Jump to content
Join us in the conversation around the Red Sox's draft day, click here! ×
Talk Sox
  • Create Account

notin

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    53,596

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    45

 Content Type 

Profiles

Boston Red Sox Videos

2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking

Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker

News

2026 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    He wasn't, but I still was calling for him to be out there in game six...
  2. notin
    And to think, none of that might have happened if not for Shag Crawford pitching out of a bases loaded, no one out jam with only one tying run allowed in the Henderson game of the ALCS. And where was Crawford the next time the season was on the line? All I remember was me shouting for Shag at my insolent and unresponsive television. I blame it to this day...
  3. notin
    I was thinking Mike Stanley as the "Father of the Modern Passed Ball" because he had like 98 of them in about 5600 innings behind the plate. A lot of people had more, but most (all?) of them also had a lot more innings at catcher. Of course, being Charlie Hough's teammate was certainly a factor...
  4. notin
    Except that the Dobnak thing was explicitly written into the rules for a save. Hitting a home run in a 15-1 game is not the same, because there is no rule for game situation about what constitutes a home run. Saves, on the other hand, are completely determined by game situation. And for some reason, the people determining what constitutes a save decided pitching the last 3 innings regardless of score and performance equals a save. Even wins can take into account how a pitcher does. It rarely, if ever, happens any more, but the official scorer can take a win away from a relief pitcher who is in line for a victory if he does poorly, and the scorer can give it to the next pitcher who comes in. (Rule 10.17 in the MLB rule book, if you doubt me.) But the 3 inning save rule has no such contingencies I am aware of...
  5. notin
    And wins and ERA depend heavily on the team around you. Saves are overrated and no more important than Holds. And in some instances, like Randy Dobnak yesterday, saves are a flat out joke...
  6. notin
    Robot bases now!! Use modifed Roomba's that move out of the way when the ball or a Yankee baserunner are approaching...
  7. notin
    K's are the best thing a pitcher can do. Everything else, and he needs help...
  8. notin
    But again, ERA is dependent on defense. Walks are the worst. Let a guy hit the ball, even the best only reach 3-4 times out of 10. Walk him? 100% reach first...
  9. notin
    End of the day - strikes? Can they hit them? Isn't that all that matters?
  10. notin
    And it was the one thing he said that I agreed with...
  11. notin
    That's fair...
  12. notin
    I know Gedman's was poorly times, but it seems like it was Mike Stanley who mastered the art of giving up the passed ball....
  13. notin
    I thought fuzzy math witchcraft was required to be an accountant...
  14. notin
    Keep using the phrase "1st place O's" as many times as possible now while it is still accurate...
  15. notin
    Yes it does not take "quality of contact" into consideration. Really it emphasizes strikeouts. But then, while weak contact is better, it can still go for hits and baserunners depending on defense. For example, Brad Keller was blooped and bled to death in his first start this year. FIP tells you strikeouts are king. And really, they are. No defense. No runners (barring the rare dropped third strike). Three strikes and go sit down. While there have been many successful groundball and weak contact pitchers, how many pitchers have failed who excelled using the criteria for FIP - high K, low BB, low HR?
  16. notin
    Evaluating pitchers is really always tricky because we always ignore a very big factor - the team the pitcher is on. Depending on how the schedule plays out, Gerrit Cole could make up to 20% of his starts this year against the Orioles. He will face the Yankee lineup in 0% of his starts. And John Means could make up to 20% of his starts against the Yankee lineup this year and will face the Orioles 0% of the time. We all expect Cole to have much better numbers than Means this year, but would the gap be the same if these two pitchers were to trade places? How much better would Cole be under those circumstances? So far, I think my favorite (yet still not without flaws) method for evaluating pitchers is to look at Zone % and Contact %. It answers the two simplest questions: 1) Is this pitcher throwing strikes? And 2) is anyone hitting them?
  17. notin
    You're overthinking it. It's games to be played minus games ahead of nearest opponent plus one. The Sox have 158 games to be played. Typically it is applied to a team in the lead and not a last place team, but the Sox "lead" is "minus 2 games", on Balitmore and Toronto. So the real Magic Number is 161. 158 - (-2) +1. But for catching the Evil Empire, the Magic Number is actually 158 - (-1) + 1 or 160. In both cases, it's larger than the games to be played because the Sox need other teams to lose games (which obviously will happen for a bunch of reasons, the most prominent one being reality.) All those scenarios about other teams are all built in to the formula, or will be as they affect the lead portion of the formula. Also, most important, Magic Numbers calculated on April 6th for 1-3 teams are done for comedic purposes only...
  18. notin
    All Andriese has to do is pitch the final 3 innings in a blow out game and he gets credited with the all important save. Yeah, saves!
  19. notin
    They're still the defending champions and will be until someone else takes the title...
  20. notin
    Go Boston Bananas!
  21. notin
    Many pitching stats are heavily dependent on defense. ERA is the same way. Better defenders can prevent runs by making more outs on batted balls within the park. Look at Arozarena last night, for example. Not like Wacha made a good pitch to Renfroe, and certainly not like Renfroe did not put a solid charge into that ball. But Arozarena made a great (re: unbelievable) play and probably saved a run or two. If the Rays had Phillips or Meadows out in RF, that ball goes for extra bases, and suddenly Wacha looks like a worse pitcher, when in reality he is the same Wacha. That's the reason for FIP, which only considers outcomes a pitcher can control, or that are at least not impacted by defense - strikeouts, walks and home runs And one could argue home runs are also influenced by ballpark...
  22. notin
    I was going to ask you why...
  23. notin
    I didn't notice. I was too busy watching the Red Sox beat up on the defending American League champions...
  24. notin
    Wasn't that exactly what was needed?
  25. notin
    No...
×
×
  • Create New...