Jump to content
Talk Sox
  • Create Account

moonslav59

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    104,581

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    129

 Content Type 

Profiles

Boston Red Sox Videos

2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking

Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker

News

2026 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Yup. My bad.
  2. moonslav59
    Well, word was DD almost traded Betts, at the deadline in 2019, but a winning stretch put it on hold. IMO, the idea to trade Betts was a priority from then, until he was actually traded. They had time to make a decision, and I am not sure there were all than many options to choose from- maybe two. I don't think there was "indecision." They decided he would be traded, early. When the injury was discovered on Graterol, maybe there was a period of indecision on how to restructure the deal. but think they were very decisive on trading him, at some point.
  3. moonslav59
    True: Anderson only had 9 PAs against in high leverage. Bernardino had 79 (5th most,) but he was doing very well for the first half of '24. These could be replaced by IP from Whitlock or someone better: 75 Kelly (7th most) 69 Weissert (8th) 60 Wink (11th) 30 Booser, 18 Campbell, 11 Joely, 11 Horn 14 other scrubs combined This is almost 250 PAs we can improve on with more from Whitlock, Slaten, hendriks and Fulmer, but maybe a demoted SP'er, too.
  4. moonslav59
    You mean Adrian Beltre?
  5. moonslav59
    No, but it's more useful than 60-80 from Chase Anderson and Mitch Keller. (Also, maybe it could be 80-100 IP.) The idea is we replace him with someone who goes 180, as well, but with 17 HRs allowed, not 34. (Also, Gio replaces Pivetta, so maybe a new SP'er replace Fitts/Criswell, not Crawford.) 1. ____ 2. Houck 3. Bello 4. Gio 5. Crawford
  6. moonslav59
    Great info. Thanks. fWAR 2023-2024 (xFIP) 5.1 Houck (3.76- 5th best) 4.3 Crawford (4.34) 3.9 Pivetta (3.52 3rd best) 3.6 Bello (3.94) 2.5 Jansen (4.30) 2.4 Martin (2.77 best) 2.1 Sale (3.72) 1.5 Slaten (2.90- 2nd best) 1.3 Paxton (4.00) 1.2 Whitlock (3.76 -6th best) 1.1 Criswell (4.43) 1.0 Winckowski (4.01) SP ERA- 87 Houck 93 Pivetta (Soon to be gone) 95 Sale (GONE) 96 Criswell 97 Crawford 99 Paxton (GONE) 100 Bello & Whitlock (to pen?) 155 Kluber (gone) RP ERA- (50+ IP) 50 Martin (to be gone) 69 Slaten 73 Weissert 79 Jansen (to be gone) 80 Wink 83 Bernardino 92 Kelly
  7. moonslav59
    Adding a starter might push Crawford to the pen, as a long man. That would help the pen, as well, right?
  8. moonslav59
    I expect nothing for Yoshida, except salary relief that can be added to our winter spending budget. If the savings just go in JH's wallet, than I prefer we just keep him, and hope he build value. I'd scour the league for someone who wants Abreu and DHam and has a very good RP'er or two to gives us in return, or maybe a solid #3 SP'er. We need to shed a couple LHBs, anyway, and I think these two have real value, along with 5 years of control, each. You have BTV, I believe. Who are some RP'ers or SP'ers we could get for one of these two guys or bth combined? Does adding Wink sweeten the return all that much?
  9. moonslav59
    You know me: no player is untouchable. Of course, I have players I'd much prefer to keep, and I tend to value years of control and upside potential more than some, but I'll trade anyone for a better return. I'll trade anyone for an equal return, if the return is in an area of greater need, and the step up in that area looks to be greater than the step down from the area we traded away. I prime example would be trading Duran for a 1 slot SP'er. How big is the step down to Anthony or more time from Abreu, Ref and rafaela in the OF? Weigh that step down vs the step up from a top SP'er vs Fitts or Crawford in the rotation. Also, moving Fitts or Crawford to the pen or rotation depth would improve that roster slot as well. Alternately, we could trade Anthony and keep an already excellent OF intact. If I had to list our who I'd prefer to keep, it would be like this: 1. Houck. 2. Anthony, T3. Campbell & Duran, 5. Teel, 6. Mayer, T7 Casas and Bello, 9. Slaten, 10. Arias
  10. moonslav59
    AP Rankings 1. Texas 5-0 2. Ohio St 5-0 3. Oregon 5-0 4. Penn St 5-0 5. Georgia 4-1 6. Miami 6-0 7. Alabama 4-1 8. Tennessee 4-1 9. Ole Miss 5-1 10. Clemson 4-1 11. Notre Dame 4-1 & Iowa St 5-0 ___________________ 13. LSU 4-1 14. BYU 5-0 15. Texas A & M 5-1 16. Utah 4-1 17. Boise St. 4-1 18. Indiana 6-0 19. K St & OK 4-1 21. Missouri 4-1 22. Pitt 5-0 Some big games, this weekend: 2 Ohio St @ 3 Oregon 1 Texas @ 18 OK 4 Penn St @ USC 9 Ole Miss @ 13 LSU (The winner likely stays in front of or jumps over ND. The loser will be below ND, if ND wins.) Stanford @ 11 ND
