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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. A reasonable trade is Marcus Walden for Mike Yastrzemski...
  2. Over Johnson and Velasquez? Hell yes!
  3. In men’s slow pitch only. I assume this is 16 inch?
  4. Re-read your sentence and decide if you still want to stand by that...
  5. Cheering against Joe West?
  6. That it’s defined as subjective supports his usage...
  7. He needs to learn more physics...
  8. Oh, Mr. Clarifier. Maybe Atlanta was the first team with 3 players with 40 home runs, but not the only team ever. https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/COL/1996.shtml https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/COL/1997.shtml
  9. He did say "rarely"....
  10. Or they might let him fend for himself like they did to Michael Pineda. The Yankees have less cap space before the luxury tax in 2020 than the Red Sox do, per sportsrac, at $41.3million. And upcoming arbitration cases for Sanchez, Judge, Paxton, Kahnle, Green, and Montgomery. That should eat all of the $41mill, and possibly go over I assume Greg Bird will get non-tendered. Even if they go over the $208million threshold, and I expect them to, Betances would become a luxury tax penalty that may not even contribute at all...
  11. I've always said every Red Sox message board is incomplete without a couple Yankee fans. But that doesn't mean there should be no controversy (about the baseball only). But as a Sox fan, it's a waste of time to go to Yankee forums. I've only been on a couple, but I found on them if you do anything but openly fellate the Yankee organization, you get banned fast. And even on neutral baseball sites, the most ridiculous commentary is always from Yankee fans. Granted, it's probably a probability thing. But it absolutely exists...
  12. Guardians don't really matter other than being a team the Sox need to pass...
  13. So it's based on 3 starts? Bryan Mata's last 3 starts as good a Schmidt's last 3 starts. And Mata is 3 years younger...
  14. 2080baseball has a very different assessment of Clarke Schmidt. They certainly do like him, but not as much as whatever overly optimistic Yankee prospect site you use. "Showing four pitches, Schmidt impressed in his return from Tommy John surgery in 2018. He throws his 92-94 mph fastball for strikes to work ahead, then mixes his three secondaries for whiffs and weak contact, including a future above-average change-up to neutralize lefties. His slider works well for chases to same side hitters, and an average curveball rounds out the repertoire. His arm action isn’t the prettiest, but he repeats his low-effort delivery with a sturdy lower half. While there isn’t a true plus pitch in the arsenal, the control/command of a wide repertoire could make Schmidt a backend starter." Certainly being called a backend starter while in the low minors is very good. But apparently they were less impressed by the degree of wipeout on his slider. And really, he is just sort of a slight step up from Tanner Houck, who also gets the ceiling of a backend starter. On the Sox p[rospects side, we haven't even gotten into Darwinzon Hernandez...
  15. But HR/9IP is also a function of the ballpark. If you look st the xFIP for both pitchers, which incorporates all the same stats and doesn't make stupid distinctions (like awarding one pitcher better on the basis of 4 more strikeouts per 90 IP), you see the two are very close. Gil had a 3.06 xFIP and Ward had a 3.48 xFIP. This difference only translates to about 42 earned runs per 900 IP, or maybe 8 ER per 180 IP season. Using velocity as any sort of guide is always misleading. Radar gun readings are tempting, and you simply cannot teach someone to throw harder. But velocity isn't the tell-all for a pitcher. There is a reason Reynaldo Lopez isn't better than Max Scherzer or Justin Verlander, despite throwing harder. And soxprospects.com isn't as optimistic as it used to be, back in the days when it offered MLB Comparisons (and Lars Anderson failed to be the next Justin Morneau.) They've actually gotten a lot more realistic and could even be considered pessimistic sometimes. This is a site that said Ty Buttrey was a potential middle reliever and Frankie Montas might never make it past AA. And if we disregard the contingency of health, I would think Jay Groome would also be an ace level prospect as well, right?
