moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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He would on... Fantasy Island!
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"Boss! Dee plane! Dee plane!" Sign Schwarber to play LF. Sign Bryant to play 3B. Sign Semien to play SS. Move Bogey to 2B. Move Devers to 1B. Trade Renfroe, Dalbec & Casas for pitching. The 2022 Line-Up: 1. Semien SS 2. Devers 1B 3. Bryant 3B 4. Bogey 2B 5. Schwarber LF 6. JD DH 7. Kike CF 8. Verdugo RF 9. Vaz C
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No doubt, fangraphs is not friendly to Devers' D. The DRS is not nice to both Devers and Bogey. B-R has Bogey at +0.1 dWAR since 2016 and +0.4 since 2018, so they see him as improving, despite his best season being 2015 (+0.7). B-R seems a little kinder to Devers than fangraphs, but they still have him negative, as he should be: -2.2 dWAR since 2017 -1.2 since 2019, including a 0.0 year in '19. He appears to be getting worse since 2019.
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What would you guess? $17M x 5? $19M x 4?
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Okay. I never heard it called DEF RAR, but there is a stat called RAR and it's not about only D.
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ERod Offered a Multi-Year Deal by Sox https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021/11/red-sox-rumors-eduardo-rodriguez-multi-year-offer.html
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Let's not forget that Devers just turned 25 and will be 25 all next season. He's has more PAs at 3B than anyone else since 2019. He's 2-3 years from the meat of prime. His average 162 game numbers since 2019 (ages 22-24): .290 36 119 (86 xbh) .886 OPS Mookie (22-24): .292 26 104 (77 xbh and .842 OPS) Bogey (22-24): .296 13 81 (52 xbh and .776 OPS) Devers is the one we can't let get away! Devers Forevers!
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Or, Kyle to LF, Verdugo to RF, Kike stays in CF and Iggy pairs with Arroyo at 2B and Casas with Dalbec at 1B. (Renfroe is the expensive 4th OF'er or is traded for a RP'er.)
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Freeman may be bad, but he's likely an upgrade over Dalbec, on D. Not that I want to sign any 1Bman/DH types, this year.
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My Iggy is the SS/2Bman.
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So you went with MVP's EE. Interesting. I'm going to say... ERod S Matz Graveman Iggy My second choice might be... Semien (not sure we trade Bogey, even if we add him) Matz Graveman
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Let's say he'll get $11M arb, this year and $21M, next year: that's $32M/2. I'd add that to $268M/10 and make it an even $300M/12 as the top offer. We could probably get him to go for an 8-9 year deal.
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I'd like to say whatever it takes, but there is a limit. I'm not good at setting contractual estimates. Pay the kid.
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fangraphs has +130.2 career RAR (+46.5 in 2021). BR has +106 career and +35 in 2021. You are looking at DEF not RAR on fangraphs. Here are some defensive numbers from fangraphs: Bogey: -55 DRS in 9140 innings +0.3 UZR/150 Devers -38 DRZ in 4651 innings -4.3 UZR/150 Both of these numbers show Bogey is a better defender, but he plays SS. Here's a comparative look by position: SS (36 SS's with 1,000 innings at SS 2019-2021) UZR/150 #16 Bogey (right in the middle) DRS T#33 Bogey 3B (32 3Bmen with 1,000+ innings from '19-'21 UZR/150 #26 Devers DRS #32 Devers To me, I'd give Devers another year to improve at 3B. Hopefully, he'll work on it over the summer. We should also know more about Dalbec and Casas at 1B, and if moving Devers there makes any sense. I don't like the idea of putting Devers in LF. I might prefer moving Dalbec, but trading him might make more sense.
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It seems several posters are looking at players who play filled positions, too.
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-10.3 RAR? 1. Devers is much younger and can improve more than Bogey can or will. 1B. Devers is still years from prime. Extending Bogey will bring him past prime. 2. Devers has shown long stretches of being a plus defender. IMO, Bogey has not. 3. SS defense is way more important than 3B defense, so if I have to choose one to improve- it's SS. As for this... But in both cases I look at total WAR, myself. Both of them are such good hitters that they much more than compensate for their defense. Of course Bogey ius an over plus, and by a lot. I have never even hinted otherwise. I admit by SS defense bias is borderline obsessive, but that's not going to change, soon. Looking at just D, I'd rather have Devers at 3B than Bogey at SS. Looking at projected overall WAR over the length of an an extension, I'll take Devers, and IMO, it's not even close.
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It's probably pretty close to the last date whereby a full MLB schedule could be played after a rushed ST'ing.
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Will the Sox give Eduardo Rodriguez a Qualifying Offer?
moonslav59 replied to mvp 78's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
And GMs see and know that, so why should he wait until he's a year older to cash in on something large and long? GMs are not fantasy baseball GMs. They actually know to look beyond ERA. -
In this case, they both would place him 4th, but that was not the point. You often use past WAR when you like somebody and projected WAR when you don't or are trying to be a contrarian to someone pumping up a Sox player. It's the optics.
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No and Yes. No big enough raise to Bogey that keeps him here. Yes, extend Devers. Devers Forevers.
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That's beside my point. You pick and choose between 2 numbers- whichever makes the Sox look worse of the M's look better.
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Yes. I get the reason. It's funny how harmony uses projected WAR for Sox players and past WAR for M's players like France.
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Will the Sox give Eduardo Rodriguez a Qualifying Offer?
moonslav59 replied to mvp 78's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
He's never been below 3.80, so thinking 3.50 is a bit unrealistic. My guess, is, if he stays, you'll project 4.50. He'll be a year older, next year. He has a very nice last 2/3of the season, and GMs see that. He will not take the QO, IMO. -
Yes, very low projections for everyone, right?
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Flat and low rollercoasters are not fun.
