notin
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Everything posted by notin
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That’s my entire point. Bradley is more likely to stay if he keeps his pay the same or takes a pay cut. But his agent is Scott Boras, who is not very likely to advise that course of action, since his job entails maximizing Bradley’s earnings and not doing favors for the Red Sox. I think a non-tender is very likely. It won’t be detrimental to Bradley, if he becomes a free agent, he can finally get a contract he is happy with...
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Or... and hear me out.. no. One was coming back from an injury-recovery season and the other was leaving Colorado...
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I don’t think any player ever has gone through arbitration and not received a raise. They might settle beforehand on a pay cut, but I am not sure how often that has happened. But so many players settle to avoid arbitration each year that it’s impossible to keep track. At least for me...
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They could certainly trade for him and pay one year of his arbitration raise. They do have $23mill worth of Josh Donaldson coming off the books to free up the bulk of it. But in no way do they deal Pache for Betts. Not even straight up. Anderson isn’t very likely either, but in comparison it’s a little less outrageous. A package like Drew Waters and Kyle Wright for one year of Betts is more plausible...
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They all get raises in arbitration unless they settle beforehand. The only way Bradley takes less money is if Scott Boras advises him to do so, which is significantly less likely than a pig getting his pilot’s license. And Bradley didn’t hire Boras to reject his advice...
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But then trading Mookie is effectively punting 2020. It’s a move that makes sense long term, like 2021 and beyond. But since you’re not getting equal value, it means one more year of a high-priced rotation, no title, and a set of birthdays that make the following season less likely. But Bradley isnt Mookie’s equal. Losing Mookie and keeping Bradley doesn’t make for a consolation prize. While I don’t think it’s a great plan, I think DD keeps Mookie and takes his best shot at another title in 2020, and he will find that increasingly difficult if he has to commit $10mill+ to Bradley. The one thing Bradley supporters who want him back have going for them is sometimes DD wants to trade players and sets unrealistic targets, like wanting a controllable major league starting pitcher for AAAA utility player Blake Swihart. It’s possible he pays Bradley $10-11 mill and then tries to deal him, but can’t get the All Star or overall top ten prospect he has in his crosshairs...
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If JBJ is on the 2020 Red Sox, it’s probably because they non-tendered him and re-signed him. I don’t think the Sox are going to be able to afford to increase his $8.8mill salary. And defense-oriented CFs can usually be signed for a lot less than that. I like Bradley, but next month might be his final one in Boston...
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I’d say the bullpen has contributed to their share of losses. They do have 20 blown saves on the season, many of which have resulted in losses...
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8/09 Angels @ SOX
notin replied to SPLENDIDSPLINTER's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
The ending of The Sopranos was mildly annoying in a Lady or the Tiger sort of way. But the ending to Tim Burton’s “Planet of the Apes” and the ending to “The Village” were both just flat out stupid. And no series had a worse ending than “Dexter”. None. In fact, I’m not even sure it’s possible... -
Maybin is actually a good target for the Sox if they non-tender Bradley...
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They certainly hoped for that, but I don’t really think they ever had the three reliable arms. Barnes has been up and down. Brasier was a mistake to be counted on. Workman and Walden have been a pleasant surprises. But have the Sox had a stretch yet this year when three relievers were all pitching well at once?
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The “dumpster dive” method is absolutely a numbers game. It’s nice when it works, but rarely does any pitcher get an extended opportunity. Got to make a good impression fast...
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I’d say there was a time when 3 reliable arms made for a good bullpen, but with shortened starter workloads, I think more are needed now. It’s a bullpen game...
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I never ignore the possibility. I never said I hoped a pitcher who was already injured would get injured. It was a reminder of karma over his Joy of Sale...
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I doubt they would have offered Dalbec for a rental reliever, and I’m one of Dalbec’s harsher critics...
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Where did you learn to read? That says nothing like that. Now, jacko’s diatribes about how much he likes Sale’s extension and his subsequent comparisons might fall into that category...
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A $430mill contract is, at the very least, a partial no-trade clause...
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I like the list, but I would remove Arenado, whose elite status is a bit dependent on his home ballpark...
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I would expect Betts’ next contract to be roughly equal to Arenado’s extension..
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I don't think Ockimey has much of a future above AAA. He's basically a poor man's Chris Carter. Dalbec at least has some defensive skills that can couple with his TTO approach at the plate and get him to the Majors...
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Bregman could one day soon challenge Trout for the title of "Best Player in the Game Today".
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We all knew this bullpen would be questionable back in December. That Walden has stepped up and is still on the roster is a huge credit to his performance this year. I expected him to be back in Pawtucket by June...
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As I've been saying for a while now, his lower defensive metrics seem to be more about him not being as involved defensively (i.e. not as many balls hit to CF as other teams). I also think being flanked by Betts is a factor. But I wouldn't say this is a flaw in the metrics. Like all stats, they measure what a player has done, not what he is capable of doing. The argument put forth by the NESN booth ignores this...
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Walden is a career minor leaguer who's been having some good stretches, but could also implode at any time and surprise no one in doing so. He's having a good year, but if you're building a bullpen you hope someone like Walden can hold the fifth or sixth spot and not be the third best option. In 2020, do you expect a repeat performance from Walden? Hernandez' career right now is at 15IP. He has a live arm, but major control issues. Hopefully he can be a useful pen arm. I doubt he can handle starting...
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Certainly a worthwhile discussion. I think both are overall superior to Eye Test...
