notin
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Everything posted by notin
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I like the ide of keeping Houck and Whitlock on the pen to anchor it. If Barnes can rebound somewhat, then Taylor, Brasier, Valdez, Hernandez and Valdez combine to make for a very solid bullpen...
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TJS is certainly not the career ender it used to be, but so far history has shown many pitchers need a second one after about 600 IP. And the frequency of getting a second TJS is too high to ignore. I think the health history alone does make Houck the far more appealing trade target of the two. But giving up on Houck to get Castillo is still a dilemma. I'd probably consider trading Casas over Houck, but not sure how interested Cincinnati is in Casas given that Votto still has 2 years (and $57mill) on his contract, can't play anywhere else, and is virtually untradable even without taking into consideration his 10-5 rights...
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I'm not sure Jeter Downs carries the appeal he did 12 months ago. I haven't given up on him and think he was placed in a very bad position, basically skipping AA ball after missing a year, but I do think it means any trade of him is definitely selling low, assuming any team is interested at all...
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From a baseball standpoint, I greatly prefer Suarez to Moustakas. However, just because Suarez is expensive doesn't mean the Reds are willing to dump the ML home run leader over the past 4 seasons so readily. Moustakas' experience at 2B appears to be an advantage, but even with Suarez never playing there, I actually trust him more at the position than the slow-footed and oft-injured Moustakas. Now maybe the Sox could deal Casas (and either Groome or Bello) for Castillo and Suarez, and then put Suarez at 3B and move Devers over to 1B. Of course, that leaves Dalbec without a position and no one to play 2B....
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If I am the GM of the Reds, I stop it at the Big 4. Nothing against Whitlock, but taking on a pitcher whose already had one TJ surgery is not a good way to rebuild...
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Well, if the Sox want Castillo, they are going to have to give the Reds something good. If the goal is to hold on to Casas, Mayer, Yorke, and Houck, it gets much more difficult. Jarren Duran only gets you so much. Even taking back a questionable contract like Suarez (and then trying to figure out where he plays) doesn't really help the situation much. Taking back Moustakas might, but at some point, Cincinnati is probably going to ralize it is unwise to dump their worst contract in a package with their best trade bait...
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Per the simulator at BTV, a fair deal would be Castillo, Eugenio Suarez (and his 3 years $38.5mill left) and Nick Senzel for Tanner Houck and Jarren Duran. Or - Castillo and Suarez for Houck and Dalbec. Or - Castillo and Mike Moustakas (2 yrs - $38mill) for Duran, Dalbec and Brayan Bello. There you go - deals where the Sox do get to keep Casas, Mayer and Yorke. Of course, they do have to give up Houck, or take back Mike Moustakas. So it's not necessarily a good thing...
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The last 2 offseasons have been insanely slow throughout November and December. CBA or not, that is possibly the new norm. So I don't expect much in the way of free agent signings for several weeks anyway, especially since the top names this offseason all play the same position, so each will be waiting on the others to set the bar. Between now and 2022, most likely we see nothing more than a bunch of fringey short-term signings of borderline players who carry little risk and very likely no reward, much like the Dodgers' signing of Andrew Heaney...
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If the Sox can get Castillo and hold on to those 3, they should do it today. I struggle to imagine how they would be able to do that, however. Unless they are dealing Houck...
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He got off to a slow start. His ERA at the end of May was 7.22. For the last 135 IP of the season, his ERA was 2.73...
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Heaney is another one where the question was never really about talent. He just can't stay on the field...
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$8.5mill should translate to about $500K per IP…
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Did mvp recommend Escobar? If so, I’m off Escobar now…
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You ever try catching anything with one of those cold, solid, heavy and completely inflexible Gold Gloves on your hand?
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Your name now makes you look like a Cardinals’ fan…
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1 year / $8.5 mill. Free agency has officially begun!!!
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But my point is Knebel is always hurt. Let him go to the Yankees, who like to sign oft-injured players and then gripe about how unlucky they are when these players get hurt. Knebel has 38 IP in the past 3 seasons. He does get hurt a lot. Sox might as well avoid..
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And did so without Yadier Molina getting one…
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Why Knebel? He’s just another repeated arm problem. I do think Graveman is a good target. Most pundits seem to think Semien is the 2b target. Both you and Soxprosoects.com think Iglesias is. No one seems to like Eduardo Escobar. But the guy has a 108 OPS+ and positive (although probably useless) defensive metrics at 2b, and has seriou switch/hitting power. And his last contract was only 3 years / $21mill, the total value here is probably less than the AAV for a contract that lands Semien…
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Exactly. I don’t think he belongs much back, and even at $7mill, his home runs and outfield assists are worth it
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I really don’t think the Sox are going to get rid of Renfroe just because he has a bad week against the Astros. Especially since hitting better in the postseason isn’t necessarily an actual skill you can count on. Even David Ortiz had bad postseason series sometimes…
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So you want the Yankees to sign Rodon? Sure, keep up the recent strategy of signing pitchers who get hurt all the time. Is there a big fear that Taillon and Kluber got lonely on the IL?
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.. which will make him one of the best offseason additions any defending champion ever made...
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He's been in the organization for 5 years and has 126 career IP in the minors. Yes, he is a relief pitcher, but that is still not s lot of pitching to evaluate anybody. Plenty of MLB relievers start in the minors and rack up actual IP so people have a clue how good or bad they are...
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Will the Sox give Eduardo Rodriguez a Qualifying Offer?
notin replied to mvp 78's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I think his very low IP total was also a factor. It's hard to be as good as a replacement player when you're the guy getting replaced...
