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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    No love for Mancini?
  2. moonslav59
    I'm just thinking, if Bogey goes, we might want to hold all our middle IF prospects. (Our OF depth is weaker, though.)
  3. moonslav59
    Fair enough. I expected Kavadas to be near 21-24, so I guess 29 is not that far off. I'd put Hickey near 15-17, so that's not far off, either. I get the gulf between AAA and MLB is huge, but the numbers Seabold put up in AAA were pretty awesome. .539 OPS Against (better than Wink, Bello & Crawford) WHIP 0.90 Walter (POR/WOR) 0.96 Wink 0.99 Seabold 1.03 Murphy (POR/WOR) 1.04 Bello (POR/WOR) K:BB (This area describes his weaker area) 87:10 Van Belle 75:7 Walter 66:16 Santos 43:8 Winckowski 51:14 Seabold 76:22 Uberstine 114:33 Bello 101:31 Drohan 102:35 Murphy
  4. moonslav59
    It's all "eye test."
  5. moonslav59
    BTV accepted these deals: Jimenez + Groome for Bell (Sox overpay) Downs + Groome for Bell (Sox overpay) Jordan & Bonaci for Abreu Downs, Groome & Decker for Abreu Groome for Mancini Jimenez for Mancini Seabold for Mancini Jimenez + Cannon for Cron
  6. moonslav59
    1Bmen, at every deadline, are a dime a dozen. Even real good ones often are traded without the need for a high prospect in return. I realize the Schwarber comp is not a good example, since he was not a 1Bman and was hurt when we traded for him, but we didn't have to part with much to get him. Here are some BTV values for possible trade targets (years remaining after 2022): 14.0 Cooper (MIA 1, also DH) 9.4 Abreu (CWS 0) 5.9 Cron (COL 1) 5.6 Bell (WSH 0) 5.6 Candelario (DET 1, also 3B) 5.4 Schwindel (CHC 5, more of a DH) 3.0 Mancini (BAL 0, also OF) 1.0 Santana (SEA 0) -34.5 Hosmer (SDP 3- would need cash or swap of bad contracts like Barnes & Drek) Longshots: 36.6 Walsh (LAA 3) 30.0 Mountcastle (BAL- 4) 15.3 Wisdom (CHC 4 and 3B) 8.6 Smith (AZ 4, also OF) 8.0 Brown (OAK 4, can also play OF) Red = my idea of who is most likely)
  7. moonslav59
    Not a "perfect post," but pretty close.
  8. moonslav59
    I think when you factor in not having Houck as the closer during this stretch, one could argue it was a failure. We'll never know, if Houck would have done better than the closer by committee did, but it's hard ti imagine him doing any worse.
  9. moonslav59
    I think blowing and saving the same games have been a reality, at times. Our starters have had quite a bit of meltdowns, too, but they just aren't called that.
  10. moonslav59
    I'm not sure I have ever said pitching is not our highest priority- ever! I think the return of Whitlock, Nate, Wacha Sale, Nate, Hill, Taylor and maybe even Danish, Barnes, Seabold plus the introduction of Paxton to the staff might be enough or near enough to drop pitching to the #2 slot on the highest need list.
  11. moonslav59
    Looks right, to me. You have a good view on prospects. I have three questions for you: 1) Who has the best chance to crack the top 10 by the end of the season? Lugo? Gonzalez? Jordan? Someone else? 2) Do you think these ranking's jumps were too much or too little? Hickey 30>19 Kavadas 46>29 3) We had a big debate over Seabold over the winter, and you convinced me I was over-rating him. Now the question: has your view changed on him after his apparent success in AAA, this season? Thanks in advance for your responses.
  12. moonslav59
    I think the Sox budget will remain a top 3-5 one going forward, so the ability to sign large and long contracts is certainly present. I'm wondering, if we don't go large and longer than a Story type deal in the next few years, whether that comes more from Henry or Bloom. Maybe a joint decision. Again, the philosophy looks pretty logical on paper, as most LnL contracts do not work out for the team, but losing Betts, Bogey and Devers within a 4-5 year period is just too overwhelming for most fans to handle and explain away with so-called "logic." Winning a ring in the next few years would make us forget Betts more easily, and I suppose the same could be said after we lose Bogey and/or Devers, but it's hard to swallow, as a fan, until the ring is won.
  13. moonslav59
    Me, too.
  14. moonslav59
    This would never pass Red's Eye Test. RP WPA 5.62 NYY 4.71 STL 4.27 BAL 3.84 MIL 3.52 HOU 2.51 COL 2.06 BOS 1.94 ATL & CHC 1.92 SEA The pen ranks 21st in -WPA and 5th in +WPA. Our starters rank 10th In WPA at 1.58 (NYY is 3rd). 7th in -WPA 17th in +WPA
  15. moonslav59
    Here are some Sox pen rankings from fangraphs: 10th ERA- 90 10th HR/9 0.90 T10th fWAR 2.2 11th K-BB% 15.1% 13th WHIP 1.22 14th ERA- 99 15th xFIP- 99 17th LOB% 71.2% 18th HR/9 1.12 (thanks to Nate) Some might be surprised to see our starters rank lower in some of these rankings: 11th LOB% 74.1% 14th xFIP- 101 15th fWAR 5.6 15th WHIP 1.27 16th K-BB% 13.8%
  16. moonslav59
    The issue was more about 1B than OF/DH, but as it turned out, Dalbec remained on fire through AUG and into SEP.
  17. moonslav59
    I think I did what I often criticize others for doing: reading too much into recent stats. Rizzo 2014-2019 (per 162 games) .284 32 105 (70 XBHs and .901 OPS) Rizzo 2020-2021 (including time with NYY) .240 27 69 (53 XBH and .775 OPS) While 819 PAs seems like a large enough sample size, it often is misleading. I'm not sure anyone projected these numbers for 2022 (per 162 games) .281 39 94 (65 XBHs and .827 OPS) but it's not really all that extreme a jump, even at age 32 and about to be 33.
  18. moonslav59
    Maybe manager of the last 19 games of the year award.
  19. moonslav59
    Double what!
  20. moonslav59
    I think Bogey walks and it's 50-50 on Devers.
  21. moonslav59
    Did it work?
  22. moonslav59
    Neither Vaz or Wacha will get a QO. I don't think it's even close.
  23. moonslav59
    The list of Yankee and Sox free agents-to-be is sizable and eye-opening. If many end up back with their current clubs, no biggie, but there is a chance for some serious make-overs.
  24. moonslav59
    I guess we are destined to an eternity of MVP griping.
  25. moonslav59
    When none can catch a pop-up, how can Cora be blamed for choosing the wrong one?
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