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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    He's going to get 14 years- 13 min. Opts outs are too hard to project, but I guess he might worry the market could keep going up and up. I just think $600-700M/14 is not something anyone should worry about ending up feeling short-changed.
  2. moonslav59
    This has been a long-standing point made by many, including myself, but until we actually see JH open his wallet, again, I think we will continue thinking of trades. We also will have a glut of talent and only 13 slots on the ML roster for our wealth of positional players. To me, it makes sense, even if we spend big to add to the 26, we can think a trade or two can fix some of our weaker areas (pen & rotation) by trading duplicated values on the positional side of the 40 and the farm.
  3. moonslav59
    That says it all, MVP. The kids are ready. The foundation is set. Maybe they think giving the kids one year to get established, and waiting another winter makes more sense, but Red Sox Nation is tired of waiting. The time is now!
  4. moonslav59
    Just outbidding the Rays for Eflin and keeping Nate or Wacha around, instead of signing Masa might have snuck us into the playoffs 1-2 times.
  5. moonslav59
    Gotta love Soto's consistently high OPS+ 142 at ages 19 and 20. 217 at age 21 was off-the-charts. 175 and 147 at 22 & 23 Then 155 with the Padres at 24 and 178 with NYY at 25. I can't stop from comparing him to Manny, and when you look at Manny's full 14 seasons, from ages 23 to 36, you see he had 2 seasons in the mid 180's as his highest, ever. He led the league, just ones at 174 at age 27. His age 26 to 36 went like this: 146, 174, 186, (BOS>>>)162, 184, 160, 162, 153, 165, 126, 166 (BOS+LAD) At ages 37 & 38, in just 751 PAs total, he still put up a 147 OPS+! If Soto can match the 13 seasons Manny had from age 26 to 38, signing him is a no-brainer: 1.015 OPS (159 OPS+) .315 BA 41 HRs per 162 135 RBI per 162 350 TB per 162 Soto's last 5 seasons: .959 OPS, but a 168 OPS+, which is better than Manny's 13 year stretch. 35 HRs and 100 RBI per 162 falls short of Manny, as does his 299 TB/162. Manny at ages 21-25: .940 OPS (140 OPS+) 32 HRs and 109 RBI per 162 w 311 TB. It's hard to know if Soto can age like Manny, and there doesn't seem to be as many antics or drama moments to his career, but to me, he looks like a once in a generation kinds free agent. We should have kept Betts, but signing Soto would go a long way to helping us get over that huge blunder.
  6. moonslav59
    Hell, go 13 or 14, if it's all about years. Still would not get him to age 40.
  7. moonslav59
    Good call.... They both were about the same age, had played 7 seasons, had about 930 games and 4,000 PAs, when signed. Soto: .953 OPS (160 OPS+) Per 650: .285 32 98 Harper: .900 OPS (149 OPS+) Per 650: .279 30 87
  8. moonslav59
    We will likely add a ML one, too. I can't see Gasper on the 26, opening day.
  9. moonslav59
    Correct, it was notin's quote he was responding to. My bad.
  10. moonslav59
    Good one. I think he was 26 1/2 and had a .900 OPS w WSH in 927 games and almost 4000 PAs. 7 seasons and 184 HRs. Per 650 PAs: .279 30 86 Soto: 7 years. 936 games and just over 4,000 PAs. (201 HRs) Per 650: .285 33 94
  11. moonslav59
    It's kinda weird how we have done much better with lower comp picks than our top picks. 2023: Campbell picked after Duffy, Anderson, Zanetello & Teel. 2022: Anthony after Coffey & Romero 2014: Kopech (Ellsbury) after Chavis (later part of Sale trade) 2012: B Johnson & P light (both for Papelbon) after Marrero 2011: Owens (VMart) after Swihart (Beltre) and Barnes (VMart) -both also comp picks. 2011: JBJ (Beltre) after Owens, Swihart & Barnes 2010: Vitek & Ranaudo (Wagner) were our first & third picks. Brentz & Workman (Jason Bay) were our 2nd and 4th picks. 2008: Stephen Fife (Hunter Morris) after Gibson, B Price (Gagne) and Casey Kelly We've had some good luck with comp picks. Let's hope the streak continues with the one for Pivetta. 2006: Daniel Bard and K Johnson (Damon) after Jason Place. 2005 wins the award: 1. Ellsbury (Cabrera) 2. Hansen (D Lowe) 3. Buccholz (pedro) 4. Lowrie (Cabrera) 5. Bowden (D Lowe) 6. Egan (Pedro) Followw this trail: We traded Nomar for Cabrera and a ring, then got Jacoby and Lowrie for Cabrera. Later we got Kopech for Ellsbury and Sale for Kopech (and others.) Now, we have Grissom for Sale. The gift keeps giving, even if the last one was a boobie prize.
  12. moonslav59
    Yes. I have never called the Sox "Tampa Bay North." I just said that the Bloom hiring and quick trade of Mookie was likely a big factor in the term being used by others.
  13. moonslav59
    I agree. I challenge everyone to name another past 26 year old FA as good as Soto. In this sense, he is "generational."
  14. moonslav59
    A guy named Hugh said it.
  15. moonslav59
    A player might have a higher potential of sticking in the bigs but a low ceiling than someone with less of a potential to stick.
  16. moonslav59
    Where is it listed?
  17. moonslav59
    DD was reportedly about to trade Mookie in 2019, but the team started playing better, and they decided not to be sellers.
  18. moonslav59
    But they did show a willingness to pay a lot for someone. The other thing the Rays often do, is back-load a deal, so they trade the guy, when the contract goes up.
  19. moonslav59
    I understand how Priester appears to have better swing and miss stuff. I think they are pretty close in potential. I was responding to the point made about the so-so Fitts numbers for 2024, and I felt it is only fair to point out Priester's equally so-so numbers at the same levels.
  20. moonslav59
    Both reeked of "Tampa Bay North." Not replacing Kimbrel, Kelly, Porcello, ERod, JD and others. Trading away Beni to save $3M to afford Renfroe. All seemed like the Rays, although there were deals like Ottavino and eventually Story, Yoshida and the bomb Devers extension.
  21. moonslav59
    Forget Fitts in MLB in 2024. Did Priester show anything better in MLB or AAA, this year? 5.44 in 50 IP MLB 1.17 WHIP (2.4 K:BB) 4.38 in 72 IP in AAA 1.41 WHIP (4.1 K:BB) (2023: 7.74 in 50 IP in MLB and 4.00 at AAA in 108 IP) Fitts was 4.17 in AAA '24 with a 1.28 WHIP and 3.0:1 K:BB (Better ERA and WHIP/worse K:BB) Fitts in AA in '23: 3.48 ERA in 153 IP (lots of innings) 1.14 WHIP and 3.8 K:BB. soxprospects.com: Fastball: 93-96 mph. Tops out at 98 mph. Velocity has steadily increased through 2023 and into 2024.
  22. moonslav59
    Going forward, I think I Campbell sticks in the bigs, and he has cost-controlled years remaining. Urias may get another chance, and at less than $5M, IMO.
  23. moonslav59
    Making Bloom the GM had a lot to do with it, too. He was literally the author of the book on the Rays strategies.
  24. moonslav59
    Well, we traded Dugo for Fitts (and others.)
  25. moonslav59
    I forgot about Shugart. I think Gaspar gets traded or DFA'd, when we add a ML catcher, and that will happen.
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