notin
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Everything posted by notin
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I might have left out the word "million" for their original estimate. But after the steroid scandal, $50 seems about right...
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You blame everything on new metrics and statisticians. Except success...
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Way back when Jason Giambi signed his deal with the Yankees for 7 years $120 million, Rosenthal wrote about a study two New York econmists did to determine how much he was worth to the Yankees, and they concluded he would be worth roughly $50 per season in all the revenue gains. Now in this case, it didn't pan out for reasons related to steroids and Grandy Jury testimony and public "confessions", but the point is the value of marquee players to their teams...
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Baseball is 90% mental. The other half is physical. - Yogi Berra
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It did happen. But, like anything else, it works for some and not for others. It's not like there is one surefire preparation method that works for every player...
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Eovaldi was just a bad idea. I as opposed to bringing back Kimbrel, but I would have given in to Kimbrel's 6 year $100mill demands before sigining Eovaldi to that deal. I see the appeal of Eovaldi, but the downside was just waaaaaaay too obvious. And it took almost no time to manifest itself, either...
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Let's see if Porky is really worth the money he's getting paid.
notin replied to Larry33's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Porcello has been worth 10.8 fWAR on this current contract. Over the same period of time, Price has been worth 10.6 fWAR. But somehow, Porcello is the contract worth complaining about? And this is before we discuss dollar values and time remaining... -
A bit unfair sine Eovaldi has made so few starts this year and Price has been on the IL But Price had one one July 24, and then was IL'd 2 starts later. Chacin had one July 3, and has only appeared in 3 games since. Cashner has only had one since joining the Sox, but it was against the Yankees..
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Maybe But Cashner logged 30 IP as a Sox starter. Porcello hasn't gotten anything going in over 150...
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Price-ERod-Eovaldi-Chacin-Cashner? Better or worse than the current rotation?
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Why not Chacin? Or Shawaryn? Cashner?
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I think most GMs get this better than we do. The logic is that payout over the first few years needs to eclipse the albatross of the later ones. That's why they backload these deals very often - in order to put a better team around the mega contract player while he is still in or near his peak years. As he declines, the team was likely to be worse anyway, so the player gets paid more and the supporting cast isn't as good...
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The question is - is repeatedly throwing Porcello and Brian Johnson out there just putting up the facade of trying to win? It seems to me at some point, giving important starts to Porcello is just doing what hasn't worked so well all year and hoping it magically gets better. At some point, maybe it does become time to make a change because of the necessity to win...
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I see Chavis and Travis holding own first. Hernandez getting first shot at 2b. Duran in the minors to start the year, likely with Chatham. And Dalbec being traded.
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I don’t think so. Machado, Harper and Trout were all at least two years younger than Mookie will be when he becomes FA. Age is becoming a big deal for free agents and potential free agents...
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If the other option is Gorky, I play JBJ everyday. I’d have JBJ bat right-handed before handing starts to Gorkys...
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I don’t hate TB12. The jokes were about the ridiculousness of the laughable scandals surrounding him..
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At this point, we might as well see if we have an internal replacement for Porcello. We know we have one for Moreland in Chavis...
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And that’s just what they call you to your face
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Yes, Captain Correction
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The Sox might have the worst farm in the majors, but that doesn’t mean it’s devoid of major leaguers, even at the upper levels. It means they probably don’t have as many as other teams or don’t have any high impact players or both. It is possible in the next 12 months, any of Dalbec, Chatham, Houck, Hart, Mata, and/or Duran all make MLB debuts. And others like Lakins, Poyner, Shawaryn, and Kelley return to the majors. But what level of player will they be? But only 5 of the top 10 on Soxprospects.com are below AA...
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To be fair, I’ve been piling on DD since he was hired, although pausing briefly to give some credit last October. That’s the thing with DD; he absolutely HAS to get the title, because his methods ensure hard times to follow, and the title makes them somewhat easier to take...
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Dalbec is really the Sox best completely expendable trade chip. If they have to fill a need cheaply - and they will, probably more than one - this guy is obviously on his way elsewhere. I see South Beach in his future, where they like minimum wage baseball players and the hot corner is no longer contaminated with the skeletal remains of Martin Prado. Sox get Jose Urena to replace Porcello...
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That’s why you reset after 2020, before Mookie becomes a free agent and makes that kind of cash...
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I’m predicting his next deal is similar to Molan Arenado’s deal - neighborhood of 8 years / $260mill...
