notin
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Everything posted by notin
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No? You do realize you have to consider how a prospect is valued at the time and not necessarily their subsequent MLB career, which is usually an unknown at the time of a trade. I would say trading away Espinoza, who was a BA top 20 prospect, certainly had a negative effect on the farm...
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OK,and how would you describe the present state of the farm?
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As a Sox fan, you should know enough to have faith in Jacoby...
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Complaining about Kimbrel trade, which I did that day. Acknowledging the Pomeranz, Eovaldi, and Sale trades left a devastated farm. As you are positioning yourself as not complaining about the farm, are you saying Dombrowski didn't bankrupt it and all is well? And we have a steady stream of minimum wage MLB talent ready to fill a few gaps?
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Why don't you count? Are you one of those who insists that bringing up the state of the farm is complaining?
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As opposed to you Colts fans who cry every year
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It is possible the Sox wanted Benintendi because they didn't really know where to play Moncada. Pedroia was supposed to lock up 2b and possible they had enough faith in Devers to handle 3B, coupled with no outfield talent on the horizon after Benintendi...
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Rabble rouser. Although I'm not sure why saying DD decimated the farm has to be considered complaining. It seems like a fact to me. We all saw it happen. And it does have repercussions today...
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It's not about the AAV, but the total. It makes more sense for Martinez to opt out after 2020, and Boras knows this. JD might be able to get more than $60mill this year, but he will easily get more than $38mill next year...
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Because his options are limited in that respect?
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CRACIN: a keeper? 15 game winner for Milwaukee
notin replied to bosoxmal's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Fair point. But no trading Holt! Not even for Leon! -
That’s speculation on both fronts. JD likely loses money if he opts out this year. Being traded - which is not a doublecross - doesn’t change his earnings. Boras has a reputation for being all about the money. Why would he advise his client to take less money?
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Yes they might completely forego outfield defense and put Upton and Ohtani/Martinez in the corners. Of course their biggest need is pitching, which is probably where they will do their spending. That need will be magnified if they use that outfield alignment...
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Of course they would have to unload Brandon Belt first..
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By this logic, shouldn't Aroldis Chapman be opting out as well? The Yankees have no rotation, and will be losing their bullpen anchor. Well, what are the chances of Ottavino falling back to Earth? Chapman is 31, and can make $34.4 mill over the next two years if he doesn't opt out. But then he has to test the market again as a 33yo closer likely to see some of his only weapon - velocity - diminish by then. If he opts out now, certainly he can get a 3 year $45mill contract. Or 4 year $55 mill. Obviously that would suit him a lot better, The only difference between the two situations is JD can opt out again next year is he wants to, which would make more sense since he'd be walking away from "only" $38.7 million instead of $62.5mill...
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He can also opt out at 33. This isn't his last chance...
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Sure. The Marlins, Giants, Rockies, and Diamondbacks. The Reds do, too, but Votto isn't going anywhere...
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Well that would be on him for opting out. What do you see a 32yo DH getting as a free agent and from who? The higher spenders in the AL all have DH's under control for next season, and while JD would be an upgrade for Houston over, say, Gurriel, they also recently took on Greinke's salary and might not have the budget. The rebuilding teams are not going to build around a DH, except maybe the White Sox. Although all indications are they plan to re-sign Abreu. And that leaves the NL, where the DH is coming, possibly in 2022. The market was not as kind to Martinez a hoped for last time., and now he is 2 years older. I doubt he opts out until after 2020 when his salary drops. He stands less to lose...
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CRACIN: a keeper? 15 game winner for Milwaukee
notin replied to bosoxmal's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Or.. crazy thought. Let's not trade players on the Red Sox for other players already on the Red Sox. -
FIRE DANA LEVANGIE or say he's retiring NOW !!!!!
notin replied to Swiharts Ghost's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
The notion that it has to fall on the pitching coach is a little insane. Even the best coach can't turn Matt Young into Cy Young. The Sox had health issues and depth issues. And while a lot of pitchers sucked, it is very possible that they were just not talented pitchers. Maybe this was the best, say, Travis Lakins can pitch... -
I'm not. Rebuilding sucks are rarely works...
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I wasn't but if you want another bidding war they won that they would have been better of losing, fill in the blanks: R_sney Ca_ti_lo...
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Actually given the potential free agent relievers, this off-season might be the optimal time to move Barnes. The headliner this off-season if Chapman doesn't opt out is Hector Rondon...
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Even if he maintains, two years of Barnes is worth more than 1.5 years of Barnes or 1 year of Barnes. The Sox do need bullpen help, but this might be a time to sell high...
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Of course, there is also the scenario that he opts out and signs a longer, lower AAV contract back with Boston. Who else would need a DH more? If he opts out and signs, say, a 4 year $75mill contract with the Red Sox, the Sox gain about $3.25mill more in AAV towards to luxury tax. And that is assuming the Sox have to go that high. A 4 year $65mill contract gives JD more guaranteed money than he currently has coming, and lowers to Sox AAV calculation by $5.75mill. It's a win-win for a player who struggled with expected offers last time he was a free agent..
