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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. Hey I was working from memory here!...
  2. “If you load $20 to a person, and you never see that person again, it was probably worth it...”
  3. True, but the importance of starter IP is vital. This is one big reason why the opener strategy will struggle to catch on. A few years ago, both KC and TB simultaneously adopted the strategy of minimizing starter workload and going bullpen heavy. The teams ranked 29 and 30 in starter innings about 1/2 way thru the season but ranked 1 and 2 in team ERA. In both cases, their staffs fell apart as bullpen workloads increased...
  4. Reportedly he also instructed the Yankee hitters about the value of fouling off close pitches to extend the at bat and increase the chances of drawing a walk. And those late 90s Yankee teams really did weaponize the walk...
  5. What was changed? Wouldn’t the claiming team take on his contract? Not that Castillo would get claimed anyway. His chances of being claimed on waivers are roughly equal to the chances of me being claimed on waivers...
  6. As an inhabitant of the Windy City, I’ve seen Zach pitch multiple times. Not a cannon for an arm, but a good cutter he relies on. When he is on, he’s solid. But like any pitcher who lives on the corners and backdoors, he can have struggles with control. The big issue is he missed 2018 for Tommy John surgery, which he had in June. He may not be ready come April...
  7. But a counter argument is the less stress you put on the bullpen, the better. A team should have about 1450 IP per season. If your starters only give you 750-800 IP, then the bullpen has to make up 650-700 IP, which averaged out to 93-100 IP per pitcher in seven-man bullpen. Of course, teams will use in excess of seven relievers over 162 games. But even if all 7 give you 70 IP apiece, that still leaves your depth to cover 160-210 IP per season, or about the same as a TOR starter. (Having a LOOGY who only pitched 20-30 IP. not only inflates this amount, but leads to other issues as well.) While 5IP 0 ER is golden, the idea does need to be to minimize bullpen workload...
  8. Tony Perez doesn’t belong in the HOF either. But it goes back further than that. Dave Bancroft and Ross Youngs might be the two single worst players in the Hall of Fame....
  9. The The risks might be equal in terms of each player getting hurt, but Eovaldi is the greater risk in terms of salary on the shelf....
  10. Unless he was claimed (fingers crossed)...
  11. Probably not. But will Buchholz settle for a minor league deal again?
  12. Assuming he can regain some velocity. He lost about 2mph last year...
  13. ... minor league deal. Good find if he’s fully recovered from surgery. I’m giving this a thread so it doesn’t get buried in the three active 1000 page threads on this board. While not an earth-shattering move, I like the idea of getting some depth while the relief market works itself out....
  14. His track record for winning in multiple sports does conflict with the idea that he didn’t prioritize winning. How many executives can you name with 4 World Series rings and a Super Bowl ring? Even just 4 WS rings is a pretty small list. (Henry would be on it. Ditto Cashman.)
  15. Twins, too. Which is probably why he hasn’t signed...
  16. Is Steamer600 ever right? Or even close? There's a age old (by which I mean 30 seconds or so) saying the baseball projections industry - "If it's not WAPM, it's not worth CRAPM..."
  17. Unless the Phillies can entice him to play 3rd ba$e...
  18. Theres probably a good reason that one could find if anyone ever actually read the article...
  19. I like that signing....
  20. Probably. It would explain why he hasn’t been released...
  21. Maybe I should have read the article, but I quickly pulled the value from the table here. https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-recent-history-of-free-agent-pricing/
  22. I’d be hesitant to say he’s paid like an All Star. He’s making Zack Cozart/Tyler Chatwood money. But he is borderline and he should probably at best be paid Steve Pearce type money. (That doesn’t mean Pearce is a borderline player. But his pay is about what the Sox have paid bench players like Gomes and Nunez and Chris Young.)
  23. I did some research. When Cano signed his deal, 1 fWAR was worth $7.7mill. In 2017, one fWAR was worth $10.5mill. So when calculating what Cano has been worth, the $7.7mill number would be correct...
  24. I think most players understand trades are part of the job. I suppose when they have kids in school, trades can be tougher on them, though...
  25. AAA or not, Castillo is going to have a good life. But in 2017 he hit 15 HRs in 369 ABs and slugged over .500. His ground ball rates are high, but at the expense of his fly all rates, as he has been hitting line drives at a very good rate. While I do know Dombrowski is not a fan, Castillo is a borderline MLB player who could startt on a second tier team., at worst. And his defensive metrics in limited MLB action are actually outstanding. Give him credit where he deserves it. I compared him to another borderline MLB starter in Jarrod Dyson. I stand by that. Teams don’t consider Dyson the key missing piece. If not for his contract, Castillo could be traded and possibly become a starter for some team somewhere. Sadly for the Sox, he does remain the best MLB-ready outfielder in the system, something that was not changed with the signing of Gorkys-mania...
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