notin
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Everything posted by notin
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Teams also have 8 man bullpens nowadays, which makes reducing starter workload possible. Most teams also carry 20+ pitchers on their 40 man roster, giving them quick access to even more depth. The reduced workloads are not exciting, especially for those of us who remember 4 man bullpens and 1,000 IP from the rotation. But unfortunately with the money tied up in SP, teams mitigate any risk as much as possible. And for a pitcher, nothing is riskier than pitching. (Ok, maybe base jumping.) Especially with how hard pitchers throw today vs how they threw just 20 years ago, let alone 30-40 years ago…
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I’m not mourning the lack of depth brought about by trading Mickey Gasper and his .488 OPS. Toro and Noda are both much better options, and I have the faith and patience to wait out Jovani Moran…
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If the Sox wait that long, certainly a “real” 1b should be on the non-pitching radar, and the targets will likely be players like Rhys Hoskins, Josh Bell, Ryan O’Hearn, or 4’9” Andrew Vaughn…
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We also have an All Star 3b on the roster who could also try 1b, but is acting selfish and childish about it…
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Garrett Cooper was the worse of the two last year, but it’s not normal to see a player who was an All Star two years prior get released early in the year when you need his position. But anyone saying there has been no urgency Must think no this is like fantasy baseball. If you’re not excited by Ryan Noda (and why would you be), then at least try to realize this are the type of players you can trade for in May…
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Exactly. Guys like Toro and Sogard are meant for short term replacements, and teams can’t control which MLB starters will get hurt and which prospects behind them will pan out. But that’s the criticism because blaming management is more preferable than blaming a star player who is suddenly inflexible when the team has injury problems…
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part II
notin replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Ummmmm….. no -
I mean his ceiling is a stopgap 1b. He might never even get that chance. I don’t think any of Anthony, Mayer or Jhostnyxon will be playing first, unless they do move Campbell there and call up Mayer…
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And now we have injuries at two infield positions Devers won’t play. Also apparently anyone who cannot be replaced by Mayer or Anthony is at risk.
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Did you read the post you responded to? I never mentioned Trevor Story. I didn’t even use the word story to descibe a narrative or the floor of a building…
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A sentence heard by Scott Cooper all too often…
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Simple question - do you think a player is less worthy of an extension because you have a prospect behind him? First of all, they’re outfielders, plenty of room for both given each can handle any position. Should any extension for Duran consider Anthony as well? And yes, Anthony is a minor leaguer right now. He’s well-regarded, but plenty of players equally regarded have had minimal to no career. Also in many cases, extensions make a player more tradable. If Abreu signs for Ozzie Albies terms, hes not blocking anyone because even Pitt and Sacra-Vegas can afford that deal. It’s just an extension right now - no one is saying he gets Devers money. Or even Rafaela money…
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I wanted to make the Scott Cooper reference…
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part II
notin replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
You do realize nobody in the league is more analytics-driven than Cora, right? He was hired by two teams for exactly that reason. And I'm not a huge Cora fan either... -
That's the type of move to be expected in May. Noda isn't horrible. He's the less exciting version of Nolan Schanuel. his carrying card offensively is his plate discipline. Despite only hitting .137, he still has a higher OBP than Hamilton and not far off of Story, despite both having much higher averages... He's a stopgap until actual options become available...
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But also he’s 25, will only be first year arb, already here, not exactly tradable, willing to play first (which is a bigger deal in Boston than on most teams), and not threatened from behind by anyone in the system. Get a stopgap for this year, and give Triston another shot next year. What are the other options?
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So you think they’ve given up on Casas because he got hurt?
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Can’t say without knowing what it was. But it’s also not like Casas’ career is over. Just this season. Hes still only 25 years old and still has 3 full seasons until free agency…
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And Boston had Romy Gonzalez and Abraham Toro…
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There’s not much that can be done in May. They’re using their internal option (Toro), and taking to other teams about AAA corner infield bats (notably Chicago’s Tim Elko and Philly’s Otto Kemp), but not many teams are selling yet, which is why numerous players around the league have gone down and not been replaced externally. I thought it was interesting Chicago called up Elko almost immediately after news of Boston’s interest went public. Like they wanted to make sure he was going to work out before they traded away their more expensive first baseman..
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Because they’re younger, which makes them more valuable and adds years to their extension. But if you’re not sure like, what about 5 years $35mill? That puts his AAV between the two you named…,
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The point is an Abreu extension should be considered without taking into account other players, particularly minor leaguers…
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If you’re not sure, read the article. Exactly what he did…
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I think it’s best to hear some actual extension terms first. Would a 5 year $25mill extension (with options?) be a deal breaker?
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Ok time for some perspective. A while back you called out moon for referencing 700 plays by saying “no one makes that many plays in a season,” which, first of all, isn’t true. It’s been done ( for example Ozzie Smith made 909 plays in 1980 (621 assists, 288 putouts). But to call .961 to .958 regression. It’s a difference of 3 errors PER 1,000 CHANCES! And in the minors, where Mayer was playing 600+ innings per year and getting 300-400 chances per year, it takes multiple years to make 1,000 chances. So you’re talking about a different 1 error per year and calling it “regression.” And a fielding percentage on 70 chances is useless. A single error is worth 0.014. Thats a big change on a single play. There’s a reason guys with 70 at bats don’t qualify for a batting title…
