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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    IMO, Pham, who may not even be offered the $6M option, and Cordero have to earn the right to supplant Ref as the current 3rd or 4th OF'er- likely 4th after we add a RF'er. He's not "pencilled in," as in locked into a slot, but the 4th OF'er slot is his to lose, IMO.
  2. moonslav59
    You inferred I said you did say those were the only two choices. I did not. Your point was you thought he does not have a lock on an opening day 26 slot, and he may not. His sucess may very well not "carry over," but I think he will be given a chance to prove he does not belong byond ST'ing. Being better than Pham and a RH'd bat works in his favor. If we add a RF'er, like I think we will, he still has the inside track at the 4th OF'er slot over Pham (at $6M) and Cordero. I'm not sure how bad he'd have to be in ST'ing to lose a shot at the opening day roster.
  3. moonslav59
    Under Henry, there is a long history of making an offer to a star who is nearing free agency, and then not budging or barely budging from that first offer. Many of the departing stars went on to decline, pretty quickly. Others did well, but often their replacements did just as well or better for a lower cost. DLowe Nomar Pedro Damon Beckett/AGon/CC Papelbon Ellsbury Lester Lackey Kimbrel & Kelly Porcello Betts & Price Workman ERod (Manny was a special case.) Others not so entrenched in Sox lore or not mega stars: Nixon Mueller Beltre A Miller Doubront Vic JBJ (then brought him back!) Moreland Beni Some they might have wished they traded before their declines or not brought back: Foulke Lowell (just one bad last year) Lugo Youk JD Drew Pearce Sale
  4. moonslav59
    I guess the rancor did not rise to the level of making Bogey and Hill not want to return, right? My guess is JD and Wacha will soon say they want to return, too.
  5. moonslav59
    It kind of baffles me how many people want to bring back the exact same team we just watch implode in 2022. Some would get less money, like JD, but giving a hefty raise to Wacha, which I would do, $1M more to Nate and a $6M raise to Bogey, plus a hefty arb raise to devers, means we likely don't re-set and have nothing left over to make additions in RF and the pen. Plus, as you point out, we will, once again, rely on much better health from a group of SP'ers that have very poor health histories.
  6. moonslav59
    The pandemic is about all that "computes," IMO.
  7. moonslav59
    The pandemic reduced many players' pay. The future of the economy and life, itself was largely unknown. Of course, it's just speculation, but IMO, the Dodgers would have offered a little more had their been no pandemic and blue skies were on the horizon. It's also speculation to say $365M was the most he could ever get.
  8. moonslav59
    Bogey & Wacha.
  9. moonslav59
    Not expecting it to carry over and not giving him a chance next year are not the only 2 choices. Not counting on him to start is a good plan. Counting on him to make platoon in RF or LF or DH would be a reasonable plan, as long as you plan for the chance he returns back into a pumpkin. He would have to really suck in ST'ing, or get hurt, to not make the opening day roster. Whether he stays there long, is more debatable. Others have said similar things about Schreiber, and with the volatility of fringe RP'ers being so high, I could certainly see him not staying on the 26 all 2023, but for now, he's got a slot and has to work his way off it. He'll make the opening day 26, too.
  10. moonslav59
    Maybe not closer to $400M but likely more than $365M. Yes.
  11. moonslav59
    One problem was that they did not even attempt to fill the budget gains after trading Betts and Price. In fact, they cut more beyond them for the 2020 season. Had they kept spending as high as it was in 2019, they'd have, in theory, replaced Betts & Price 9addition by subtraction) with Verdugo and $43M in yearly FA spending. That alone would have doubled winter spending in 2020 and 2021 and added $43M to 2022, too.
  12. moonslav59
    Another case shattering the eye test theory.
  13. moonslav59
    No, but JD and Nate have very likely seen their better days. I'm not against brining them back, but only at the right cost. I do not think Nate is worth $18M (the QO), and although the risk is mitigated by just being one year, it is a raise over the $17M a year he barely earned over 4 years. I'd love to see Bogey and Devers back, too, but I'm not privy to the longer term spending plans and would not want Bogey back, if it meant we'd not be able to provide enough of a supporting cast to go for a ring in the next few years. Devers is different, because he's younger, and his "window" is wider. In theory, I think I'd rather have Nimmo for $20M x 4 plus Swanson for $20M x 4 than Bogey for $26M x 8 with no money for RF and subtracting from other areas.
  14. moonslav59
    A sign that our system is improving and deepening.
  15. moonslav59
    Sox in the Minors x FIP 2.56 Walter 2.56 Bello 3.33 Kelly 3.40 Mosqueda 3.42 E Polanco 3.45 T Ward 3.50 J Webb 3.57 Pannone 3.64 Mata 3.76 Politi 3.76 Winckowski notables... 3.84 Ort 3.86 Uberstine 3.93 German 3.99 Drohan 4.01 Luis de la Rosa
  16. moonslav59
    Minor League wRC+ Leaders (500+ PAs) 1. Kavadas 170 T28. Rafaela 134 35. E Valdez 131 T43. Paulino 128 T55. Abreu 124 T55. Jordan 124 T58. Lugo 122 T131. Hamilton 104 T158. Binelas 100 400+ PAs (not on 500+ list) T27. Mayer 144 T112. Bonaci 125 T167. Stewart 119 300+ PAs Hickey 155 Casas 134 Sikes 133 Wong 121 Duran 120 Granberg 119 200+ Mieses 144 Ascencio 143 Sierra 136
  17. moonslav59
    Rich Hill wants to pitch, next year, and says he'd like to return to the Sox. I guess a few players weren't turned off by all the supposed clubhouse rancor.
  18. moonslav59
    More than $25M and why worth it?
  19. moonslav59
    That was the widely accepted thought. I've never seen any evidence to contradict this. The Sox likely figured he'd make more as a FA than their highest offer, and decided to trade him before it got that far. I do not think they upped the offer after Bloom joined the team, so "continuing negotiations" does not seem right, to me.
  20. moonslav59
    Players age and decline. You don't get better by keeping everybody out of some attachment to their past glory years. BTW, there are constraints on spending. Just because they are self imposed does not make them some fantasy. We could bring Bogey, Nate and JD back, and they all could decline. There is actually a good chance 2 of the 3 will decline. That's not a winning startegy, unless their cost is still worth it. You know it is possible to replace players we've come to like and still get better. I grew attached to JBJ, but knew it was time to say good bye. I only wish Bloom & Cora didn't pine for him to come back.
  21. moonslav59
    The pandemic might have had something to do with Mookie signing for $365M and not closer to $400M.
  22. moonslav59
    Certainly some GMs are much better at building farms and finding low cost gems than others. DD's history is not known for quick and strong farm-building. I think the Ben hiring was similar. They weren't in an "all-in" mindset when they hired him, too.
  23. moonslav59
    I'd be fine with 34 K's if the OBP and HRs are high enough.
  24. moonslav59
    They don't excite me either, but if we end up improving at enough other positions, we may still be fine, and if healthy, this OF alignment should be better than this year's.
  25. moonslav59
    I'll always be grateful to Nate, but there comes a time when good bye is the best choice. We can bring everyone back, and why will we be better? We can't even afford bringing everyone back. let alone add enough to get back to glory. This is no fantasy team: it's the Red Sox future at stake.
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