Jump to content
Talk Sox
  • Create Account

Kimmi

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    27,857

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    4

 Content Type 

Profiles

Boston Red Sox Videos

2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking

Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker

News

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Kimmi

  1. Kimmi
    I have always agree with this idea as well. Where I think I disagree is in the existence of many chokers at the major league level.
  2. Kimmi
    I agree that some people can handle pressure better than others. I think that's what makes them better players all the time, not just clutch situations.
  3. Kimmi
    Other non-repeatable skills: Winning close games BABIP for both pitchers and hitters Timely hitting Clustering hits together
  4. Kimmi
    Ha, somehow I knew that you'd zero in on that line.
  5. Kimmi
    Sure they fluctuate. Baseball is a highly random sport. Nonetheless, there is some year to year correlation. The year to year correlation for OPS is roughly .6, a moderate positive correlation. Here is a scatterplot of year to year batting clutch data, and Jeff Sullivan's interpretation of it. That picture pretty much says it all. There’s next to nothing there. If there were absolutely no relationship, we’d expect an R2 of 0.00. Instead, we get 0.01, with a best-fit line that has a very, very slightly positive slope. If you wanted to be extremely generous, you could say that batting Clutch has a slight tendency to repeat. Truthfully, though, this is a scatter. There’s no meaningful signal to be observed. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-most-important-thing-about-clutch/
  6. Kimmi
    Dalbec hitting in the 9 hole is not the problem.
  7. Kimmi
    ^^Good stuff.
  8. Kimmi
    I do believe that acquiring a player can provide a spark to a team. I'm not so sure about it the other way though when the team had been playing very well and they knew they were getting Sale, Houck, and Schwarber. I think the team believes in itself more than that.
  9. Kimmi
    Absolutely.
  10. Kimmi
    Yes, the BB/K ratio needs to improve.
  11. Kimmi
    It makes perfect sense to me.
  12. Kimmi
    Repeatable skill means that there is some predictability or correlation of the skill from one season to the next, or from one month to the next. When there is no correlation, then it's not a skill. It's random.
  13. Kimmi
    Because based off of personal experience, I believe that comfort and confidence play a huge role in performance. And I know what you're going to say. Wouldn't the same hold true for clutch hitters? One would think that would be the case, but the numbers just don't bear that out. Believe me, if there were no research on the topic, I would 100% agree that there are clutch players. I'm a numbers person though. I can't ignore what they are telling me.
  14. Kimmi
    As we all know, the K rate has to improve, but when he makes contact, he hits the ball hard. Dalbec is 26th out of all hitters in barreled balls with 9.5%. On the team, he's third to only Devers and now Schwarber. Schwarber is 6th in baseball and first on the team at 11.4%.
  15. Kimmi
    If we are reasonably out of the race, then we should be sellers. We've been in contention all season and still are. I don't agree with being sellers when you have a team that's in contention, even though it might seem like things are going the wrong way.
  16. Kimmi
    The team, unfortunately, was due for some correction in terms of W-L. IMO, it had nothing to do with the trade deadline. That said, the 'correction' has gone to the other extreme. The Sox should realistically be .500 in the month of August, not 6-11.
  17. Kimmi
    So, are you saying that the team is playing so badly because they are deflated by the lack of moves?
  18. Kimmi
    Did you read my definition?
  19. Kimmi
    Would you be happier if I just said it's not a skill?
  20. Kimmi
    Not even close.
  21. Kimmi
    Yes, presently the Yankees look like a better team. Early in the season, the Red Sox looked like a much better team than the Yankees. Things can change quickly.
  22. Kimmi
    Not entirely luck, but 99% luck. Seriously, one bad ball or strike call could be the difference in the outcome of the game. OTOH, the Yankees are .500 in games won or lost by 5+ runs. That is not a sign of a good team. In comparison, in blowout games, the Giants are 24-7, the White Sox are 24-13, the Rays are 28-12, the Astros are 26-6, the Dodgers are 29-7, and the Brewers are 25-12. Those are your best teams in baseball. You might be surprised at what their records are in 1-run games.
  23. Kimmi
    Bottom line - the Yankees are not as good as they have looked the past 3 weeks.
  24. Kimmi
    I agree that they are not showing any signs of life right now. As soon as the team gets down by even a run, I currently don't have any confidence in them coming back. They are not this bad though. Things will get better.
  25. Kimmi
    No.
×
×
  • Create New...