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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    We will have to see if Lindor and Correa sign extensions. If so, the Super Shortstop Market takes a big hit...
  2. notin
    The Red Sox signed Hector Rondon to a minor league deal. Rondon had a rough spring (7.71 ERA in 8 IP), but hey, still better than Phillips Valdez...
  3. notin
    The "two man bench" does not include the backup catcher. It's really a 3 man bench...
  4. notin
    Well, the confidence in the result - positive or negative - is the same. It’s 90%. But a false negative is obviously more dangerous, whereas a false positive just leads to unnecessary precautions. Of course, that was using your parameters. The tests are not really 90% accurate and, depending on the test, do not give false positives and false negatives equally. The fun thing was the original antibody tests, which were really only about 50% accurate (and cost over $100 and were not covered). What’s the point? You get the same result flipping a coin and calling “Heads I’m sick with a potentially deadly virus!”
  5. notin
    No. Under those conditions, the rate of false positives would be just under 1/3 of the positive results. If 90% of the population does not have the virus, then a 95% accuracy yields 86.5% negative, leaving 4.5% with false positive. On the other 10%, you get 9.5% accurate positives (and 0.5% false negative). So the rate of false positives (4.5%) among positive tests (14% or 4.5% + 9.5%) is roughly 32.1%, or just under 1 of 3 positive test results being a false positive
  6. notin
    For people with a positive test result but no virus - 100%...
  7. notin
    Anyway, you’re both wrong. Ronaldo Hernandez will get called up before Downs and Duran for two reasons. 1. Already on the 40 man roster. 2. Less depth at his position. An injury could have him on the team by Thursday...
  8. notin
    So Downs over Chavis?
  9. notin
    Do we need Odor? If we want a 2b who does nothing offensively but hit home runs, strikes out a ton, and struggles defensively, I think Chavis can handle the role...
  10. notin
    I don’t think so. It’s not a dead virus vaccine like the flu. At least I don’t think it is...
  11. notin
    Too obvious. He’ll take Oregon State RHP Kevin Abel...
  12. notin
    If you think Van Damme has any decent action movies, then you are clearly never disappointed by anything. Good for you!
  13. notin
    Same here, but it is always shocking how many draft experts there are out there confined to message boards. And by this I mean in any sport...
  14. notin
    I think the true surprise will be if Judge ever actually plays in three straight games...
  15. notin
    So ...three guys likely to get cut?
  16. notin
    So if Bloom is true to himself, he will avoid those 4 players and take someone no one saw coming, like Texas A&M RHP Bryce Miller. And then the media will rip him for the reach until Miller is pitching in Portland by August and fighting for a bullpen spot next March...
  17. notin
    Well, the problem is that he struggles to not be a total ass behind the plate...
  18. notin
    And to think, defensive-oriented Tyler Flowers is still without a job...
  19. notin
    Bloom took a high school shortstop last season. If last year taught us anything, Bloom will not be paying attention to someone else's rankings...
  20. notin
    Not sure, but I think I would pass on him at 4 in favor of a few others. If Del Castillo figures to not stick at catcher and Henry Davis does, I would take Davis over Del Castillo..
  21. notin
    And they have no such excuse, except that they are showing how to run a team really cheaply...
  22. notin
    It seems that Bloom/Henry have little desire to cross the luxury tax limit this season, even if they might be able to get under it later...
  23. notin
    Not a big deal, as this is a roto-style leage (which we had to do with 11 teams). I was actually thinking of jettisoning/trading all my SP and just using RP/Closers, as that would help me take ERA, WHIP and Saves in the 5x5 scoring system. Taking 1st in all three but punting Wins and K's. It's a thought...
  24. notin
    It will make my decision tough if ERod struggles this year. Cutting him seems easy, but then I lose the chance to keep him next year for $1...
  25. notin
    Bt I'd call his risk equal to that of Paxton. FRom 2016-2019, Paxton started 101 games and threw 568 IP. In that same stretch, Taillon started 82 games and threw 467 IP. Taillon has also only thrown as many as 134 IP one time in his career, albeit with an impressive 191 IP. Paxton has never thrown 170 IP, but is at least a good bet to top 134 IP, which he has done every season since 2016 (not counting 2020). So while Paxton does always make for legitimate health concerns, the solution to his lack of durability is absolutely not Jameson Taillon...
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