  11. moonslav59
    Exactly. If it wasn't for the 60 Day IL for the toe injury, 2023 would have been a lot better looking, except for the defensive bump. Duran's O has been very good for 1.5 years: his D for just 1.
  12. moonslav59
    I think they would have trade JD, had the signed Schwarber. They could not have afforded both with those budgets we had.
  13. moonslav59
    Very well stated. I've always been for building up a rotation from the top. Trying to add a 3/4 to bump out your 5 is no way to win. I've also been saying we need at least 2 solid SP'ers, but I doubt it happens. I'd be okay with Houck as the 2, but Bello and Gio should be 4-5 and Crawford in the pen. That means, at worst, we need a solid #1 and #3. Again, I doubt we add 2 SP'ers, unless one is like a Criswell addition, and if we do add one, it will be a #3, not a #1.
  14. moonslav59
    It is truly wide open.
  15. moonslav59
    The big RHB has been a key to all our ring seasons, just as having two TOTR pitchers has been, too. 2004: Manny 1.009 (43 HRs and 124 RBI) 2007: Manny .881, Pedey .823 & Youk .843 2013: Napoli .842, Pedey .787 & L/R Nava .831 & Vic .801 2018: JD 1.031, Betts 1.078& Bogey .882
  16. moonslav59
    hUH?
  17. moonslav59
    I don't think anyone wants to trade these two and even several others. When you look at all of our top 6 trade chips, one-by-one, I'd like to keep all of them: Duran, Anthony, Campbell, Mayer, Casas, & Teel. We could find a way to plug our holes without trading any of them, but it would take one or both of these things to happen: 1. JH to open his wallet or Brez to strike gold on mid level signings. 2. Brez to strike gold on mid-level trades (like Abreu, DHam, Wink or other non blue chippers..)
  18. moonslav59
    He will still be paid less than FA, but arbs are on the rise. His 3rd and 4th arbs will not be cheap.
  19. moonslav59
    Campbell could also play OF (instead of Rafaela) or 3B (move Devers to 1B, DH or 1B/DH w Casas) Or, as notin suggests, play Grissom at 3B and Campbell at 2B. I'm all for giving Campbell a wide open chance to make the 26 man opening day roster. Unless we trade Abreu, it's easier to find a spot for him than for Anthony.
  20. moonslav59
    I still think trading for a SP'er is the best route to take. Use the limited budget on 2 solid RP'ers, pitching depth and maybe a decent catcher with some RH'd pop. I guess we could trade Abreu and DHam for pen help and sign a big FA SP'er, but I'm thinking Flaherty might be the best we'd pay for.
  21. moonslav59
    We really do need to view this as a 4 year window that begins in 2025. I hope they don't narrow it to 3 years, starting in 2016. Since we may lose Houck after 3, I'd view the next 3 years as our best chance. 9 yrs Devers 7 yrs Rafaela 5+ Anthony, Mayer, Campbell, Teel and other prospects 5yrs Bello (counting option) Abreu, Slaten, Fitts, Criswell, Griffin, I Campbell, Weissert and many others 4yrs Duran, Casas, Crawford, Wong, Wink 3 yrs w opt Story 3 yrs Houck, Whitlock (countin option) Yoshida 2 yrs none 1 yr Hendriks, Refsnyder, Giolito (plus option) We have a nice core, but we also have some big needs. GET IT DONE, BREZ!!!
  22. moonslav59
    Funny how you mentioned Dalbec, who had an OPS over .800 after a year and a half. I honestly think many teams would prefer anthony over Duran, but it's a close call. Several would likely rather have Duran.
  23. moonslav59
    Gotta love Duran's 2023-2024 numbers projected to 162 games: .288 18 71 but... 51 2Bs, 10 3Bs and 79 XBHs/303 TBs. 36 SBs- 6 CS and an .832 OPS. Plus defense in LF or CF! He makes so much happen.
  24. moonslav59
    It's not a good idea to trade your best all-around player, the catalyst to your offense and a guy who shows up every day (Duran) -Dgale Duran was on the 60 Day IL, just last year. He also was suspended, once, missed some time with COVID and struggled with mental health issues in 2022. I'm not calling him injury-prone, but he does not "show up every day."
  25. moonslav59
    What reports? On trading 28 year old Duran vs Anthony: 1. I'm not for trading either one, but arb costs are higher and higher, now. 2. 6 years of Anthony vs 4 years of Duran is a real value (2 years pre-arb costs) 3. Anthony has very good splits vs LHPs and RHPs, although unproven at the ML level. (Duran does not.) Number one prospects have enormous trade value, when they are ML ready.
×
×
  • Create New...