moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Yes, we have gone over this, already. This is true, but winning more games and getting over .500 is also something being discussed, not just avoiding last place. In theory, even if all AL East teams win 4 more games, because of the schedule change, it would still increase our odds of making the playoffs by winning 4 more games than we otherwise would have with no schedule change. I admit, it will be very hard for the AL East to send 4 teams to the playoffs, but playing each other less gives them a better chance. That's all I'm saying. I do think we will pass BAL, which puts us needing to pass just one more team from 2022 to make it. I think we have a legitimate chance at passing TBR or SEA We may also end up in last place and maybe Tex and or MN pass us. I'm trying to be realistically optimistic, and I think the schedule change gives us solid evidence that we should have a bit of an easier path. Maybe, I'm latching onto this, too much, but I can't see how playing NYY, TOR, TBR & BAL 6 less times can be a bad think. They all play the Sox 6 times less, and in theory, that should hurt them, or at least help them less than we are being helped.
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Also based on 2023 projections: the AL East is projected to be the best, again.
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Well said. I just hope we don't get caught.
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It's always been concerning. New details always make it seem more real. Cora was certainly a part of it all.
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Or add 2 teams (Sacremento and Las Vegas) and move TBR to San Antonio 4 divisions of 8 BOS, NYY, NYM, PHI, BAL, WSH, ATL, MIA TOR, PIT, DET, CLE, CIN, CWS, MIL, MIN CHC, STL, KCR, HOU, TEX, COL, AZ, SA SEA, OAK, SFG, SAC, LAA, LAD, SDP, LV 6 games vs own 7 div (42) 5 games vs 24 others (120)
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If you went 2 divisions of 15 teams, you could go 6 games vs 17 teams (102) and 5 games vs 12 teams (60), or go 8 games vs own div (104) and 4 games vs 13 of the other div and 3 vs 2 of the other.
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How about this... East: BOS, NYY, NYM, PHI, BAL, WSH South: ATL, TBR, MIA, KCR, STL, CHC North: TOR, PIT, DET, CLE, CIN, CWS Central: MN, MIL, HOU, TEX, COL, AZ West: SEA. OAK, SFG, LAA, LAD, SDP Games vs Own Div: 11 gms x 5 teams= 65 Games vs others: 4 games x 24 other teams= 96 games + 1 gm vs similar record team from previous season. or (I like this better.) Northeast: TOR, BOS, NYY, NYM, PHI Southeast: BAL, WSH, ATL, TBR, MIA Mideast: PIT, DET, CLE, CIN, CWS Midwest: MN, MIL Northwest: SEA, OAK, SFG, LAA, LAD Southwest: TEX, HOU, COL, AZ, SDP Games vs own div: 16 x 4 teams= 64 games Games vs others: 4 x 23 teams= 100 gms and 3 games vs 2 teams
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I'm not complaining, but yes, I have always been for a balanced schedule and playing every team in MLB. I'm not sure, if we'd have been in last place had we been in some other divisions. I'm not one to complain about that kind of thing. I'm even for a massive realignment of divisions based on geography. 6 divisions of 5 or 5 divisions of 6.
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When we are talking about 2023 and expected win totals, I think it's fine to discuss how the schedule change seems to be a good thing for Boston- maybe better than for any other team in MLB.
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...just don't say anyone hates him.
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No, but they rate to be in 2023. It is more fun watching us beat the Yanks than the Pirates, but I prefer watching as many wins as possible, and just about anything that helps that happen, I'm going to support.
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I'd rather the Yanks keep Boone right where he is. Cora would probably win 3-6 more games for them, so I wouldn't like it.
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I like a more balanced schedule. Yes, it's all speculation, but I'd rather us be playing closer to our fair share of good teams than more than our fair share, and closer to our fair share of bad teams than less than our fair share. I'm not sure why you prefer we play a harder schedule than any team in MLB.
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Shortens some games, but Yuk-A-Doo-Doo!
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Yup. On Hernandez, they spoke of how they learned more about him when talking Rule chances.
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Makes sense, since the AL is better.
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IMO, the schedule will be significantly easier, anyway you look at it. W-L records from last year. Projected W-L records for this year. We drop 6 games from NYY, TOR & BAL and 6 from BAL, who is better than most team's 3rd and 4th place teams. We add 24 games vs a mix of good and bad teams.
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I'm sure it made sense to Bloom and likely a few others, maybe yes men. He must have liked Binela and or Hamilton more than just about anyone else. He might have also thought or hoped JBJ would rebound and or Renfroe would regress, but many here felt he was going to be wrong on 3 fronts: 1. More money for JBJ than Renfroe 2. JBJ was not going to bounce back. 3. The prospects were not promising enough to be worth it. (This could still change.)
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Including MVJ 78.
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I'm not sure Yoshiad is "lackluster," but he could end up being so. Turner has been at .866 from 2014 (133 OPS+). He also hit .941 in his last 65 games in 2022 (271 PAs.) This guy can hit. Duvall is rather pedestrian, but he did lead the league in RBIs in 2021. He also had an .802 OPS (107 OPS+) from 2019-2021. He his 1.101 in his last 42 PAs of 2022. Mondesi and McGguire are highly questionable. Casas could be a wild card.
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Spotrac has $26.1M.
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You act like this means he never can. Even if he just goes 80-100, the ones taking his place are equal (the same guys as 2022 like Crawford or Winckowski) or possibly better (Mata, Walter or Murphy.) Okay, maybe I'm optimistic about more than 80 or 100 IP from Whitlock, but he was used in the pen for 2 years, and that's a reason it didn't happen. You do know Logan Gilbert never pitched more than 135 IP and that was his only time over 112, until he went 186, last year. It does happen, you know.
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Using your source: Projected OPS for 2023 .868 Yoshida> .767 Bogey (4.5 fWAR) .763 Turner> .750 JD Martinez .683 Duvall> (way better than JBJ/Duran/Pham) .663 Mondesi (1.3 fWAR- better D than Bogey) .652 McGuire (1.5 fWAR) .674 Vaz (1.8 proj fWAR) .770 Casas>> (way better than Dalbec/Cordero/Hosmer) .703 Kike >(way better than 2022 Kike) 0.8 fWAR Wong >(-0.4 Plawecki in 2022) ass this to McGuire and our catchers will be better by projections.
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Whitlock was in the pen. Several SP'ers start 30-33 games and have 150-165 IP. If they don't start as many as I put together, here, plugging in Crawford, Wink, Mata, Walter & Murphy is at least equal to last year's guys and the scrubs from 2021.) I'm not saying that many starts is not being optimistic, but unless they get hurt, I'm expecting 26-32 GS'd with maybe some quick hooks to keep their IP down. We now have a pen that can allow for that.
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Story missed a bunch of 2022, too. Kike should be healthy. Add Casas. Add more from Whitlock and Bello. Don't forget addition by subtraction on JBJ (.578) Diekman, Plawecki (5.74), Pham (.672), Cordero (.697). Hosmer (.631), Davis (5.47), Sawamura, Seabold (11.29), Robles (5.84) and more, plus projected less playing time to... .652 Dalbec .645 Duran 5.47 Crawford 5.89 Wink 5.78 Brasier More time from... 3.45 Whitlock 3.15 Houck 2.22 Schreiber 4.71 Bello .766 Casas .629 Kike (should be over .725) .736 Arroyo .877 McGuire . ,
