But there is a huge difference between expectations and results. Even in those highlighted seasons, did everyone expect that level of disparity in March? (I don’t expect an actual answer.)
And for the 12 “no chance” teams, bear I mind in each of the last two two years, a “no chance” team in the AL grabbed a Wild Card spot. Sure we look at the 8 AL teams listed above and think the remaining 7 have no shot, but there’s actually a decent chance and enough precedent to say it might not play out that way.
Baltimore is certainly a mess. Toronto has a rough schedule. KC is trending downward from their pique in 2015. And nothing looks right with the Tigers.
But every MLB team does have 25 MLB-caliber players, and MLB-caliber players sometimes do manage to put it all together when no one expects them to.
Can the White Sox make an unexpected playoff run? They do have a lot of good young player’s capable of breaking out. (They may not this year - or ever - but they have a lot of potential talent). Or maybe Seattle can make a run. Certainly Los Angeles of Anaheim has some great players on the field, but can they overcome their constant influx of problems on the mound?
While Toronto does have said rough schedule, even they might not be so bad. We credit Tampa with a shot at contention based upon 2 good months and a huge chunk of lackluster play that encompassed the rest of the season. Can Toronto or Anaheim or Chicago put together 2 good months?
And these teams also have the potential to add the still-unsigned Keuchel and Kimbrel. Although in doing so, any run might feel less surprising...