  16. Garcia is top 100 now. But everyone except Baseball Prospectus has him outside of 60. Luis Gil was less effective in the Sally League this year than Sox prospect Thad Ward. Ward is one year older, but at what point do you rectify the "Yankees have great pitching prospects and the Sox have nothing" commentary vs reality? Same league. Same hitters. Gil wasn't as good. Why is he a better prospect than Ward? Clarke Schmidt is far from a "great" pitching prosect. He is 23 and did throw 19 good innings in AA, but he isn't going to jump to AAA and MLB any time soon. This great pitching prospects AA numbers were similar to the completely unranked and similar-aged Eduard Bazardo in Portland, except Bazardo did it for 32 IP. But Schmidt is "great" despite being 23 with only 19 IP above A ball. I think Bryan Mata is a better prospect than either Schmidt or Gil. While his AA numbers were certainly not impressive, he is only 20.
  17. That's a similar concept. Finite element analysis relates this type of force to springs using the formula f = kx, where x is the distance (amount of deformation here) and k is the spring constant, which is this case would be a function of the modulus of elasticity (a material property) of the bat material. Aluminum has a much higher modulus of elasticity, and therefore a higher k value than wood. The obvious trade off is that the amount of deformation of the wood (or x) is obviously going to be greater than the aluminum. But the force is going to be a constant. So f = kx for aluminum should actually be the same value as f = kx for wood at contact, but this is only true in what science and engineering students call "Physics Land" (Physics Land is a mythical place where those students get to ignore the effects of friction, air resistance, and the Law of Conservation of Energy is kept simple.). The reason the two forces will differ is because we are not in Physics Land, but in the real world. And in the real world, the wood will experience a higher degree of plastic deformation, or permanent deformation, and this will cause a significant drop in kinetic energy, as energy can be lost here, and the Law of Conservation of Energy is not kept so simple. Those newer aluminum bats you mention are operating on the idea of changing the elastic deformation of the bat to a value as close to 0 as possible. No deformation means f =kx = k*0 = 0. Although it probably never quite gets there. If we bring this back to corking a bat, cork is softer than wood and more ready to experience plastic deformation, which reduces the f = kx applied to the ball. If a batter used a bat made entirely out of cork, the bat would dent and probably break on his first swing, which obviously won't help. A player swinging a corked wooden bat would experience more deformation in the wood, but also more plastic deformation due to the hollowing of the barrel, reducing the amount of kinetic energy transferred to the ball. And if the deformation is too much, what can happen is similar to a loosely strung tennis racket, where excessive deformation of the bat becomes detrimental. There is a point where that happens as well..
  18. Actually Sale went a long way to showing he could pitch very well with his lower velocity. Unless W-L and ERA are the only measures you like...
  19. They're Yankee pitching prospects, That alone makes them great. Don't you know how this game is played?
  20. Only if the same situation is bad for the Sox but beneficial when it happens to the Yankees...
  21. Owners/GMs/etc. also work with a lot more and better information than we have here on message boards. If they have a plan - and they probably do - it might have 0 resemblance to anything discussed on these boards. But they definitely have a better idea of the health and condition of those pitchers than we have. We're all just assuming that those pitchers will be ready to go. And a rebuild plan really isn't in order. The Sox might take some steps - like dealing Betts - to get cheaper help. But they are going to have a high payroll and are going to try to stay competitive, and if they reset, will be able to spend big in 2021 (and bring back Betts if they deal him). So any trades will probably be for MLB-ready types to fill gaps. Like many, you are overlooking 2 very big factors. 1) The Sox are not a bad team, just a disappointing one. There is a big difference. And 2) the difference between the top and bottom in MLB isn't that big. Best teams win bout 60% of the time. Worst teams win about 50% of the time. While fans like to look at a team and spot flaws and say "Well this team has no second baseman and no fifth starter, so they going to be a .500 team at best, that kind of assessment simply isn't realistic. There is no winning magic formula that needs to have all the boxes checked. Turning a bad team around can happen quickly if you're lucky. And the Sox aren't even a bad team...
  22. I bought my daughter an aluminum softball bat for about $70 and that was at a Play It Again Sports....
  23. The biggest jumps are from 1976 to 1977 and from 1992 to 1993 (0.48 runs each time). Both were expansion years. Interestingly, the latest expansion year (1998) saw only a 0.02 increase...
  24. Right. And steroids were only taken for the flavor...
  25. By taking players in overslot positions and saving their cash for the Unsignables. The Astros took the cheaper of all the likely #1 over all picks in Correa, and saved the money for Lance McCullers, who was a reported tough sign. The Royals grabbed Hunter Dozier early (I think no one even had him as a first rounder), and saved cash that they used to sign the difficult Sean Manea...
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