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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. No pay. But the benefits consist of having every move you make being second guessed by millions of people citing your complete incompetence and claiming that letting Blake Snell get away is proof of it.. .
  2. He is a bit underwhelming, but after Pillar and Bradley, he is probably the best remaining FA. The Sox could also trade for an underwater contract for CF, giving up little and maybe taking back a player/prospect to even things up like they tried to with Wil Myers. Some of the deals that might be available for CF include Inciarte (1 yr/ $9,ill with the Braves), Cain (2 yrs $34mill with the Brewers), Akiyama (2 yrs $15mill with the Reds), Fowler (1 yr $16.5 mill with the Cardinals), Myers (2 yrs $45mil; with the Padres), and Kiermaier (2 yrs $25.8mill with Rays) and possibly Blackmon (2 yrs $41.5 mill with the Rockies) and if the Sox are feeling truly generous, Jason Heyward (3 yrs $65mill with the Cubs for a player worth 3.7 fWAR since 2018). A lot of those names have been bounced around all off-season, but are also all still available. Inciarte seems like the most logical choice for a few reasons...
  3. There was a plan. Just not s good plan...
  4. SP: Kluber and Odorizzi RP: Hand and Bradley 2b: I like Wong, but if they sign Enrique or Cesar Hernandez, that is acceptable. CF: If the Sox do not bring back JBJ, then the best remaining candidates are Pillar and DeShields. Can Chavis be dealt for a CF? (BTV would have Adam Hasely as the best equivalent.)
  5. Why not? Unless the player they acquire is on a one year deal...
  6. But baseball, unlike other sports, doesn't have point spreads. What it does have in the post season is a bunch of teams typically separated by a very small amount over a large season. How much better really is a team with a 98-64 record over a team with a 94-68 record? Especially since they probably did not even play the same schedule...
  7. Yep, that's what killed the 2004 Red Sox, who went ice cold in the first 3 games of the ALCS...
  8. The 2014 Tigers' rotation had the three most recent AL Cy Young winners (David Price, Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer) and started them in 3 straight games in the ALDS, only to be swept by the Baltimore Orioles...
  9. The Sox can replace Beni easy enough.
  10. Again, there may be a volume issue there. Would a 60-40 split in an election be considered a landslide for 5 votes?
  11. Las Vegas considers that slight advantage worth it due to the volume. There’s only one World Series per year...
  12. I am not so sure Pitt would...
  13. Per the article, it says a pitcher and outfield prospect. No mention of any names or even teams. With Schwarber going for $10mill, Benintendi does look better due to his salary. But we shall see. I have a feeling Bloom has a high price tag and no one will meet it. This also could be BS. Players rumored to be marketed all the time were never really on the block...
  14. Benintendi involved in trade talks. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021/01/red-sox-discussing-andrew-benintendi-in-trade-talks.html
  15. To be fair, in most of those years, 3/4 of the teams involved were first place teams. And since the only change in the WC was the addition of another team and a single game, those odds really remain the same. (As in this isn’t the NFL where it’s possible for two WC teams to advance in the same league.) So if the percentage of WC champions = the % of WC teams, that really does lend itself towards crapshoot...
  16. LOL. As one who is not much for conspiracy, I simply believe Manfred is simply stupid. Occam’s Razor and all..
  17. Only manager in history to manage a World Series champion and an Olympic Gold Medal team....
  18. I think we got that. But even taking the Vegas betting situation into account, the individual game betting lines are not like NFL or NBA lines with odds or point spreads on a team. The most common lines are payoff lines that represent winnings on a $100 bet or the quantity you need to bet to win $100, and are heavily (re: solely?) based on starting pitchers, not on teams...
  19. I know what he meant, but I agree it isn’t the same. But the playoffs also don’t typically involve “bad teams.” In MLB, they’re usually a bunch of teams that won between 55% and 62% of their games and thinking that 7% advantage represents any sort of significant difference in a stretch of 3 to 19 games...
  20. Taillon might never be an ace, and certainly never a reliable one. He’s an upgrade. A serious one with a great pedigree (drafted in between Bryce Harper and Manny Machado) and some MLB success. Per BTV, a fair trade is Taillon and Polanco for Groome and another, like Brayan Bello. But there are some options. But the points are: 1. Should the Sox take on Polanco? He was an exit velocity monster last season, but even more of a swing and miss monster. Also, I would not trust him in CF. 2. Would you trade Groome for Taillon? Both have strong similarities, like top tier talent and severe struggles staying on the mound...
  21. No, but we all know it’s not “Cashman’s track record” that turns players like these around, is it now?
  22. I’d rather trade for an ace and get them before their prime years, rather than use free agency to pay a pitcher in his 30s for the career he had in his 20s. But trading for an ace does require a farm system. But I liked the Sale trade a lot more than the Price signing...
  23. I did not like Price for a 7 year $200+ mill contract, and Bauer is not as good as Price was at the time...
  24. I was expecting some deeply insightful plan like “just sign Bauer, Springer and Yates and then trade for Jose Ramirez. See how easy it is” type thing presented like it was not only obvious, but also easily affordable. His acquisitions were probably a bit much, but not out of reach...
  25. I thought this guy's plan was going to be stupid (because I found the link on Trevor Bauer's B-R page), but it's much more reasonable that I expected. https://www.overtimeheroics.net/2021/01/08/2021-red-sox-predictions/
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