overrated as a defensive stat, but that’s not some defense of the Sox, well, defense. As I said earlier, most metrics probably corroborate they’re not good defensively. And the bottom line is, errors or not, plays aren’t being made. Maybe pitching isnt thr Sox problem at all? Maybe the inability of their defense to make outs on balls put in play is. If the latter is true, upgrades to the rotation and pen won’t fix much, will they?
  13. They are for now. Fair and foul balls are also defined as umpire discretion. But if you read rule 9.12 about errors, the standard it’s weighed against isnt defined as rigidly as a foul line or even as theoretically as a strike zone. It’s measured against the abilities of an average player - what exactly is that!
  14. The goal of a fielder is to make an out. But in your world, the goal of a fielder is to not make an error, even if it means not trying. Now my turn - what does batting average measure?
  15. He still has a chance to be better than Jeter Downs or Stan Papi…
  16. Or both if Cabrera muffs a grounder off the bat of Ortiz…
  17. The problem with Team Errors is the rule book defines them as attributable to a single player. Should they exist? Absolutely. Especially for plays like I described, which happen almost daily in MLB. (And happen daily on days the White Sox play.) Another “team error” you see a lot in games pitched by Eduardo Rodríguez is “runner safe on routine grounder because pitcher didn’t cover first.” How is FAILING to cover the base not an error?
  18. Plus it used to be, if you scored a play E6, the scorer got a phone call mid game from an angry Orlando Cabrera…
  19. Oh no! My baseball acumen was challenged by a random person on the Internet! Not my fault you like fielding percentage, but it’s a useless stat. If it was worthwhile, no one would have bothered with other fielding metrics. But fielding percentage has some massive, gaping flaws that no one takes it seriously. That’s not my fault and not yours. But that doesn’t change the facts…
  20. Just once I’d like to see you type “I think I’ll get some data on that.” https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/rankings/player/_/year/2025/sort/cap_total Per sportrac, there are 174 active contracts in MLB of $10,000,000 AAV or more. Think all 174 are starting? I got as far as number 4 and found that not to be true. There are multiple players out of action for multiple reasons, including benched, injured, “injured”, suspended, being Marcus Stroman, etc. Frankly I’d rather the Sox bench the expensive non-performer than play him and hope he justifies his salary one day…
  21. They are and always have been opinions. In fact, the MLB rule book defines them as opinions. Not to mention, plenty of “obvious errors” are and have always been ruled as hits. Take your standard pop up that lands between 3 fielders untouched, an almost daily occurs in MLB. Fielding percentage calls this a hit. But is it harder to catch a pop fly than make a throw to first base from 10 feet behind the third base bag without sailing it or bouncing it?
  22. Cora is the analytics department. Figuratively speaking. Houston originally hired him because of his expertise in those matters, and Boston lured him away from Houston for that same reason. He’s been a big part of educating both organizations on how to use analytics…
  23. Way too early? Since 2018, the Sox are 435-421 under Cora, despite having a payroll in the upper half (and in most seasons, upper third) of MLB. John Farrell was 432-378 as Boston manager, won more AL East pennants than any manager in team history, and was coming off back-to-back pennants when he got fired…
  24. But comparing the fielding percentage of a SS to a 1b or even a 3b to determine the better fielder will always be misguided, which is what was being done. The Sox do muffle simple plays, but would they be a better fielding team if players didn’t move at all to make plays? Or didn’t throw the ball at all? They’d have fewer errors and a much better fielding percentage. One of, if not the biggest problem with fielding percentage is they’re always some misconception that all errors are obviously errors. In the end, they’re just some guy’s opinion. These are generic statements not directly applicable solely to the 2025 Red Sox. Safe bet most metrics would corroborate the sentiment that they’re not a good fueling team…
  25. Campbell is hitting under .200 now? Actually locking up younger players early is an excellent strategy (and not one done by the White Sox as often as other teams). If Campbell becomes a good player, you have him cheap. But if he doesn’t work out or is just average, his contract actually isn’t prohibitive. Hes paid like a league average to bad player already. Where in Chicago? I’m out here too…
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